1/13: There’s a lot of chatter recently about #Fintechs not wanting to hire people with traditional #Banking backgrounds and traditional #Bankers pointing out how short-sighted this is. It’s a complex topic that’s worth unpacking. 👇
2/13: Like with most arguments, there isn’t a right or a wrong side. Every company is unique and every hiring decision is the net result of a complex series of tradeoffs. Finding the perfect fit for any role is a noble goal to pursue but is unfortunately a fantasy standard IRL.
3/13: Banker Perspective: Fintechs don’t realize how the machinery works. They don’t appreciate how to navigate building products and delivering services in a highly regulated world. They should appreciate how many landmines could be avoided if they just hired experienced people.
4/13: If the Fintechs slowed down just a bit they’d be better positioned to avoid major mistakes (measure twice, cut once). If they built infrastructure in advance of growth they’d avoid customer complaints and regulatory meltdowns. More planning = Less rework.
5/13: Fintech Perspective: People trained in the traditional Banking ecosystem won’t survive our environment. They take too long to make decisions and almost uniformly err on the side of minimizing risk vs. managing risk. Bankers aren't ready for Fintech land. Speed is life.
6/13: Getting to "yes" every day isn't what they've been taught. Managing thin teams and making decisions with incomplete information isn’t how they operate. Re-factoring solutions every time new market information surfaces is uncomfortable. Too much thinking = Too little doing.
7/13: And the differences go well beyond the topics of “risk tolerance” and “speed” and “how work gets done”. They typically bleed into major differences around titles and comp and decision making authority and autonomy.
8/13: I’ve literally talked to hundreds of Bankers over the past 15 years who think they want to make the leap. My rough guess is that 90%+ never do and instead move to another FI of similar size but with a bigger title/more comp or the promise that “it’s different here”.
9/13: A good guess based on my experience is that roughly 75% self-select out when they understand the cash/equity tradeoffs and title/span-of-control differences. The remaining 15% self-select out for reasons like geography, work/life balance, and risk aversion.
10/13: But Fintechs shouldn’t dismiss everyone who has been trained in the traditional Banking ecosystem. Their skills can be transformative if utilized properly. Experience can kink the curve on outcomes. Mistakes can be avoided. Problems can be solved.
11/13: But finding die-hard problem solvers who can operate at the speed of a startup isn’t easy. Interviews/reference checks should focus on determining an individual’s flexibility, comfort with ambiguity, willingness to take risk, and other critical “startup competencies”.
12/13: And Bankers shouldn’t expect to transform a Fintech to their tried-and-true ways. By interviewing, you’re looking to be invited to their dance, not the other way around. Internalize what a Fintech is holistically offering and don’t try to massage it to fit your needs.
13/13: I could write about this all day and share countless examples from my personal archives that “prove” each side has a valid perspective. Instead, just DM me if you want to talk more or respond to this thread to keep the conversation going.
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2020 + 2021: Most “valuations relative to traction” were crazy
2022 + 2023: Bridge rounds helped startups grow into their valuations
Now + 2024: Most “valuations relative to traction” will be reasonable
But some startups can raise at high multiples due to momentum:🧵👇
Every talented Investor eventually comes to the realization that Momentum is one of the most powerful forces in the growth (and therefore valuation) of a Startup.
Momentum is a very simple Physics concept that ports nicely over to the business world.
The Physics formula for momentum is: P=MV (Momentum = Mass X Velocity) but the easier way to think about it conceptually is “mass in motion”.
In business terms, it matters how large a company is (mass) and how fast it’s growing (motion).
AI is undeniably going to change the world but 99% of AI companies will fizzle and die.
I have real, actionable advice about how to build durable AI companies but understanding my perspective requires a primer on how I think about AI.
Trust me, you’ll like it: 🧵👇
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become the focus of the investing community and business world over the past 12-24 months but it isn’t a new discipline. Dating back to the 1950s, AI is focused on creating machines capable of mimicking human intelligence.
There are many forms of AI, but the sub-categories of Generative AI and Large Language Models have captured the world’s imagination because they feel “human” and “magical”.
Together, they form the basis for AI learning machines that are starting to produce human-like outputs.
Startup employees are under immense stress right now. They've been told to do more with less and that bad things will happen if commitments are missed.
Stress can't be eliminated but great Leaders take steps that can help:🧵👇
Edit the corporate agenda
A common characteristic of ambitious Leaders is that they set bold agendas and expect their teams to deliver against stratospheric goals.
The energy and feeling of accomplishment that comes with steep forward progress can be addictive.
But world class Leaders know that it's better to focus the collective resources of an organization against fewer things than to challenge their team to deliver everything that’s theoretically possible.
Delivering 100% of 70% is better than delivering 50% of 100%.
You’re probably familiar with SAFE notes if you’re an early stage Founder or Investor.
But did you know that later stage Investors and Founders are also using SAFE notes?
And have you figured out that later stage SAFEs can create real downstream problems for a startup? 🧵👇
Background
A SAFE note is a “Simple Agreement for Future Equity” and it was created by Y Combinator in 2013. It was designed to reduce the cost and complexity of the legal paperwork associated with equity deals for very young companies.
Another important goal was to create a standard for the industry so Founders didn’t get surprised or swindled by terms they didn’t understand.
Board meetings can be incredibly awkward when the CEO and one or more of the company’s Board members don’t see eye to eye.
When I see this happening, I frequently play the role of “peacekeeper” and start by reminding both parties of a well-known parable:
A man in a hot air balloon is lost. He sees a man on the ground and reduces height to speak to him.
"Excuse me, can you tell me where I am?"
"You’re in a hot air balloon thirty feet above this field," comes the reply.
"You must a Board member," says the balloonist. "I am," says the man, "How did you know?" "Well," says the balloonist, "Everything you told me is technically correct, but it doesn’t help me at all."
The startup ecosystem is finally seeing good companies come to market again.
But after a year of focusing on costs and runway, some startups aren’t exciting anymore.
Many startups that try to raise will hear: “We want more proof!”
Here’s what you need to know about proof:🧵👇
Investors aren’t always good at sharing honest feedback with Founders. It’s easier to pass with generic decline reasons than to outline “what would need to be true” for a “no” to become a “yes”.
And the #1 decline reason Founders hear is “we want more proof”.
What Founders want is a metrics driven definition of “proof” but it’s not what they get. Instead, they hear “more proof please” and have to figure it out themselves.
But what Founders need to internalize is that “proof” is contextual and multi-dimensional.