Giulio Mattioli Profile picture
May 17, 2021 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Germany is discussing possible bans & taxes on (short) flights & so conservative daily Welt is claiming that "for the poor, the costs of climate change mitigation are more threatening than climate change".

Which means it's *debunking thread time again*
If you want to argue that climate policies are particularly bad for the poor, there are plenty of examples where this claim is more or less plausible.

But you really, really don't want to pick air travel as it's the best *counterexample*. See thread.
BTW that thread is from more than 2 years ago, and since then the evidence has piled up on the extreme inequalities in air travel.

Such as this brilliant report (static1.squarespace.com/static/5d30896…)

More than 60% of German don't fly in a given year. Just 8% fly more than 3 times.
But I hear you say: maybe the poor fly little, but still spend a lot of their little income on flights?

Yeah, well: no. The richest 20% of Germans spends 4% of its income on flights. The poorest? A figure so low that it's been rounded to 0%
BTW such extreme inequalities are not just a German thing. They're found in most European countries.
...and since we're talking about air travel, inequalities and injustice, I would be remiss not to mention this study doi.org/10.1016/j.gloe…

➡️2%-4% of global population flew internationally in 2018.

➡️ 1% of world population emits 50% of air travel CO2
So why do the likes of Die Welt & The Sun make such unlikely claims.

Well it's a classic discourse of climate delay (doi.org/10.1017/sus.20…): argue that climate policies will hurt the poor, when in fact you're more interested in preserving the status quo than in social justice
as a side note - for those of us who really care about the social impacts of climate change mitigation, and spend time studying them, there's nothing more annoying than such misleading claims, often put forward by outlets with a poor track record on social issues
/END

[the discourses of climate delay cartoon is by @leolinne. Pinging @_mtiemann since I saw the Welt article first on her feed]

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More from @giulio_mattioli

May 14
To me the most striking thing in this chart is how much the Italian saving rate has *declined* over time: from nearly three times as much as the UK in 2000 to less than the UK today
And if you know the Italian social system, you know how much of it is based on household savings. Middle-class parents save their whole life to buy a dwelling for their children one day. Young people stay home & save for said dwelling rather than renting, etc.
Parents (and sometimes grandparents) use their savings to support children & grandchildren who find themselves unemployed - because no, many/most of them have no right to unemployment benefits or minimum guaranteed income.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 16
So the German government has now officially agreed to ditch sectoral emission reduction goals.

Does this mean that transport is now off the hook?

In the short term, maybe, in the long term I believe the opposite will happen (THREAD)
In Germany as in the rest of Europe, we are reducing emissions in other sectors while not reducing them (and sometimes even increasing them) in the transport sector.

So each year transport accounts for a higher share of total emissions ⬇️
I think this means that the climate debate and the transport debate will progressively become *conflated*. Most of the climate debate will be about cars and planes.

Excuses such as "Let's pick some other low-hanging fruit!" or "Let's do nuclear instead!" won't cut it.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 14
Fascinating from last week

#Dortmund Police tweets that elderly woman died after being ran over twice on pedestrian crossing

Gets asked if they intend to introduce more controls / cameras

The reply is something out of a textbook on car dependence. Or on how not to do PR Image
You can see the exchange for yourselves here
It gets worse: when asked whether they intend to implement measures to prevent such deaths from happening in the future, this is the police's reply. Note that the woman died *on a pedestrian crossing*
Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
The astonishingly rapid rightward & xenophobic lurch of the German political debate over the last few weeks

A THREAD to which I am afraid I will keep adding

1) 20.10.23
2) 22.10.23

The leader of the Conservatives (first in the polls) Image
3) 05.11.23

A Liberal MP proposes to drastically reduce the rights to political participation, right of assembly / freedom of association for non-EU foreign residents
Read 5 tweets
Sep 20, 2023
Every time car fuel prices go up - whether for taxes or wars - everyone seems to know exactly who suffers the most.

But which areas of Germany are most vulnerable to fuel price increases?

THREAD on my contribution to the Agora Verkehrswende & DLR report on transport poverty Image
(the report is available here) agora-verkehrswende.de/veroeffentlich…
We built on an established approach that sees vulnerability to fuel price increases as the product of:

1⃣ (high) exposure = high car use
2⃣ (high) sensitivity = low income
3⃣ (low) adaptive capacity = lack of alternatives to car use, car dependence
Read 14 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
Incredibly ill-informed take on car dependence & inequality by "the leading progressive political and cultural magazine in the United Kingdom"

DEBUNKING THREAD
[disclaimer: the full article is behind paywall so I am commenting on what's in the thread. There's more than enough wrong stuff there already though]
Are low-income and ethnic minority groups more car dependent than others?

This argument would be misguided for most countries, but it's *particularly wrong for the UK*. Let's see why
Read 20 tweets

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