Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 7, 2021 15 tweets 7 min read Read on X
@DrydockDreams has a great post up on the Battle of Coral Sea with models of the ships sunk there.

This thread is going to take a lessor known road in exploring that battle.

Namely, why search plane radio communications sucked in the battle.
1/

When people remember the Battle of Coral Sea. These are the sort of strategic and tactical maps people use to understand the battle.
2/
This map is not one normally used for the Coral Sea, but is absolutely necessary backdrop to it.

These are the active Japanese seaplane search sectors in May 1942.

So...why didn't they both spot USN CV's & pass on data to the Japanese CV's?
3/
The answer is in this Ionosphere map.

The messages from those IJN seaplane searchers simply could not get through because high frequency radio propagation between them & their bases sucked rocks.

They were in the "Great South Pacific Radio Static Blob."
4/
And so were the SBD's of the Lexington & Yorktown and IJN cruiser float planes.
5/
High Frequency or "HF" radio was a very hit or miss proposition in May 1942. The "Great South Pacific Radio Static Blob" was completely unknown at the time.

It would be another 3-years before enough science data had been analyzed to construct the ionosphere map up thread.
6/
Both the Japanese and the Allies had civil-military scientific organizations involved in monitoring the ionosphere and predicting where the maximum usable frequency (MUF) were day and night.

The origins of the Allied agencies in these screen shots.
7/
The Japanese had a similar agency, singular, where the Army, Navy & civilian scientists all cooperated in sharing data on a real time basis in a manner seen no where else in the Japanese Empire.

It was called the "Physical Institute for Radio Waves" (Dempa-butsuri Kenkuyo).
8/
The US Army Signal Corps was impressed with the Dempa-butsuri Kenkuyo post-war.

But In May 1942 these agencies were -- excepting Australia's Radio Propagation Committee -- too new/far away from the South Pacific to make any difference in the naval battle.
9/
This lack of H/F radio propagation data was one of the great "What Ifs" of the Battle of Coral Sea.

Better Coordination between the SWPA & USN fleet units was both possible & desirable.
10/
This article:

Combat Information Center Magazine
Aug 1944 issue
"farewell to communication failures"
From the Original Manuscript prepared by S/L A. L. Hall, RAAF
See pages 7 thru 11
maritime.org/doc/cic/cic-44…

Details the H/F radio possibilities of May 42.

11/
As does this report excerpt, undated, but probably written in late 1945:

THE OFFICIAL HISTORY OF THE R.A.A.F.
DIRECTORATE OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND RADAR
BY W/CDR, G. F. GATES

IONOSPHERIC ORGANISATION.
groups.google.com/g/rec.aviation…

12/
The Pacific War would be preparing to move move to Leyte in Sept 1944 - after two Allied ionosphere conferences in the UK on 20 Mar 1944 and the 2nd in Wash DC on 10 Apr 1944 - before the Australian H/F radio propagation discoveries/methods were taken into the ISIB & IRPL.
13/
For want of an accurate High Frequency radio propagation prediction at Coral Sea, the USS Lexington was lost.

14/

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More from @TrentTelenko

Jul 8
The idea that:

"Camouflage will save Artillery from drones” just got hit in the breach block.

Quadcopter drones can stalk you through trees and brush like a mine carrying suicidal infantryman that can fly.

Drone War HR🧵
1/
There is no such thing as cover or dead ground for infantry, artillery, or armor to hide from FPV drones.

"Cover" consists of actively sensing if you are in radio line of sight of an operational drone.


2/
"Every ground combat soldier an electronic warfare operator" is where we are going in the next three years.

The human resource implications of this transformation for Western armies are devastating.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Jul 8
White smoke is gasoline.

Black smoke is jet fuel.

This was Ukrainian inflatable MIG-29 decoy whose gasoline generator fuel tank blew up.

Reading the smoke is not just for Catholics🧵
1/
This is a stock jet fuel fire image from a fire fighting exercise, note the black smoke.

2/ Image
A gasoline station station fuel pumps burning makes white smoke.

Smoke color means things, even if you are not Catholic.
3/3 Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 7
@secretsqrl123 has gotten a lot of guff because he called out the sub-standard Russian potable water logistics into Kherson.

The people doing so are demonstrating their H20 logistical incompetence.

I did a 'net search on "Desert Hydration" that found this chart⬇️

H2O🧵
1/
Image
That military chart came from the article at the link.

It gives you an idea exactly how bad a logistical situation the Russians are in with potable water in Kherson.

You need 19 liters of H2O working at 43 Deg. C, which is 109 deg. in freedom units.

2/
outdoorhub.com/how-to/2011/06…
Image
The crossover ambient temperature that causes a doubling of potable water requirements is 38 deg. C or 101 deg. in freedom units.

You go from 1/2 a liter of water a an hour to one liter an hour to function.

@secretsqrl123 was low balling by talking 4 liters a day for 100K.
3/ Image
Read 16 tweets
Jul 5
Oh heck yes, AFU is hunting Russian H2O trucks! ⬇️

@secretsqrl123 has sussed out the Russian potable water supply chain and it involves a thrown together bubba engineering with palletized IBC containers used by restaurants for vegetable oil.

Russian H2O supply chain🧵

1/
This is an ICB container.⬇️

Six were on that Russian truck.

Likely they were man-handled onto the truck empty, lashed down, and filled by hose.

2/ Image
This is a Russian IBC water container that was burnt to nothing in a forest fire.

The RuAF Bubba-engineering IBC water truck rolls up to one of these and refills it with a gravity fed hose.

Note the steel pail & bottles to move water to trenches⬇️
3/

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Read 9 tweets
Jul 5
I've been asked to post my four appearances on Paul Woodadge's @WW2TV youtube channel to X.

This was about MacArthur's "Wild Weasel" radar hunters before the term was invented.

Dr Bellamy was PhD heavy lifter here.

Section 22 Radar Hunters


1/
This is the story of Master Technical Sergeant Dermott H. MacDonnell and how his performance as chief radar operator for Marine Air Group 23’s (MAG-23) SCR-270 radar...

The Horseshoe Nail of Victory of the Guadalcanal Air Campaign

2/
...made the difference between keeping and losing daylight air superiority over Henderson Field in the darkest days of the Guadalcanal campaign.

And why you don't know this.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 4
What you are seeing here is the world changing as the barriers to entry to strategic bombing fall.

OWA Drones carry 1/5th the warhead of a Tomahawk just as far for 1/10th the cost.

There are many who say this means OWA drone can't hurt enough target sets to be effective.
1/
Strategic bombing history says otherwise.

Incendiary devices were 10 times as effective at destroying urban areas than high explosive per unit mass per the US Strategic Bombing Surveys'.

2/ Image
Sending twice the warhead mass of incendiaries of a unitary explosive warhead Tomahawk for the same price is 20 times as effective and requires 10 times the air defense missile warshot or gun based ammunition to protect any target.

3/
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Read 15 tweets

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