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May 9, 2021 8 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Bitcoin has been consolidating around the $1 trillion market cap threshold for almost three months.

What’s happening behind the scenes, and how should investors be thinking about the recent price action of bitcoin?

[THREAD]
Long-term hodlers are accumulating.

Over the last 30 days HODLers have accumulated 93,638 BTC more than they have sold. The conviction of bitcoiners is not the least bit shaken, & they are viewing the period of price consolidation as a stacking opportunity.
Miners are accumulating.

Over the last 30-day period, miners have accumulated a net position of 5,459 BTC.

With hash rate lagging far behind price action over the past year, coupled with a global semiconductor shortage, expect miners to continue to be net accumulators of BTC.
Another metric to look at is the Puell Multiple.

Puell Multiple measures the dollar value of bitcoin issued to miners in relation to its 365 day MA.

Currently, the Puell Multiple is at 2.5. When compared to the previous cycle, the metric was around 2.5 at the $3-4k level.
Realized cap continues to surge.

Despite price consolidating over the past months, realized cap has increased by $250B since 11/20, to a total of $370B today (realized cap at the top of 2017 was just $90B).

An immense amount of capital is flowing onto the Network.
Because of the surge in realized cap, MVRV Z-Score has pulled back.

MVRV, a ratio between the market cap vs realized cap metrics, has pulled back from 7.63 in February to 4.27 today, a promising sign for a continuing bull market into 2021.
Macroeconomic backdrop remains the same.

The driving force behind much of the surge in Bitcoin adoption and interest over the past year remains unchanged.

Central banks continue to expand their balance sheets at exponential rates, showing no signs of letting up anytime soon.
Check out the full writeup by @BTCization on Bitcoin Magazine below !👇👇bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/market…

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More from @BitcoinMagazine

Aug 14, 2021
Our columnist and expert data analyst @FriarHass has compiled another #Bitcoin energy use FUD buster.

Run the numbers: Bitcoin’s carbon emissions would be just a rounding error compared to the construction, transportation or healthcare industries.
“The main takeaway should be that #Bitcoin is a rounding error in the global scheme of things, and from a carbon-intensity point of view, has significantly less emissions per kilowatt than finance, construction, healthcare, industry or the military.”

bitcoinmagazine.com/business/bitco…
“I offer a new global mining profile and carbon intensity figure of 280 grams of CO2 per kWh… The dramatic drop is a result of moving a large proportion of the network from coal to gas, cutting the carbon intensity of #Bitcoin by a third.”
Read 5 tweets
Aug 10, 2021
In her latest report, mining insider ​​@willms_ investigated #Bitcoin’s major shakeups happening at @BITMAINtech ahead of #Bitcoin’s most highly-anticipated IPO.

A public listing can tell us a lot about the institutionalization of the Bitcoin. 👀👇bitcoinmagazine.com/business/bitma…
@willms_ @BITMAINtech Bitmain sees a public listing as a major opportunity.

“[#Bitcoin] miners are looking at public markets as a way to get access to robust capital markets to fuel their growth... Public vehicles are the best way to grow a mega mining company.” - @ethan_vera, COO at @LuxorTechTeam
@willms_ @BITMAINtech @ethan_vera @LuxorTechTeam But to try and capitalize, Bitmain has had to make some major changes in its institutional structure.

“The reality of being a publicly traded company servicing a multi-billion dollar annual market starkly contrasts the conditions facing a 2013 Chinese startup.”
Read 6 tweets
Aug 2, 2021
In his latest column, @AnselLindner breaks down the latest #Bitcoin price rally, offering insight on how macro factors set the stage.

“The bitcoin price rallied last week, but the move did not come out of the blue… The charts had been signaling a move was coming.”
@AnselLindner The article takes a close look at the largest trends impacting the #Bitcoin market and offers analysis of what investors should be taking away from:

-Chinese mining ban
-Grayscale Bitcoin Trust release schedule
-Taproot
-The rest of 2021 ahead

bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/behind…
@AnselLindner “I attribute this mid-cycle correction to three dominant and simultaneous narratives… These events affected sentiment in all segments of the #Bitcoin market — miners and retail, developers and high-net-worth individuals.”
Read 7 tweets
Jul 21, 2021
"Eventually, fiat will come into bitcoin in such astronomical quantities, that fiat will cease to exist."

@FriarHass explains how Bitcoin's auto DCA army will inevitably hold all BTC through attrition, driving the price toward $1 million and beyond.

bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/dca-ar…
@FriarHass "You can rationalize that today’s 'stable' price of $30,000 as a mere 2.7 million people migrating $10 worth per day, or 0.085% of the global workforce.

"After the next halving in 2024, this will double to $1,555,555.55."
@FriarHass "I’ll give a hypothetical scenario of what might possibly happen if Bitcoin were to suddenly be hit with $700 million per day, relentlessly, over a one year period.

"The first two weeks is the stealth phase of the operation — $1.4 billion to play with."
Read 7 tweets
Jun 17, 2021
@elonmusk @jespow "The Cambridge Centre For Alternative Finance estimates that 76% of all miners use renewable energies as part of their mix. CoinShares estimates that total share of renewables may even be as high as 73%."

bitcoinmagazine.com/business/what-…
Read 5 tweets
May 28, 2021
Breaking down Elon Musk’s misunderstandings about #Bitcoin

[THREAD]
76% of all miners use renewable energies as part of their mix, with between 29% and 39% of all energy used coming from renewables, based on industry data from the world’s largest miners and mining pools. CoinShares estimates that total share of renewables may be as high as 73%.
The only way to even come close to eliminating all international flaring by 2025 is with a lot more Bitcoin mining.
Read 5 tweets

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