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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
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8 May, 4 tweets, 2 min read
How much of that $850 million went to building a dashboard for “Operation Artemis,” as we just learned the border effort is called?
Some really interesting stuff here. Once again shows that CBP’s dire predictions about numbers are not coming true, which has given the Biden administration more breathing room. A “daily encounters forecast” set of bars, showing May d
Man, this list of reasons specific DOD sites were deemed not viable to hold migrant children is fascinating. Lost of six military bases and reasons they were rejected as
👀 List of federal, state, and local facilities assessed as not

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More from @ReichlinMelnick

Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
6 May
Good thread about today's announcement of new immigration judges. And I've got another thing to flag.

6 will go to a brand new "Richmond Immigration Adjudication Center," an office building where the public isn't allowed and judges appear by video in hearings around the country.
This the third so-called "Immigration Adjudication Center," with the other two in Falls Church, VA and Fort Worth, TX.

Judges in these centers will order thousands of people deported without every having to look someone directly in the face. It's all done through video.
The EOIR Director under Trump, James McHenry, seemingly wanted an immigration court system that operates like Social Security (judges all appearing via video), rather than a traditional courtroom with everyone in one place.

Today's announcement is likely a result of that push.
Read 4 tweets
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
6 May
Alright, let's talk "Asylum Cooperative Agreements" (ACAs).

You may have seen many of Biden's opponents specifically say that terminating these agreements caused a "border crisis."

So what were the ACAs, how did they come into place, and is there any truth in that? A thread. Tweet from Rep. Mark Green: "1 + 1 = 2 Cancelling the wTweet from Team McCaul: "The Biden Administration must Tweet from Rep. Andy Barr: "The President of Mexico is Tweet from Dan Crenshaw: "No, you fake partisan journal
"Asylum Cooperative Agreements" are a form of "Safe Third Country" agreement, a concept in US law where someone can be denied the right to ask for asylum if they can be sent to a country where they won't face persecution and which provides "a full and fair" chance to seek asylum. Quote from US law: "[The right to apply for asylum] sha
The "safe third country" concept was created by Congress in 1996, and until 2019 only one such agreement existed.

The US-Canada STC Agreement took years to negotiate, is very limited, provides numerous exceptions, and imposes obligations on both sides. canada.ca/en/immigration… Where the Agreement is in effect: The Safe Third Country Agr
Read 22 tweets
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
5 May
Public ICE data posted online shows that there were 3,316 ICE deportations from March 28 through April 24, so I'm having a hard time squaring that with this line in @NickMiroff's piece. There are clearly two conflicting data sources right now.
ICE data is always a bit wonky, but from the data ICE publishes online removals have indeed dropped but didn't go below 3,000 for April, as the Post story suggests.

Anyway, to be clear, I'm only quibbling with the exact numbers provided in the story from the ICE sources, not the overall thrust of the story, which is indeed supported by the data! This is me griping about ICE data, a personal pet peeve. Messy government data is frustrating!
Read 4 tweets
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
4 May
This attempted "fact-check" from the Heritage Foundation's new post-Trump DHS "senior fellows" (Wolf, Morgan, Ries) is not only disingenuous, it also gets a number of facts wrong. So I'm going to fact-check the fact-check. Come with me on a thread.

dailysignal.com/2021/05/03/fac…
First, Chad Wolf makes an unprovable claim about motivations behind increased border apprehensions. Here's why it's wrong:

1) Apprehensions began spiking in May 2020, not "the last months" of Trump.
2) In the the actual "last months" after Biden won, apprehensions leveled off! Excerpt: "In the final months of the Trump administratiChart showing major increase in single adult apprehensions b
Chad Wolf's claim of a "border under control" pre-Biden is particularly disingenuous.

Note how he points to April 2020 as proof, ignoring that half the world was on lockdown and that single adult apprehensions—fully 2/3 of all apprehensions under Biden—began spiking in May 2020! Excerpt: "In the final months of the Trump administratiAlternate version of prior chart showing all apprehensions f
Read 21 tweets
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
29 Apr
Meanwhile, while all this trolling goes on by Rep. Boebert and the right wing, the Biden administration has quietly been extremely effective over the last month at getting kids out of Border Patrol custody.

The number of kids in Border Patrol custody has dropped 82% in a month.
As I've talked about before, we are not out of the woods yet when it comes to kids at the border, because a new bottleneck could still form if kids aren't sponsored out of Office of Refugee Resettlement shelters fast enough.

But here, too, clear progress is being made.
The Biden administration's efforts to get kids out of custody have been helped by decreasing numbers of unaccompanied kids coming to the border, down 10-15% from March highs.

If you want to know what's happening at the border, check out our fact sheet.

americanimmigrationcouncil.org/rising-border-…
Read 14 tweets
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
23 Apr
It goes without saying that perception is not policy, which is why criticism of Biden's approach at the border from the right that's focused on specific policy changes—e.g. ending Remain in Mexico/MPP—is so often unsupported by evidence. And of course, Fox News drives perception!
It should also go without saying that an entire right-wing media apparatus shouting for months that Joe Biden has opened the borders is going to cause more people to come to the United States than Joe Biden himself saying "We'll make things better later but don't come right now."
That said, this from an unnamed Obama official is just ridiculous and shows why they failed so badly at the border. It's yet another round of the same "We can't fix our humanitarian protection system because people might use it" crap that is indistinguishable from Trump.
Read 5 tweets

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