Roberto Talamas Profile picture
May 2, 2021 13 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Correlation is a key ingredient in the portfolio construction process.

If used correctly, it can be a powerful tool to reduce risk and improve portfolio diversification.

Here’s why it matters.

1/
First, let’s define what correlation is.

Correlation is a statistic that measures the relationship between two assets.

It is represented by a coefficient that ranges between -1 and +1 which tells you how likely it is that the price of two assets will move together.
If 2 assets have a correlation of 1, this means that they move in the same direction 100% of the time.

A correlation of -1 means that the 2 assets move in opposite directions.

While a correlation of 0 means the 2 assets have no relationship with one another.
Why does this matter for my portfolio?

A highly correlated portfolio is a riskier portfolio. It means that when one of your tokens falls, it’s likely that all of them will also fall.

On the contrary, if your tokens are going up, then a highly correlated portfolio feels great.
And while risk can never be eliminated, you can build a portfolio using a mix of assets that are less correlated, uncorrelated, or even negatively correlated to reduce the risk and minimize potential losses.
A correlation matrix is the easiest way to visualize the correlation coefficients of a group of assets.

It is simply a table where each cell shows the correlation between two different assets.

For example, over the past 30 days, the correlation between $UNI and $BNB is .45.
With this in mind, let’s take a look at the correlation matrices of different sectors.

Top Assets

Correlation among most of the top assets remains high.

The only exception is $DOGE which is the only asset with negative correlations to the rest of the group.
DeFi

Correlations in DeFi range from a low of -20% to a high of 84%. One exception is $LUNA which has become increasingly uncorrelated with the rest of the assets in the group week-over-week.
Currencies

Unsurprisingly, correlations among currencies are concentrated on the high end of the correlation spectrum.

$DOGE is the exception, which has become slightly more uncorrelated with the rest of the assets in the group.
Smart Contract Platforms

Correlation among smart contract platforms tends to be on the positive side.

$SOL is the only exception becoming increasingly uncorrelated with values as low as -45%
Decentralized Exchanges

Correlations within the group aren’t concentrated on either side of the spectrum.

$UNI, $CAKE, $RUNE have seen some decline in their correlation over the past week relative to the other assets in the sector.
Web-3

Week-over-week correlations among Web-3 have mostly remained stable.

The two to note are $STX and $AR which are becoming increasingly uncorrelated with the rest of the group.
Check out this week's weekly recap for more

👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻

messari.io/article/weekly…

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More from @RobertoTalamas

Jul 2, 2022
Q1 2022 was rough for the retail sector

After almost two years of shortages, retailers suddenly find themselves with too much product

Despite the short-term troubles, this situation may prove favorable for risk assets (crypto included) in 2023

Let me explain🧵

1/13
CPI is composed of multiple components weighted according to importance

Energy represents 7.5%

As the Russia-Ukraine war continues, it is **highly** likely that crude oil supply shocks will keep on putting upward pressure on gas prices resulting in more inflation
Unfortunately, tighter monetary policy (aka rate hikes) doesn't help with commodity supply shocks

The Fed can't print oil barrels!

Nothing new so far...
Read 12 tweets
Feb 16, 2022
Incredible proud of this visual 🥲

Check out the code below 👇
Here is the jupyter notebook with the code to re-create the heatmap

github.com/rtalamas/sandb…
If you want to update the map, you'll need to update the "land_data.csv" file in the repo with updated LAND trades. You can download the most recent sales data from our @TheSandboxGame dashboard in @DuneAnalytics

dune.xyz/messari/Messar… Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4, 2022
Stoked to announce that the @MessariCrypto data science team is expanding!

A short 🧵on the open roles
If you are passionate about crypto data and are a
@DuneAnalytics wiz, then the Data Specialist is the role for you

In the role, you'll be working alongside the one and only @yulesa helping query information that can be used to drive research insights

jobs.lever.co/messari/69c6a7…
If you are a hardcore Python dev and love building pipelines to extract data from blockchains and APIs, you'll be perfect for the Data Eng role

In this role, you'll be working with gigabrain @mikeykremer to enhance the company's research data libraries

jobs.lever.co/messari/93bb6f…
Read 4 tweets
Dec 13, 2021
Two weeks ago I noticed there was a lack of data-driven research for the state of DAOs

Here is a quick thread summarizing what I found 🧵

Read 7 tweets
Dec 1, 2021
The DAO landscape has seen incredible growth over the past 3 months

For starters, the total AUM controlled by DAOs increased from $7B to $15B

DAO treasuries are STACKED

source: @DeepDAO_io

1/
DAO membership increased a staggering 133% since August

Now there are over 1.6M members across 164 organizations

If you haven't joined a DAO, what are you waiting for?
At the beginning of 2021, only 12 DAOs had more than $1M in their treasury

By August the total number increased to 34

Now there are 58 DAOs with over $1M in assets under management

100+ by end of Q1 2022?
Read 4 tweets
Aug 27, 2021
Excited to announce that @MessariCrypto is expanding its Data Science team!

A short🧵on the open roles.
If you are passionate about crypto data and are a @DuneAnalytics wiz, then the Crypto Data Specialist is the role for you.

In the role, you'll be helping query information and analyze data that can be used to drive research insights.

jobs.lever.co/messari/a6e1b0…
If you are a hardcore Python dev and love messing around with APIs, then you’ll be perfect for the Data Engineer role.

In this role, you'll help enhance the research team by building state-of-the-art tools for data analysis and visualizations.

jobs.lever.co/messari/ec184f…
Read 4 tweets

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