1/ Covid… Summary evidence on lockdowns. For UK political pundits obsessed with spreading nonsense on Sweden/lockdowns, cf. SW econ did a bit WORSE than Denmark which locked down, AND far more deaths in Sweden: noahpinion.substack.com/p/yes-lockdown…
Image
One of the biggest misunderstandings, spread by political pundits even now, is the ‘tradeoff’ argument. Fact: evidence clear that fast hard effective action best policy for economy AND for reducing deaths/suffering
4/ Best example: Taiwan. Also shows that if you REALLY get your act together not only is econ largely unscathed but life is ~ normal. But SW1 (Remain/Leave, Rt/Left) = totally hostile to learning from East Asia
5/ There's a general western problem based on nonsense memes like 'asians all do as they're told it won't work here'. This is what many behavioural science 'experts'/charlatans argued, disastrously, in Feb2020. This nonsense is STILL influencing policy, eg our joke borders policy
6/ Another confusion re Sweden: data shows despite no official 'lockdown' behaviour changed enormously. The closer your measures are to 'welding people inside homes' (per Wuhan at peak) the >> effect on transmission. Semantics of 'lockdown' obscure this really simple point
7/ If you are going to have to do measures ≈ lockdown to avoid health system collapse then the harder/earlier the better & the sooner they can be released. Pseudo 'lockdowns' w/o serious enforcement are hopeless: econ hit & people die anyway, nightmare rumbles on
8/ Waiting room, 1st jab. Remembered Vallance 24/3 amid disaster: will u support taking vaccines out of DH & a new Taskforce, we need different leadership & skills to drive it? CABSEC supported divvying up DH tasks. If not, normal Whitehall process, probably normal result
9/ Success seems to have blinded SW1 to important Qs. a/ We did it much better than Brussels, obviously, but Brussels is not a good comparison. How well did we do relative to ‘how well wd General Groves who ran the Manhattan Project have done it?’
10/ I think we’ll conclude we shd have done Human Challenge trials immediately & cd have got jabs in arms summer. This is not criticism of the VTF which has been constrained in ways they shdnt be. It’s cnctd to b/ where is the public plan for how the VTF will deal with variants?
11/ One of the most fundamental & unarguable lessons of Feb-March is that secrecy contributed greatly to the catastrophe. Openness to scrutiny wd have exposed Gvt errors weeks earlier than happened
12/ So why are MPs accepting the lack of a public plan now for VTF viz variants? Especially when rumours reach me that the silent entropy of Whitehall is slowly turning VTF back into a ‘normal’ entity?
13/ The best hedge re a variant escaping current vaccines is PUBLIC SCRUTINY of Gvt plans. This will hopefully show it’s been taken seriously. If not, better learn now that the Gvt has screwed up again than when ‘variant escapes’ news breaks
14/ I can think of no significant element of covid response that wd not have been improved by discarding secrecy and opening up. This was symbolised by e.g how COBR cd not be used: a constrained STRAP environment cd not cope with the scale/speed, another important lesson
15/ Having watched classified elements of covid response, Gvt cd make the vaccine plans 99% public without risks, ‘national security’ almost totally irrelevant to the critical parts of the problem, a few things cd be withheld while publishing all crucial parts of the plan
16/ These issues are relevant to c/ Who is writing the plan for ‘how we deal with something worse than covid?’ If we get this right now, we do not need to have this sort of disaster again. We’ll also be hedging vs future bioterrorism risks: cf: 80000hours.org/podcast/episod…
17/ The covid plan was supposed to be ‘world class’ but turned out to be part disaster, part non-existent. I urged inside Gvt to do a review of other contingency plans for more dangerous things than covid, a largely *open* process with e.g @wtgowers helping. Happening?
18/ MPs shd force publication of vaccine/variant plan & require mostly open review of other contingency plans before we find out the hard way they're as 'world class' as the covid plan...
19/ Such reviews shd seek out those were right & early on covid. Such people are more likely to spot that other plans have errors, gaps, that institutional planning has blind spots, failure to look at crucial operational details etc. E.g @MWStory
20/ P Vallance & I supported opening up SAGE much earlier than it happened. I argued before 1st lockdown to open up the CODE of SPI-M models for scrutiny. Barrier = SW1 cultural hostility to openness & this barrier means SAGE still too closed & too little of its workings public
21/ Looking at minutes does not give good insight to reality of discussions. E.g looking at minutes of crucial 18/3, which I attended, does not convey true situation, discussion, atmosphere, effects
22/ With something as critical as variants escaping vaccines, there is *no* justification for secrecy, public interest unarguably is *open scrutiny of the plans*
23/ This point is critical re Groves/Manhattan/vaccines & wider covid & wider issue of gvt performance: our civilisation is *abysmal* at seeking Groves/Bob Taylors & getting them into critical roles, *bureaucracies exclude & expel them*, as they did with Groves/Taylor! Image
24/ The public inquiry will at no point ask: how does the deep institutional wiring of the parties/civil service program destructive behaviour by putting the wrong ppl in wrong jobs with destructive incentives? It will all be about relatively surface errors
25/ If SW1 wanted to 'learn' there wd already be a serious exercise underway. The point of the inquiry is the opposite of learning, it is to delay scrutiny, preserve the broken system & distract public from real Qs, leaving the parties & senior civil service essentially untouched
26/ J Phillips, a brilliant young neuroscientist I recruited to no10, argued for immediate Human Challenge Trials, as did others. We were *far* too slow to listen to such advice. The science 'misfits' who urged this early were clearly right, the 'ethicists' disastrously wrong
27/ So true from @paulg, it’s amazingly rare to find people who *deeply care about results* at senior levels in politics/gvt, those who do are seen as mad/unreliable & are weeded out. SW1 incentives are ~all about rewarding *process + fake signals*. V relevant to covid fiascos Image
28/ Of the 20 ppl who I saw do most to save 1000s of lives, it's striking how many gone or leaving or planning to leave, & how many who were disastrously wrong/useless been promoted to jobs they can't do/given honours etc
29/ @pmarca on the west's covid failures ('the harsh reality is that it all failed') & the General Groves mentality needed, influential in no10, 4/20, as we pushed thro the vaccine taskforce a16z.com/2020/04/18/its…
30/ Crucial data generally ignored by those who want to downplay covid danger, many 1000s will have serious health problems for years because of our failure to act faster/harder in Feb/March & Sep. Those who predicted this issue wd be 'Gulf War syndrome bollocks' were wrong Image
31/ There was a PHE exercise called Exercise NIMBUS in a hypothetical future 14/4/20 with mock COBR slides. Assumed peak week 13/5 and >33M cases over 16 week wave, hospitals full by 14/4, >800K deaths, schools told stay open(!!). A/one know *when exercise happened* (think 3/20)? Image
32/ This, evening of 31/10 re lockdown2, from @wtgowers who was ahead of the game in 3/20, was spot on. If mass testing had been developed properly earlier in year as cd/shd have been, wd probably have avoided lockdowns 2&3 while awaiting vaccine Image
33/ True but also UK gvt did v badly, turned out we cd/shd have had these tests at millions p/day scale by Sep latest, instead of seriously *starting* in Sep, which wd have greatly changed q42020. Those screaming from ~Feb/March were ignored, months/lives/£ needlessly lost Image
34/ Mass testing same story as elsewhere: some brilliant/dedicated relatively junior officials (e.g Alex Cooper) + great young scientists (e.g @gaurav_ven) + entrepreneurs held back by senior management/DHSC/PHE (particularly awful) & Whitehall legacy procurement & HR horrorshows
35/ Even tho *the PM/CABSEC/I* all told 9/20 most senior HR & procurement officials to treat mass testing 'like a wartime project', ignore their usual bullshit multimonth processes, mass testing hugely hampered by Whitehall's optimisation for '[awful] process over results'
36/ So much ‘lockdown’ confusion. Obv they're ‘destructive’. But if you have to do it cos alternative is *100s of 1000s choking to death + no NHS for months for everybody else + econ sunk cos everybody hiding in terror* then earlier/harder is better for health AND econ
37/ If we'd had the right preparations + competent people in charge, we wd probably have avoided lockdown1, *definitely* no need for lockdowns 2&3. Given the plan was AWOL/disaster + awful decisions delayed everything, lockdown1 became necessary
38/ Media generally abysmal on covid but even I’ve been surprised by 1 thing: how many hacks have parroted Hancock’s line that ‘herd immunity wasn’t the plan’ when 'herd immunity by Sep' was *literally the official plan in all docs/graphs/meetings* until it was ditched
39/ Yes the media is often incompetent but something deeper is at work: much of SW1 was happy to believe Hancock's bullshit that ‘it’s not the plan’ *so they didn’t have to face the shocking truth*. Most political hacks believe in 'the system'...
40/ In week of 9/3, No10 was made aware by various people that the official plan wd lead to catastrophe. It was then replaced by Plan B. But how 'herd immunity by Sep' cd have been the plan until that week is a fundamental issue in the whole disaster
41/ All those referring to the Sunday Times story 22/3/20 re me dramatically 'changing my mind' at SAGE on 12/3: *there was no SAGE on 12/3*! It's an invented meeting & invented story repeated for a year by political hacks as 'fact'
42/ No10 decided to lie: 'herd immunity has never been... part of our coronavirus strategy'. V foolish, & appalling ethics, to lie about it. The right line wd have been what PM knows is true: our original plan was wrong & we changed when we realised
43/ Lots of hacks have lost their minds. Herd immunity wasn’t ‘a secret strategy’, it was THE OFFICIAL PUBLIC EXPLAINED ON TV/RADIO STRATEGY! Halpern, on SAGE, literally explained it on radio explicitly, 11/3/20, as did others!!
44/ The whole 'flatten the curve' plan A was to get herd immunity by summer & avoid 2nd peak during annual NHS winter crisis. That's why our official graphs had *ONE peak over by summer*! COBR docs/graphs describe herd immunity as ‘the optimal single peak strategy’ etc
45/ What happened is a/ panic about the phrase, ‘comms disaster’. b/ We ditched the herd immunity plan and shifted to Plan B, suppression, which previously the Gvt said/thought would be worse cos it wd lead to a 2nd peak in winter 2020 during the annual NHS crisis
46/ A COBR doc from week of 9/3/20 explains official thinking behind Plan A: ie. suppression either won't work or wd lead to 2nd peak during NHS winter crisis, so the advised herd immunity approach was what DHSC/Cabinet Office described as 'single peak optimal strategy' Image
47/ In that week it became clear neither Hancock/CABOFF understood herd immunity effects: 100s of 1000s choking to death + no NHS for *anybody* for months + dead unburied + econ implosion; so we moved to Plan B: suppression + Manhattan Project for drugs/vaccines + test&trace etc
48/ Critical as I am of the PM in all sorts of ways, it's vital to understand the disaster was not just his fault: the official plan was disastrously misconceived, DHSC/CABOFF did not understand this or why, & a PlanB had to be bodged amid total & utter chaos
49/ Jenny Harries told us, the same week herd immunity was the official plan, masks are a 'BAD idea', 'we don't want to disrupt people’s lives’, acting ‘too early we will just pop up with another epidemic peak later’. So Whitehall has promoted her, obviously
50/ ‘Herd immunity’ was officially seen as UNAVOIDABLE week of 9/3. It wd come either a) in a single peak over by Sep, or b) in a 2nd peak in winter. (a) was seen as easier to manage & less of a catastrophe so it was Plan A. Cf SAGE 13/3: ‘a near certainty’ suppression>2nd peak Image
51/ It was in week of 9/3 that we started to figure out Plan B to dodge herd immunity until vaccines. Even AFTER we shifted to PlanB, COBR documents had the ‘OPTIMAL single peak strategy’ graphs showing 260k dead cos the system was so confused in the chaos, see below Image
52/ Hodges = wrong: *there was neither an intention to lockdown nor as of Fri13/3 any official plan for doing so*. The SAGE minutes show the opposite of what Dan says they say... Image
53/ Dan says the SAGE minutes show ‘The strategy was to wait for the optimum moment to lockdown’. No. SAGE said *literally the opposite*: lockdown = suppression = ‘near certainty’ of 2nd peak & this was thought to be much WORSE than single peak/herd immunity by Sep, hence graph Image
54/ On 14/3 one of the things being screamed at the PM was ‘there is *no plan for lockdown* & our current official plan will kill at least 250k & destroy the NHS’. Cf the graph: ‘optimal single peak strategy’ with 3 interventions. That was the official plan, which was abandoned
55/ Another reason we ditched Plan A was it became clear the official system had given ~no thought to all the second order effects of 250k dying, almost all without ICU care. True deaths wd clearly be much >250k cos there would be *no NHS for anybody for months*
56/ On 12/3, the most surreal day of 18 months in Gvt, it was argued to the PM that a/ individual isolation be delayed (‘we’re not ready’), b/ we might not do household quarantine *at all*, c/ given Halpern’s interview on 11th, the PM shd publicly explain the ‘herd immunity’ plan
57/ Re D Halpern: a/ on 11/3 he was simply explaining the OFFICIAL plan, not freelancing; b/ unlike many he supported the switch to Plan B in the next week & told the CABSEC & DHSC that…
58/ NB. Even at SAGE on 18/3 it was *not* all clearly agreed ‘must do national lockdown ASAP’. Halpern supported it with others. Senior DHSC officials were saying even on 18/3: lockdown just means it pops back up again in 2nd wave so why change strategy?
59/ Even at SAGE on 18/3 some argued: even if lockdown needed, delay, finesse timing. Others argued: there's no alternative *so sooner must be better*. The latter were right (I think) & that argument prevailed
60/ Re 'herd immunity': the *official pandemic preparation plan* spelled out explicitly why the 'optimal strategy' was defined in Feb/March as 'single peak', herd immunity by Sep. When crisis hit, this assumption governed thinking: Image
61/ One way to sift the journalists writing about the inquiry is: if they quote childish military metaphors like ‘grenades’ from supposed ‘allies’, they’re inventing either the quote or the ‘ally’ or probably both. Many journalists want you to believe nonsense...
62/ One of the worst failings in Feb/March, less discussed than lockdown, was the almost total absence of a serious plan for shielding/social care. As in general, there was widespread delusion we HAD a great plan. It turned out to barely exist…
63/ E.g In week of 16/3 the official plan was ‘don’t put a helpline number on the shielding letters because we haven’t sorted out the helplines’. What about the ~1m who will need food/help? No plan until...
64/ Thank god a BRILLIANT young woman working in GDS, Jen Allum, hacked together a team, a plan & & a tool and started turning it around - without her, this would have been an even bigger crisis, >1m wd have been without food/help
65/ First sketch of Plan B, PM study, Fri 13/3 eve - shown PM Sat 14/4: NB. Plan A 'our plan' breaks NHS,>4k p/day dead min.Plan B: lockdown, suppress, crash programs (tests/treatments/vaccines etc), escape 1st AND 2nd wave (squiggly line instead of 1 or 2 peaks)... details later Image
66/ How to shift to a better regime? What I wrote re COBR, disaster response etc & what’s needed: different selection/training/incentives to get radically better people AND new institutions, each alone won’t work: dominiccummings.com/2019/06/26/on-… Image
67/ As shown to PM, his study, Sat morning, 14/3, by Ben Warner/me: 'Current plan' = disaster vs 'actual plan'. The PlanB whiteboard is just behind. 'The official plan is a disaster, we need Plan B' Image
68/ Don’t listen to pundits on science, covid etc when they’re repeatedly incompetently confident making awful judgements on their supposed area of ‘expertise’ & never learn. We need an entity to keep score on these clowns' bullshit. E.g Rentoul Image
69/ Instead of pundits, follow people like @hsu_steve who warned me 25/2/20 US policy was 'very stupid' & I shd push UK to be much more aggressive, reject herd immunity etc. People like Steve & @MWStory, unlike pundits, know *how to think*
70/ I asked Prof Gowers, Fields medallist, for help week of 9/3. His advice & paper helped convince me to try to bounce policy from Plan A/herd immunity to Plan B (suppress, vaccines etc). He's not on official minutes but he also was on phone for 18/3 SAGE theguardian.com/world/2021/may…
71/ In 2014 I explained how SW1 programs dysfunctional institutions & poor performance. Most big things on covid were here including today’s issue: destructive feedback between EU procurement/judicial review/ Whitehall management: dominiccummings.com/2014/10/30/the… Image
72/ JR summary: ‘there is no suggestion of actual bias’ but instead of telling officials to focus on the worst crisis since 45, a disease x2 in 2-3 days, I shd have told officials to focus on creating a Potemkin paper trail to negate campaigners claiming ‘appearance’ of bias
73/ I.e if I’d said as the Cabinet Office imploded around me, let’s spend days writing a RAG-rated scorecard for ‘objective criteria’ to guard vs bad PR, then a/ more dead, but b/ it wd have been ‘lawful’. Court is saying: I/officials shd have focused on (b)
74/ On this basis the courts shd rule that many 2020 decisions were similarly ‘unlawful’ as I & the Cabinet Secretary repeatedly told officials ‘focus on imminent threats to lives/destruction, not process/lawyers/Potemkin paper trails’
75/ Court is telling SW1: even in a crisis like a once-a-century pandemic, your real focus shd ALWAYS be the paper trail. This is already a hugely destructive problem & today’s judgment will make it even worse. If covid doesn't justify focus on outcome>process, nothing will
76/ Officials often tell PM 'we need a Potemkin meeting repeating what we've just decided for a paper trail in case of a JR'. Ditto across Whitehall many times a day. I've said for yrs this causes chaos, today guarantees the problem gets more destructive
77/ When it became clear DHSC/PHE/CABOFF weren't gathering vital data, I acted urgently. This data immediately helped key decisions & saved lives. But *our JR process values paper trails over effective action* & this incentivises officials + is very destructive as I wrote 2014 Image
78/ Media coverage today inevitably abysmal. In 12/20, even after covid made our EU-based procurement system a life/death issue, there was *zero coverage from the entire political media* of the procurement Green Paper, such is SW1 antipathy for the dread word ‘management’
79/ Why? High status MPs, officials & hacks see procurement/management as low status + boring. Finkelstein put it well after I advised officials to read Grove’s management classic so they'd learn how to get stuff done: management is ‘really boring’. SW1's attitude killed 1000s Image
80/ Heywood told SW1: we can't afford serious early warning systems for major disasters & Whitehall has 'nothing to learn from the private sector' on management/data/digital. SW1 believed him. I said this attitude wd kill people: dominiccummings.com/2019/03/01/on-… Image
81/ Guaranteed: a No10 happy as a DailyMediaEntertainmentService will drop the JR reforms I began & will barely pretend to deal with a problem that’s intellectually tough, no cake headlines just bad ones, & generates ferocious opposition from smart incentivised lawyers/officials
82/ Substack - pls subscribe... Hancock 'no PPE shortage'... Evidence... And if you work for covid victims campaigning for MPs to launch *immediate open inquiry* pls get in touch, I'll help campaign for free, as will others... dominiccummings.substack.com
83/ Horrifically familiar - nobody there at 1700 in biggest crisis since 1945. Hancock tried to delay doing household quarantine in COBR on 16/3 'because the hotline isn't ready'. I knew he wd, had warned PM who overruled thank god #SackHancock, subscribe dominiccummings.substack.com Image
84/ Re the data dashboard that Faculty built with NHS-X/Palantir. N.B It did NOT use ANY personal data, none went to Faculty/Palantir to make it. It worked on metrics like ‘no of cases in each hospital’. It was for *management decision-making*, nothing to do with individual data
85/ There are big questions re NHS-Digital & plans for *patient data* but this must NOT be confused with *covid dashboard which has NO patient data*, abandoning it wd be disastrous & kill people. Sadly some campaigners deliberately conflate all this & spread misinformation
86/ Evidence on the covid disaster: as the PM said himself, Hancock's performance on testing, procurement, PPE, care homes etc was 'totally fucking hopeless', & his account to MPs was fiction: dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-pm-on-ha… Image
87/ A few simple Qs to ask the PM: Image
88/ On 3/5/20 the PM's office thought DHSC care home failings was still 'negligently killing the most vulnerable who we are supposed to be shielding' & No10 was not being told the truth about it. An emergency mtng was called by No10 & confirmed our fears dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-pm-on-ha…
89/ If hacks want to understand what went wrong on mass/fast testing & how Whitehall screwed it again spring 20 until No10 alerted July - I v v highly recommend asking @gaurav_ven, a brilliant young scientist who explained to No10 what DHSC got wrong, why & the solution
90/ Also NB. @gaurav_ven had a great covid proposal but couldn't get it funded spring 2020 cos of HORRIFIC WHITEHALL SCIENCE FUNDING BUREAUCRACY so went to @patrickc & @tylercowen whose v fast funding helped him. Case study for why UK needs ARIA...
91/ In spring 2020 I got @UKRI_News to speak to the Collison/Cowen funding entity for lessons on *moving fast*. Some changes happened including on drugs/vaccines. BUT MPs shd inquire into the details: how exactly, what metrics, show UKRI & other funders improving??
92/ Hancock claimed to MPs a/ 'no PPE shortage', b/ 'everybody got treatment they needed'; c/ he was a heroic success on testing, d/ HMT hampered him on procurement, e/ 'protective ring around care homes'. His claims = false. Evidence here, more to come... dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-pm-on-ha… Image
93/ Everybody interested in how we can radically improve research funding or covid response or both -- VERY STRONGLY recommend this by @patrickc @tylercowen , I got F.G to help UKRI last spring, helped with covid, much much more needed future.a16z.com/what-we-learne…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dominic Cummings

Dominic Cummings Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Dominic2306

18 Jun
1/ Pundit babble pollutes understanding & MP/official incentives. Want to improve your understanding of politics? Stop reading these pundit babblers. They don't understand political communication, never mind *how power actually works in SW1*. Typical e.g - overconfident + wrong Image
2/ Watch how all the drone-babblers today suddenly have 'explanations' for what they can't predict. It's all bullshit, all the way down. If you want to get anything big done in politics you must learn to tune out the noisy hum of the drones...
3/ Wait for it... The Clown Prince himself, the epistemological Godfather of the lobby, will doubtless soon be 'explaining' electoral geography. If you rely on pundit-drones to 'explain' SW1 you are doomed to follow the ephemeral emotional waves of the lobby's constant hysteria Image
Read 7 tweets
17 Jun
1/ V highly recommend this note by Jeremy Grantham predicting we're in late stage of 1929-style crazy bull market. Was sent it by hedge funder & don't think I ought to post full document but I encourage ppl to try to get hands on it!
2/ Tesla's absurd price, the "Buffett indicator" (total stock market capitalization to GDP) has broken thro its all-time-high 2000 record, bonds even more spectacularly expensive by historical comparison than stocks...
3/ 'the P/E ratio of the market is in the top few percent of the historical range and the economy is in
the worst few percent. This is completely without precedent'
Read 6 tweets
8 Jun
1/ Fascinating report by a world leading mathematician, P Scholze, on an open source project to use 'proof assistants' on an important maths proof. Byproduct = the computer improved human understanding. Seems clear these tools will play ever greater role xenaproject.wordpress.com/2021/06/05/hal…
2/ Concept of 'proof assistants' goes back to e.g Hilbert's 1900 question on the possibility of automating maths & Gödel's 1931 proof re incompleteness/undecidability. I got very interested in this history & wrote about it here: dominiccummings.com/2017/06/16/com…
3/ Almost everything you read re Gödel is wrong. Franzen wrote a brilliant book explaining all the misconceptions: Image
Read 7 tweets
9 May
.@paulg always great but he makes a mistake that is v common among vv successful people: 'politicians are domain experts in political tactics, like how to get elected'. Weird but true: most know *surprisingly little* re how to get elected, campaigns are often provably irrational
If you want examples then I highly recommend this with @juliagalef @davidshor. NB. you hardly ever see how politics/power really works in mainstream media. You have to look elsewhere for useful info: static1.1.sqspcdn.com/static/f/46827…
E.g PM's private secretary on econ, SG, has more influence on what happens than any in Cabinet except PM/CHX. PM's PS on EU, JE, more influence on Brexit negotiations than any in Cabinet except PM. You'll find literally 0 coverage or explanation of such important facts in media
Read 4 tweets
7 May
When pundits who ‘explained’ why Vote Leave’s plan to realign politics was mad/stupid/impossible now give post hoc ‘explanations’ for why it’s all so logical/inevitable … ignore their babble… Pundits = noise not signal. Eg ‘the centre ground’ DOES NOT EXIST, it’s pundit fiction
Eg. 2014 dominiccummings.com/2014/06/30/my-… & 2016, CTRL+F centre ground - dominiccummings.com/2017/01/09/on-…. Vote Leave strategy in 16 & 19 was based on SW1 theories re ‘centre ground’ = false. SW1 didn’t learn after 2016 & provided a chance for us to win again in 19, ignoring pundit howling
KS is a beta-lawyer-gamma-politician, like ~all in SW1 he obsesses on Media Reality not Actual Reality, he’s played the lobby game (badly) for a year WITHOUT A MESSAGE TO THE COUNTRY, now the pundits will a/ savage him, b/ tell him he needs to focus on them more, more exclusives!
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(