It's a new week and a pleasant rainy morning here in Mumbai!
Grab some tea/ coffee as we share some snippets and readings from the week gone by that we found interesting. #MultipieWeekly 1/n
1. Interesting slide from CRISIL that depicts the trend of raw material cost inflation across industries and their ability to pass on the cost to end user (pricing power).
2/n
2. General and health insurance companies are seeing a major spike in Insurance claims as a result of larger than anticipated second wave.
Source: Business Standard
3/n
3. Copper is being hailed as the new Oil as the world prepares to shift to a greener economy. We found this explainer helpful on this huge global trend.
Bonus: List of Top 18 copper companies in India (alphabetically) - not an investment advice.
4/n
4. Truck rentals have fallen another 5-7% in first half of May, indicating cues of a fresh slowdown to the ailing economy. However, not all is gloomy as power consumption grew 19% in the same period!
5/n
5. Interesting viewpoint on Cryptocurrency in a recent note by Sundaram MF. They seem less critical of Bitcoin's prospects as "Digital gold" compared to government machinery.
6/n
6. Latest data on brokerages by Spark Capital that captures market share trends (cumulative and incremental) across discount brokerages, bank based brokerages and traditional brokers.
7/n
7. AMC industry:
Favorable commentary on the outlook of Asset Management business by UTI AMC management at Centrum Capital's Small and Midcap conference. 8/n
8. Company specific:
Optimistic outlook on #AegisLogistics by Edelweiss, expecting 32% PAT CAGR over next 3 years. 9/n
9. Select smallcap result highlights:
👗AYM Syntex
🐑DCM Nouvelle
🌱Jayant Agro-Organics
🕵️Quick Heal Technologies
Note: Not investment advice 10/n
10. Some good reading/ talk links:
A. Q&A session from Stan Druckenmiller on current state of markets, finding more short opportunities, SPACs and what’s wrong with them, cryptocurrency, etc. vimeo.com/548917378
11. Conversation with Manish Chokhani (ENAM), moderated by Navneet Munot (HDFC AMC). This talk is strewn with learning nuggets. Recommended!
12/n
That's it for now folks.
If you are looking for more reading links, Please check #MultipieWeekly from last week:
We looked at every company with promoter buying for the period from April 1st to June 30th (Q1 FY23).
A thread.
Please like and retweet to help more investors
1/n Total 178 names - Part 1 of top 64 here 👇
2/n
Total 178 names - Part 2 of top 64 buying here 👇
Note: Top promoter selling at the end of the thread
3/n Sectors that saw the highest level of promoter buying: 1. Cements (mainly) and metals 2. Chemicals and API 3. Auto and auto components 4. Capital Goods 5. Financials
As Philip Fisher said: Getting a reality check directly from people associated with co. gives us "much deeper" insights☝️v/s just reading reports & financials
Russia controls ~17% of Nickel’s total supply & obviously with that amount of supply going out of system, one would assume prices to rise
But someone expected prices to fall!
A🧵on how the 2.3x surge in Nickel prices was triggered by a short trade & not due to supply crunch
What happened exactly?
A Chinese tycoon "Xiang Guangda" who owns the Tsingshan Group, the largest nickel mining group in China had placed huge short bets on London Metal Exchange (LME), expecting the nickel prices would fall.
We wonder why he held that view👀
1/n
This bet went horribly wrong when Russia banned commodity exports & Nickel prices started surging
To cover a big short position, someone had to buy equivalent long positions.
This created a short squeeze & Nickel reached $1lakh/ton & inturn led to notional loss of $8 Bn+!😱 2/n