When people remember the Battle of Coral Sea. These are the sort of strategic and tactical maps people use to understand the battle. 2/
This map is not one normally used for the Coral Sea, but is absolutely necessary backdrop to it.
These are the active Japanese seaplane search sectors in May 1942.
So...why didn't they both spot USN CV's & pass on data to the Japanese CV's? 3/
The answer is in this Ionosphere map.
The messages from those IJN seaplane searchers simply could not get through because high frequency radio propagation between them & their bases sucked rocks.
They were in the "Great South Pacific Radio Static Blob." 4/
And so were the SBD's of the Lexington & Yorktown and IJN cruiser float planes. 5/
High Frequency or "HF" radio was a very hit or miss proposition in May 1942. The "Great South Pacific Radio Static Blob" was completely unknown at the time.
It would be another 3-years before enough science data had been analyzed to construct the ionosphere map up thread. 6/
Both the Japanese and the Allies had civil-military scientific organizations involved in monitoring the ionosphere and predicting where the maximum usable frequency (MUF) were day and night.
The origins of the Allied agencies in these screen shots. 7/
The Japanese had a similar agency, singular, where the Army, Navy & civilian scientists all cooperated in sharing data on a real time basis in a manner seen no where else in the Japanese Empire.
It was called the "Physical Institute for Radio Waves" (Dempa-butsuri Kenkuyo). 8/
The US Army Signal Corps was impressed with the Dempa-butsuri Kenkuyo post-war.
But In May 1942 these agencies were -- excepting Australia's Radio Propagation Committee -- too new/far away from the South Pacific to make any difference in the naval battle. 9/
This lack of H/F radio propagation data was one of the great "What Ifs" of the Battle of Coral Sea.
Better Coordination between the SWPA & USN fleet units was both possible & desirable. 10/
This article:
Combat Information Center Magazine
Aug 1944 issue
"farewell to communication failures"
From the Original Manuscript prepared by S/L A. L. Hall, RAAF
See pages 7 thru 11 maritime.org/doc/cic/cic-44…
Details the H/F radio possibilities of May 42.
11/
As does this report excerpt, undated, but probably written in late 1945:
THE OFFICIAL HISTORY OF THE R.A.A.F.
DIRECTORATE OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND RADAR
BY W/CDR, G. F. GATES
The Pacific War would be preparing to move move to Leyte in Sept 1944 - after two Allied ionosphere conferences in the UK on 20 Mar 1944 and the 2nd in Wash DC on 10 Apr 1944 - before the Australian H/F radio propagation discoveries/methods were taken into the ISIB & IRPL.
13/
For want of an accurate High Frequency radio propagation prediction at Coral Sea, the USS Lexington was lost.
Elon Musk’s plan for XAI satellite data centers, and all use of space for any purpose, faces inevitable collapse until a solution emerges for the problem of Kessler Syndrome (see Wikipedia). 🧵
This will occur when enough collisions of small orbital debris pieces from old dead satellites hits the steadily increasing number of new satellites until the whole thing spirals into mass collisions.
Kessler Syndrome computes that this will destroy all existing
2/
...communications, navigation, observation and research satellites in low/medium orbit, and prevent all further satellites launched, for 40+ years, until enough pieces fall out of orbit into the Earth’s atmosphere.
3/
Do you remember all the 2023 US Navalist accounts o X that screamed at @johnkonrad and I about pointing out the containerized anti-ship OWA drone threat to the US fleet.
Welcome to 2026 Ukrainian anti-ship OWA drone threat, you US Navalist yo-yo's. ⬇️
"Operation Spiderweb with Chinese characteristics" is coming for you all, and we have the receipts.
We need a whole lot of air defense guns everywhere to stop drones that you guys still refuse to fund.
2/
For fun and reference of guns versus missile air defense, this YouTube test scenario pits 100 Shahed-136 one-way attack drones against the historic US Navy Task Force 38.1 from 1944.
THE UNITED STATES STRATEGIC BOMBING SURVEY
Bombing Accuracy, USAAF Heavy and Medium Bombers in the ETO
MILITARY ANALYSIS DIVISION
First Edition 3 November 1945
Second Edition January 1947
You find both mission failures & gross errors were "excluded data" 2/
And that both increased altitude and the number of combat boxes involved made CEP worse.
>>This is essentially a complete tactical bomber cell in a box, sized for a small mobile drone team operating at brigade level or below. It is not a strategic deep-strike weapon, and it is not pretending to be one.