Some interesting riffs from this blogpost by Mark Rosenfelder about Jane Jacobs' ideas: zompist.com/jacobs.html
1. "Western economists mistook the fitful but constant economic boom from Smith's time on as a permanent condition."
2. "Thinking in terms of national economies smears over the economic facts. Once we take off these lenses, we can see that the world consists not of developed and poor nations, but of dynamic and poor regions."
3. "All economic progress originates in cities, Jacobs tells us; and cheekily adds that all agricultural progress originates in cities."
4. "Grady is eloquently describing the circumstances of a passive economic region: despite all its resources, it makes nothing."
5. "The engine Jacobs finds for all economic life-- is import replacement. [...] This process not only creates work, it creates expertise and innovation. And it creates wealth."
6. "Perhaps Jacobs's most productive insight as that these forces (supplies, jobs, productivity, transplants, capital) act in balance only in cities and city regions. Outside them, they act singly, and most often destructively."
7. "A city region is used to change, is constantly innovating; a supply region is not. It treats its resources as God's gift, a presumably eternal windfall; it prepares only half-heartedly for the end of the boom, and when it comes it's caught short."
8. "Factories (or any transplantable work operation) are not the cause of development; they're a late effect."
9. "A city generates enormous outflows of capital, which can be deployed around the world. But capital alone does not make a region productive, for reasons that by now should be familiar: it does not create a web of interconnected, diverse, creative suppliers."
10. "The value of a currency is a feedback mechanism. If a currency starts to decline, this acts as an automatic, temporary, calibrated tariff: imports become more expensive, exports easier. This should spur import substitution and the development of new export work."
11. "National currencies, however, are a smeary blur of the economies of all the nation's cities. This is particularly bad for a depressed city in a booming nation, because it gets precisely the wrong feedback."
12. On "transactions of decline", aka the "killers of city economies":
13. How cities stab themselves in the back:
- restrict enterprise (new growth nearly always comes from producers finding new export work)
- over-specialize
- worship bigness
14. How to develop economies
- concentrate on cities (not nations) urban areas (not rural), avoid transactions of decline
(I'm guessing this is politically difficult in large countries?)
15. "The good news is that city development is a natural process, and oftentimes the problem is not to get it going but to remove obstacles to it."
16. "A Jacobean nation would worry not about rivalry abroad, but about the innovation of new work locally."
17. "A nation's exports aren't the sum of its cities' exports, for instance, because cities' exports to each other are as important as their exports abroad."
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there are several interesting things to be said about the mass Ghibli event
First thing is that people don’t often know in advance what they’d want out of a tool until they see it for themselves. “generate any image you can think of!” draws a blank for lot of people
so lesson in there for anybody making things; customers/users need more guidance than you might think.
Second thing is I think this is an ongoing preference cascade and consensus cascade, at least some of the people who are adamantly anti-AI concede this is a cute/fun use case
for a lot of people this is the first time they’re like “ok fine I want one for myself and heck the whole timeline is doing it so what’s so wrong if I do it too”
I think this is probably a good thing. I think it gets more ppl interested in art and visuals etc
i haven't really bothered to make a deliberate effort to grow my twitter following or to write bangers etc in years, but i still have a clear sense of how to do it and i've advised other people who wanted to do the same, and witnessed them succeed. here are a couple of thoughts
one of the most important things you have to remember, especially if you're still a small account starting out and trying to get more attention, is that people aren't reading your tweets in isolation. your tweets are showing up as a 'beat' on a timeline
so if your tweet is something that's moderately unclear or confusing, or has too many details, or the sentiment is too complex, people's likeliest response is to scroll past it
this changes once people know you, care about you, believe that it's worth the effort to decipher you
there’s a thing I often wish I could explain to people… but hilariously, it fits the same pattern I’m trying to explain:
a lot of the most interesting, valuable things you can do are things that have very small windows of opportunity
so in the case of matchmaking, a beginner matchmaker might think it’s a matter of finding the best possible people (according to some set of metrics) for the best possible people.
but the expert matchmaker will tell you that actually timing and seasonality etc matter more
in something like football you might think that the player with the most stamina, best striking ability, etc is the strongest
but the guy that scores the most goals is typically the guy who is most sensitive to the situation. Messi famously just walks around the pitch Observing
one of the oldest stories we have on record is from 1850BC Egypt called "The Eloquent Peasant". It's fairly short yet interestingly complex. i'll try and retell it as quickly and entertainingly as i can
we begin with our boi Khun-Anup, a poor peasant just tryna sell his wares...
to get to the market he has to pass thru land that's owned by nobles. ultimately i believe the land is owned by the pharaoh, but it's administrated by the high steward Rensi, who in turn lets it be run by the local goon Nemtynakht... a ~4000yo matryoshka of bureaucracy
so anyway. the local goon Nemtynakht is a corrupt mf and decides to rob our boi Khun-Anup. he lays out a cloth across the narrow path, which is in between a river and the goon's private fields of barley.
Khun-Anup is like, pls sir, I can't move, I don't wanna trample your cloth
for starters I don’t think you’re selfish for not having children
and kids actually are a joy to have
but if you need a different reason, I really liked what some other couple once said, about wanting to have “a maximum human experience”. I’ll elaborate how I interpreted that
but first again I’ll reiterate that you *don’t* have to have kids. i don’t think it’s something that should be done from a sense of weary obligation. I believe it’s possible to have a meaningful, beautiful life without kids and you should do what feels right for you in your heart
ok so like the first wild thing to me about having kids is that you get to see your own childhood and your own parents from a sort of “exploded perspective” view. it’s like seeing the matrix, the current timeline directly loops over the past and it’s narratively ultra satisfying