So from media reports, it looks like Netanyahu, Naftali Bennett and Ra'am's Mansour Abbas have done a deal:
1. Bennett pulls out of the new coalition because "we can't have a Government that depends on Mansour Abbas", and backs Netanyahu again.
2. Bennett and Netanyahu have reportedly convinced Mansour Abbas to back a "direct election" bill. The winner of the election would get 90 days to form a Government in this Knesset.
3. The Bill would also cancel the rotation agreement, preventing Benny Gantz from automatically becoming PM this winter. It would make Netanyahu "Full Prime Minister" again, giving him much more power.
4. After that, Netanyahu fires Gantz, something he can't currently do, and appoints Bennett Defence Minister. Ayelet Shaked becomes Foreign Minister.
5. Netanyahu wins the direct election and gets 90 days to form a coalition in this Knesset, something he already failed to do. He fails again.
6. Bennett and Shaked are given high slots in the Likud party list in the SIXTH election, which takes place October/November.
7. Mansour Abbas / Ra'am get... I'm not sure? Something big, one assumes.
Thing is, I can't see what Ra'am could possibly get that would be politically worth them doing a deal that keeps Netanyahu in office.
So I wonder if Abbas will flip back to opposing the direct election plan in the end.

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More from @ariehkovler

14 May
This post by Trump was shared in the big QAnon influencers Telegram group — a group with 215,000 of Trump's most hardcore supporters. How do we think it will be received there? Image
Yup.
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"He wants trump haters to associate the vaccine with him and avoid it" Image
Or maybe it's the opposite: He wants people to take the vaccines *because* they'll be harmed and then they'll support him instead of the Democrats?

Or "Maybe he has a vaccine planned that counteracts this vaccine 🤷‍♀️" speculates one anon. ImageImage
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14 May
I'm quoted in this article about misinformation and rumour in the current conflict in Israel and Gaza. Lots of dodgy content flying around. Some is malicious, some just confused. nytimes.com/2021/05/14/tec…
Often, when I point out to someone that a photo or video isn't from this conflict, the person believes me. They genuinely didn't know. But they ALSO think it doesn't matter that it's old because it still 'represents' what's happening.
Thing is, that's not an *entirely* incorrect point. It's very common for a news story to be illustrated by an old photo, for example. Yes, it says so in the caption but those captions aren't shown on the social cards generated on FB, Twitter etc. The old photo is.
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13 May
If the conflict hadn't erupted, Naftali Bennett would probably be replacing Netanyahu as Prime Minister today. If this report pans out, Netanyahu will survive to fight a fifth election.
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When I wrote this last week I didn't expect the situation to arise even before the new government was sworn in arieh.substack.com/p/will-a-rainb…
Read 4 tweets
12 May
Unfortunately, this is exactly what happened tonight. Jewish mobs seriously beat Arabs. Arab mobs seriously beat Jews. Terrible, but also completely predictable. Police completely absent in most cases.
There were plenty of heroes tonight. Arabs who put out synagogue fires started by arson in Jaffa. Jewish workers at a petrol station in northern Israel hiding Arab colleagues from a racist mob.
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12 May
Some Arab residents of the mixed town of Lod have been rioting tonight. But this Arab family in Lod was hit by a Hamas rocket. A parent and 7-year old child, one in critical condition, one serious.
Sadly, reports that both the 35-year-old parent and 7-year-old child were killed.
A rocket also fell in the Arab-Jewish mixed town of Jaffa.

Read 4 tweets
11 May
The House of Commons slams the door in the face of Black Rod, approaching with a summons from the Queen.
No photo this year of Black Rod knocking on the door with her rod of office three times, because of scaled back pandemic coverage But there's a lovely notch there from past ceremonies.
Because if you're going to have a monarchy, it's important that the Queen remembers her place and that the Commons are in charge.
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