Reading what is going on with these #AfricanWaterPlumes and their impact on Europe is getting a lot more difficult now. Here's a bunch of informed guesses. Informed by the animation that follows.
While its not immediately obvious the plume on the far right - that has done the work to get everything moving again and break the #BalticFaceoff - is powered by moisture from both the Atlantic and North Africa, merging on the Spanish border with France.
These simulation weather maps (CMC model) are of the situation as it is now. The UK now Danish storm is surprisingly dry and it hasn't moved that much the dominant influence on events is actually the combined flow of moisture you can see in the center of the picture.
This animation shows #AfricaPlume activity through to Saturday. As you can see at that point a more traditional Atlantic driven water system becomes dominent but the way they interact wil be interesting.
And here's the ECMWF version (above is CMC), note that the map is a different size - the simulated scenario through to Saturday is very similar to the CMC.
To conclude this bulletin its worth noting that the Atlantic is chock full of moisture at the moment. And the potential storm you see top right in this image is the storm which is heading to the UK in a few days time.
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If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.
And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
There is a lot of concern about evacuations of civilians from Gaza in the flotilla as anyone leaving may not be able to return any time soon. /2
But the moral hazard here is palpable. There are thousands of injured and starving mostly women and children. And we saw the young babies dying in the hospitals in the early stages of this war. /3
More and more naval vessels from Europe and the Middle East are being deployed to protect the Global Samir Flotilla as it moves slowly but surely towards Gaza where it intends to deliver aid and global attention. /1
Attacks from drones on the flotilla have resumed and Israel is presumably responsible for this. It is because of this that naval vessels from Europe are now joining the flotilla to protect their citizens rights of travel in international waters. /2
The escalation appears fairly slow at present and the flotilla is still within Greek waters at present /3
The #Samud #GazaFlotilla is currently sailing across the Ionian Sea towards the island archipelago south east of Athens in the Western Mediterranean. Conditions appear good for this leg that departed from Sicily after leaving Tunisia. The Flotilla set off from Barcelona.
2/ this current leg is 860 kms roughly and lead boats in the 51 vessel flotilla are currently approaching south western Greece. You can follow the flotillas progress here >> flotilla-orpin.vercel.app
3/ After two drone attacks on flotilla boats in Tunisia the flotilla sailed first to Sicily where it was joined by several more boats. And this map shows the path of the flotilla so far. The numbers in the dots indicate more vessels joining #GazaFlotilla