3 reasons why I'm worried the pandemic in India is different:
-Rapidity with which the disease seems to progress
-High transmissibility in family contacts
-Severe disease & deaths in young people
I wish we had hard numbers. This my opinion based on following events closely.
-Rapidity with which the disease seems to progress
-High transmissibility in family contacts
-Severe disease & deaths in young people
I wish we had hard numbers. This my opinion based on following events closely.
Qualitatively the way COVID has behaved in India in the last 2 months is very different from India's first wave. It is therefore prudent to assume we are dealing with one or more extremely bad variants.
Of the variants listed below, B.1.617 is the one of major concern in India.
Of the variants listed below, B.1.617 is the one of major concern in India.
https://twitter.com/VincentRK/status/1394998689299578884
Implications:
1) We have to monitor and determine efficacy of vaccines, especially mRNA vaccines, against B.1.617 variants.
2) It is in the best interests of all nations with resources to help with huge amounts of vaccines ASAP to prevent the rise of even more serious variants.
1) We have to monitor and determine efficacy of vaccines, especially mRNA vaccines, against B.1.617 variants.
2) It is in the best interests of all nations with resources to help with huge amounts of vaccines ASAP to prevent the rise of even more serious variants.
The effects of a bad variant in India further amplified by:
1) Population size
2) High viral exposure dose & easier transmission (crowds and lack of masks)
3) Overwhelmed healthcare system
4) Oxygen shortage
5) Inappropriate use of steroids
6) Only 3% fully vaccinated
1) Population size
2) High viral exposure dose & easier transmission (crowds and lack of masks)
3) Overwhelmed healthcare system
4) Oxygen shortage
5) Inappropriate use of steroids
6) Only 3% fully vaccinated
• • •
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