A week ago Israel was about to have a new government supported by right-wing, left-wing, centrist and Arab parties which was to concentrate on a “civilian agenda” and “reconciliation.” 5 days of internecine violence shattered that illusion. It’s still Netanyahu’s Israel.
I’ve yet to see real evidence Netanyahu somehow engineered these dual crises in Gaza and between Jews and Arabs in Israel but it’s a direct result of his policies. He inherited in 2009 the previous government policy’s of blockading Gaza but in 12 years did nothing to change it.>
In regard to Jewish-Arab relations Netanyahu did everything to exacerbated generations-old hatreds between communities, not because he’s a racist, but because an us-against-them mindset held his electoral base together. For political reasons, he also degraded the Israeli police>
The subject of repeated police corruption investigations, Netanyahu has underfunded and politicized the police so it became more a paramilitary security force and much less a public service. The results were clear this week in Jerusalem and Lod and lead directly to this crisis.>
The heavy-handed over-policing in Jerusalem’s Sheikh Jarrah and Al Aqsa is in stark contrast to the way police neglected Arab neighborhoods and towns in recent years, allowing them to descend in to gang warfare as murder-rates have rocketed, few deaths are properly investigated.>
One Arab resident of Lod told me this week “how do you expect us to calm down when the police come here only when the victims are Jews. When an Arab murders an Arab, they come the next day, arrest a member of each family and then release them for lack of evidence. That’s all.”>
The Jewish residents of Lod have no higher regard for the police who weren’t there this week when their homes, property and synagogues were being attacked by mobs. Instead far-right Jewish activists came to Lod, exacerbating tension. The local Jews have mixed feelings about them>
“I hate everything they represent but [the racist football hooligans and extreme settlers] saved our homes when the police didn’t turn up” is the most depressing sentence I heard this week repeated by Jewish residents of Lod. What do you do when only militias are there for you? >
The Arab-Jewish conflict began before Netanyahu’s birth and Gaza was blockaded since the Hamas coup there 2 years before he came back to power, but he’s done everything in the last 12 years to entrench the siege mentality on both sides and inflame sectarian hatreds. Bibi’s Legacy

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More from @AnshelPfeffer

Oct 2
Having spent time researching and writing about Jewish communal security over the years and the sad conclusion is there isn’t an easy solution. The armed police cordons you see in some European cities around synagogues and Jewish schools are awful and in some cases unsustainable>
Take for example the area where today’s attack took place. There are literally dozens of synagogues, of many sizes, in that part of Manchester/Salford and there aren’t enough firearms officers in all of northern England to protect them all. Similar situation in parts of London >
In other European cities with large Jewish communities (Paris, Marseille, Antwerp etc) synagogues tend to be larger, more central, and easier to protect than the much larger number of small ones you have in London and Manchester. You can’t deploy armed police outside each one. >
Read 8 tweets
Sep 27
Reports of Hamas or Israel agreeing to the “Trump Plan” ceasefire are premature. Both sides received the plan. Neither have formally accepted. For the next 48 hours there will be furious negotiations over terms with the aim of announcing the deal at the Trump-Netanyahu meeting >
There are elements of the Trump Ceasefire Plan neither side are willing to commit to. It will depend on the pressure Trump and the Arab mediators can exert over the next 48 hours. These are the main sticking points: >
1. Hamas is to hand over all 48 remaining hostages (live & bodies) in return for a large number of Palestinian prisoners within 48 hours of the ceasefire going into effect. This will leave Hamas without bargaining-chips and they already claim not to have access to all of them >
Read 13 tweets
Jun 21
Excellent tracker on @haaretzcom (in Hebrew for now) of Iran’s missile launches & their hits on Israel. 2 important conclusions: of 460 missiles launched in 8 days only 24 hit their targets. We don’t have yet a breakdown of missiles intercepted/misfired > haaretz.co.il/news/security/…
So out of all the missiles Iran fired, only 6% hit. Without knowing how many misfired we can’t say that’s a 94% interception rate (IDF keep saying “around 90%”) but for now the missile defenses seem to be holding up well. Let’s look now at the Iranian rate of fire >
Here’s a breakdown of Iranian missiles launched over 8 days in 48-hour periods (number of salvoes):
Q1 220 (6)
Q2 108 (5)
Q3 55 (10)
Q4 75 (5)
This fits what I’ve been hearing from Israeli officials that Israeli strikes have had a big impact but that the Iranians have regrouped >
Read 6 tweets
May 18
היום מתמנים דיינים בישראל. נושא שמעורר פיהוק בקרב רוב הישראלים. בציבור החרדי מינוי לדיין זה כמו כרטיס זהב למפעל של ווילי וונקה. משכורת של שופט ואחרי זה פנסיה, לשכה, זמני עבודה נוחים ומעמד חברתי. זה הטופ שאליו לומד תורה יכול לשאוף. אבל למה בכלל אנחנו (משלמי המסים) מממנים דיינים? >
כמעט כל עבודת הדיינים בשרות המדינה מתמקדת בגירושים. בדיני ממונות דנים בעיקר בתי דין פרטיים ובתי הדין לגיורים הם מערכת נפרדת. גירושים (למי שנישא בחתונה דתית) הם לפי החוק בישראל נושא שנתון לבית דין רבנים אבל מבחינה הלכתית, זה נושא טכנית של עריכה ומסירת הגט. לדיין אין באמת משמעות >
בתי הדין הרבניים היו קיימים לאורך הדורות בקהילות ישראל לכל מיני נושאים ובעיקר בתחומים המצומצמים בד״כ בהם ניתנה להם סמכות. עריכת גט זה נושא טכני במהותו ותפקיד הדיין לפקח שהוא נעשה בהתאם להלכה. תפקיד פקידותי שאין באמת הגדרה הלכתית לגבי מי ממלא אותו. אין באמת צורך בבית דין להתגרש >
Read 11 tweets
Apr 21
Shin Bet Chief Ronen Bar just filed his deposition to the Supreme Court against Netanyahu’s attempt to fire him. The non-classified section is 8 pages. Here are the main points: The deposition is “to ensure the service’s professional independence” and to allow future chiefs to >
“refuse to carry out prohibited instructions”. Bar claims the real reason for his dismissal “isn’t professional but an expectation of personal loyalty to the prime minister”. Accuses Netanyahu of orchestrating a briefing campaign against him and the Shin Bet for these reasons >
Bar:
- I directed an investigation into the theft & leaking of secret IDF documents [by Netanyahu’s aides]
- I refused to issue an opinion which would have prevented Netanyahu’s testifying in court
- I criticized Netanyahu’s pre-Oct7 Gaza policy and ignoring warnings of Hamas >
Read 8 tweets
Apr 2
אני כותב על זה שנים. תנודות דמוגרפיות בד״כ מתגלות באיחור. בגלל זה, ובשל האופי המסוגר של החברה החרדית, יש להניח שתופעת העזיבה של החברה החרדית אפילו נרחבת יותר. היא מקבילה לתופעה דומה בקרב החרדים בארה״ב שם יספר לכם כל מאכער רציני ש״אין בית שאין בו מת״. אז למה חרדים צעירים עוזבים? >
הסיבה המרכזית היא לא ״משבר אמונה״ (למרות שזה קיים). החברה החרדית לא מבוססת על אמונה. צעירים עוזבים כי המבנה של החברה החרדית שקמה לאחר השואה היה תלוי ביכולת להסתגר בפני העולם (בישראל וארה״ב) ולבנות אתוס של מיעוט על סף הכחדה שמשקם ובונה את עצמו בציפורניים לאחר חורבן השואה באירופה >
צעיר חרדי שגדל היום בקהילה גדולה ומשגשגת כבר לא חי בטראומת שואה. הוא כבר לא מוקף בניצולים. הוריו היו מנותקים מהעולם בגלל איסור החזקת טלוויזיה ועיתונים חילונים. הוא מחובר בסמרטפון שהרבנים ניסו לאסור אבל נכשלו (גם הרבנים כבר לא מה שהיו פעם) הוא חשוף לידע ובעיקר לפערים ברמת החיים >
Read 5 tweets

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