Never forget that a huge reason we’re having this war over voting access is that John Roberts invented a totally new constitutional principle out of whole cloth so he could kill the Voting Rights Act for no good reason.
Here’s Richard Posner on Shelby County back in 2013:
Turned these tweets into an A block. Who says Twitter is a waste of time!
Based on vaccination rates and the passage of this bill, it seems like giving every parent in America the *option* of full time in-person instruction starting May 1 would be an ambitious but doable goal. Instead, the largest systems in the country aren't going to even try.
And by not even try, I mean there are literally no plans in major cities to attempt it. It's just chalked. That seems nuts to me. Maybe it's not doable? But worth the effort.
People say is it worth it with only a bit of school left? That’s a fair question. Everything having to do with this issue is a balance of risks, costs and benefits, but I think in-person public schooling is a truly vital social good.
I think if you're a campaign practioner or a practioner of electoral politics more broadly it's really important to be attuned to public opinion and to basically treat it as exogenous. Don't center your campaign on unpopular stuff is important advice!
Indeed, I think there are certain areas of The Discourse that way too flippantly ignore public opinion as an actual constraint on political action, believing it's not real or can be overcome with boldness or tactical audacity. And so reminders about the median voter are useful.
That said, yhe most interesting thing to me, as someone whose life's work is analyzing politics more broadly is that "public opinion" changes, & it changes in fascinating, remarkable often unpredictable ways over time. The alchemy of how that happens is why politics fascinates me
It remains bizarre to me that the entire discourse around speech, offense, taboos, accountability etc seems to completely ignore that we had an *extremely* similar set of debates about this in 1990s around "political correctness." It was a whole thing!
Not that the lesson there is dispositive in any particular direction or for any particular case but it's very strange to me that no one ever seems to reference these *(very similar) debates in this conversation.
I think the messaging on vaccines and transmission has gotten really muddled. Clinical trials did not test for transmission so we didn’t have hard clinical data. But the absence of that data was taken to mean “maybe you can still pass it on.”
There was never a very persuasive reason to think, as a basic hypothesis, that the virus wouldn’t also interrupt transmission. But being cautious in the face of absent data makes sense.
That said, we’re now getting some initial data on this question and, provisionally, it does appear the Pfizer vaccine *also* blocks transmission at similar rates to which it blocks infection.
This version of the Big Lie is what i call High Hawley-ism, that it's all about how states expanded voting in the midst of a pandemic. It's disingenuous nonsense. But..
What's key about this is that it is, I think, an early trial balloon for GOP state legislatures unilaterally changing voting rules, and/or simply awarding the electoral college votes themselves no matter who people vote for.
This dubious theory, that only state *legislatures* can make these kinds of changes also invites all kinds of mischief by federal judges to reach in and overrule state supreme courts. It didn't work in 2020, but that doesn't mean it won't.
I'd say the broader point here is that huge universe of non-conservative media really runs the gamut, and for all its problems, does a wide range of reporting on stories on public figures across the spectrum. This really doesn't happen in the Fox bubble
Here's an example. I think most conservatives would characterize The New Yorker as a "liberal" publication. And yet the earliest most devastating reporting on Cuomo and DeBlasio's failures on COVID came in The New Yorker
In fact, conservatives liked this piece so much, Murdoch's NY Post did a whole write up of it (with very little original reporting as far as I can tell)