10% of cases reported today were detected in Bolton
(There is surge testing in Bolton, which may explain part of this.)
But cases are very high there with high case rates in children with a bit of a gap then up to 40-44 year olds. (This *could* indicate household transmission between children and their parents.) Fig: @PHE_uk
Increases in cases are not just confined to the under-60s (Fig: PHE dashboard) although the rate of increase is lower in the over-60s.
Bolton remains the local authority with the highest case rates (these are rolling case numbers over the last week)
Hospitalizations are starting to increase.
This chart *doesn't* tell us several things
- age
- severity
- vaccination history
This is the chart for ICU/HDU.
But treat this chart with caution - these are small numbers increases (1 or 2, and patients may also have other conditions not just Covid).
It is great to see that people in Bolton are taking up the call to get vaccinated.
Bolton has an about-average vaccine takeup (these figures are from the Covid dashboard)
Detected cases have approximately doubled in the last week (acknowledging there is surge testing taking place)
Some areas of Bolton have 1% ( 998.5 / 100,000 ) of their population testing positive in the last week.
And some areas of Bolton don't.
But looking at statistics doesn't tell you what's going on on the ground. That's where Directors of Public Health, Health Protection Teams, and journalists come in. Here's an update from @ShaunLintern
The UK Covid Public Inquiry has published its first Report, on Resilience and Preparedness. It is the most urgent report, as we are still ill-prepared for the next pandemic.
🧵
This is the first of many reports, each reviewing a specific area, including healthcare systems; test, trace, and isolate; and the economic response to the pandemic.
The Module 1 Report sets out nine significant flaws from the Covid-19 pandemic:
"Inflation is currently 10%. If inflation halves, how much will a £1 pint of milk cost".
Sounds easy. It's not. It's ambiguous. It's not a good question. Unless it's designed to be a bad question. In which case it's a good question.
1. It talks about 'inflation'. But *what* inflation? At the moment, we have overall inflation at roughly 10% but inflation of food at roughly 20%. So is the overall inflation rate the same as the inflation rate for milk? It's not clear. Bad question.
First, the @ONS Covid Infection Survey is being paused, and @CovidGenomicsUK is being retired. This will have implications for data reliability and availability going forward.
OK, I'm going to write a response to this maths problem, published in @DailyMailUK, that has caused a lot of comment, some thinking the answer is 1 and some thinking the answer is 9.
Many of us would go straight to the answer 1. That's because we know (or our children know, and have taught us), that there is a 'rule' for how you deal with the order of doing the calculation - do you do + first or ÷, for example?
Enter BIDMAS (or BODMAS).
"It stands for Brackets, Indices [or Order], Division, Multiplication, Addition and Subtraction."
That's the conventional order. Forget about indices [or order] for now - that's not important for this one. bbc.co.uk/bitesize/topic…