Heikki Keskiväli Profile picture
May 22, 2021 22 tweets 9 min read Read on X
1/🧵

Great companies come in different forms, but few, if any, check all the marks of perfection.

In this thread, we take a look at the CHARACTERISTICS OF A PERFECT COMPANY, using public companies as examples. Each is used as an example only once.

Best enjoyed with a cup of 🫖
2/🧵

Perfect company is easy to understand, even by a child. As Terry Smith would say, there’s “no gibbledigoo”.

It makes money selling hamburgers (Shake Shack $SHAK), brewing beer (Boston Beer $SAM), or manufacturing lubricants (WD-40 $WDFC).

Sometimes less is more. Image
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Perfect company operates in a business with high margins. It can take a hit or two and still post healthy profit after operating expenses and future investments.

For example, Visa $V has gross margins of 80%, operating margins of 60% and net margins of 50%. Image
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Perfect company is founder-led. Studies show they make bold investments, are more innovative and yield better results – they’ve got skin in the game and aligned interests.

For example, 37yo Mark Zuckerberg still owns ~30% Facebook $FB and has majority voting control. Image
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Perfect company scales well. As it grows, its expenses hardly move resulting in ever-increasing profitability.

A case of Verisign $VRSN from Considering Stocks (amazon.com/dp/B08QLY97CN). ImageImage
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Perfect company enjoys a fabulous market share with its superior product.

For example, Google $GOOGL enjoys a more than 90% market share of global search engine market, bing and Yahoo! being left in the dust.
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Perfect company has a natural monopoly in a business where overlapping activities make little to no sense.

For example, railroad companies like Union Pacific $UNP and Kansas City Southern $KSU operate railroad networks that keep competition at bay. Image
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Perfect company has an honest and frank leadership. They speak the truth and treat shareholders with respect, educating them at every turn when needed.

Here’s how Berkshire Hathaway $BRK warned about overvaluation of their own shares.
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Perfect company focuses on long-term cash flows over short-term accounting fairy profits.

A living testament of this principle is Amazon $AMZN and its thinking around Day 1, beautifully laid out in their shareholder letters.

The first from 1997: s2.q4cdn.com/299287126/file… Image
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Perfect company has an iron-clad balance sheet. Shutdowns of the whole economy, like with covid in 2020, are nowhere near putting the company financials at risk.

Take Apple $AAPL that in 2020 had nearly $100B of net cash, generating another +$70B more over the year.
11/🧵

Perfect company enjoys network effects proving difficult for competition to replicate overnight.

Take Mastercard $MA that has an enduring relationship with its customers and merchants. Its cards or devices can be used at nearly 500,000 merchant locations.
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Perfect company requires little to no capital from its owners, instead its funded by its business model.

In accounting terms, it is able to run with low or even negative working capital like Walmart $WMT. It gets money from customers before it pays its suppliers. Image
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Perfect company can grow for a long time before hitting the limits of the market.

In a blogpost (abovethecrowd.com/2014/07/11/how…) @bgurley estimated $UBER total addressable market worth $450-$1,300B. This provides ample opportunities to continue reinvesting in the business. Image
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Perfect company has a sticky business model that's not easily replaceable.

Voice-control technology provider Cerence $CRNC embeds itself deep into the car OEM processes through long sales cycles and integration work. Competition has hard time pushing them out of business. Image
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Perfect company is unpopular, even hated. It’s darling of no one and acquaintance of very few.

Low following presents attractive opportunities for investors finding it before others, just like with $XPEL that provided investors >100% ann. returns for a decade. Image
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Perfect company has a strong patent portfolio it can monetize, while prohibiting rivals entering the market with the same technology.

For example, Gentex $GNTX that manufactures auto-dimming rear-view mirrors, had > 1,300 patents and an impressive 93% market share.
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Perfect company has products I use myself. This is how I can keep track of the product development and possible challenges well before others.

For example, I’m exposed to Trimble $TRMB design software so I am in a good position to judge its benefits for domain experts.
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Perfect company is chronically fairly or attractively valued. This makes sure that investor or the company has ample opportunities to purchase shares from the bargain bin.

Take AutoZone $AZO that’s repurchased more than 80% of its shares, most of them with EV/EBIT 8-12. ImageImage
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Did I miss something?

These were just the first characteristics of a perfect company and I'm happy to continue this list further.

If you liked this thread, please hit a follow @hkeskiva.
20/🧵

For all my threads on business and investing, please make sure to check out this “meta-thread of threads”.


Thanks for sticking with me this far. Have a nice weekend! 🙂🙏
21/🧵

Perfect company has a vision I can relate to. It doesn't collide with my ethical beliefs and I feel at home owning it.

E.g. Swedish company $MIPS has an improved tech for helmets. Who wouldn't want to save lives with investing?



h/t @PeterHanninen
@PeterHanninen 22/🧵

Perfect company is able to recreate itself generation of products and services after another. This sustains high growth and keeps the company relevant.

For example, McDonald's $MCD has been able to find growth opportunities for 60 years and running.

h/t @clueless_1337 ImageImageImage

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More from @hkeskiva

Apr 7, 2024
1/🧵

I’ve known Aswath Damodaran is great, but this may well be the most entertaining investment lecture there is.

The whole 45min lecture on the WORST VALUATION MISTAKES AND HOW TO AVOID THEM is worth watching but summarizing best bits in this thread.

🫖
2/🧵

“It takes me 45 mins to get into any topic, so I thought I'd pick something very specific. I thought I'd talk about deferred taxes for 45 mins.

If you think I'm serious, you're sick.”
3/🧵

“Most people who claim to do valuation are not doing valuation. They're doing pricing.

Pick up an equity research report. What do you see? You see a company. You see a multiple. You see comparables. So much of what passes for valuation out there is pricing.”
Read 35 tweets
Feb 24, 2024
1/🧵

Viime kerralla kävimme läpi yhtä kassavirtaan keskittyvää lempitunnuslukuani (OCF/CAPEX).

Ketjun jälkeen mieleen juolahti, että lähestymistapaa voi entisestäänkin parantaa. Se kohtelee nimittäin kasvuyhtiöitä epäreilusti. Katsotaan kansantajuisesti, mistä on kyse.

🫖
2/🧵

Edellinen ketjuni käsitteli siis yrityksen kassavirtaprofiilia ja sitä, kuinka se jakautuu liiketoiminnan ja investointien rahavirtaan.

Mikäli ketju on lukematta niin kannattaa ehdottomasti aloittaa siitä.
3/🧵

Sovelletaan edellisen ketjun esimerkkiä vuoteen 1982. Katsotaan nykyään uskomattoman hyvin menestyneen, mutta tuolloin vasta listautuneen The Home Depot’n lukuja.

Yhtiö oli tuolloin vahvassa yli 70% vuosikasvuvauhdissa ja uusia liikkeitä syntyi liukuhihnalta. Image
Read 20 tweets
Feb 17, 2024
1/🧵

Sijoittaja tarvitsee tietoa. Ammattilaissijoittajien suosima Bloomberg-terminaali saattaa maksaa kuitenkin yli 20 000 euroa vuodessa, mikä tekee siitä aivan liian kalliin useimmille.

Siksi kerään tähän ketjuun kaikille ilmaisia tietolähteitä, joita käytän itsekin.

🫖 Image
2/🧵

Nostetaan ensimmäisenä kotimarkkinoiden @inderes ja heidän kotisivuilta löytyvät yhtiötiedot erityisesti suomalaisista yhtiöistä.

Tuloslaskelmat, kannattavuusluvut, arvostuskertoimet ja paljon muuta. Ohessa tiedot esimerkkinä Nesteelle. inderes.fi/companies/Neste
Image
3/🧵

@KoyfinCharts on yksi parhaista kansainvälisistä, ilmaisista yritystietopalveluista. Helppokäyttöinen ja laaja palvelu sisältää keskeisiä tietoja myös pohjoismaisista yrityksistä, kuten suomalaisesta @valmetir, jonka tuloslaskelman lukuja ohessa.

app.koyfin.com
Image
Read 23 tweets
Feb 3, 2024
1/🧵

Katsotaan tällä kertaa tarkemmin yhtä mieluisimmistani tunnusluvuista, johon en ole törmännyt juurikaan muualla.

Käydään tässä ketjussa läpi, miksi kassavirtojen suhteella on sijoittajalle väliä ja miten se liittyy maailman parhaisiin yhtiöihin.

🫖
2/🧵

Heti kättelyssä tärkeä selventää, että mikään yksittäinen tunnusluku ei kerro sijoituskohteen hyvyyttä tai huonoutta.

Samoin harjoitus on yksinkertaistus ja yksityiskohdilla voi halutessaan kikkailla mielin määrin. Pysyttelemme nyt kuitenkin mahdollisimman helpossa.
3/🧵

Ajatellaan kaksi yhtiötä, joilla molemmilla on sama 100 MEUR vapaa kassavirta. Molemmat yhtiöt arvotetaan viisitoistakertaisesti vapaan kassavirran verran eli molempien hinta 1 500 MEUR.

15 x 100 MEUR = 1 500 MEUR

Molemmat yhtä hyviä, eikö vain?
Read 22 tweets
Nov 19, 2023
1/🧵

The notes from first Damodaran interview got 2+M impressions.

The second episode in “Invest Like the Best” is now out and doesn’t fall short on wisdom from one of the greats.

To save you time, here's key insights from this spectacular 80-min episode.

🫖 Image
2/🧵

@AswathDamodaran appearance was on “Invest Like the Best” by @patrick_oshag. Transcript and audio of this magnificent episode below.

The following notes cover the following topics and more: macro, AI, ZIRP, narratives, ESG...

Now to the notes!
joincolossus.com/episodes/72302…
3/🧵

[MACRO]

"I think there are two prevailing narratives:

- Fed is going to reimpose its power, rates are going to go down, everything is going to go back to the way it was
- mean reversion to the last 10 years"
Read 39 tweets
Oct 29, 2023
1/🧵

It’s a common belief that share buybacks lead to an automatic increase in earnings per share (EPS).

But that’s by no means always true. I’ll tell you why by using Apple $AAPL as an example.

🫖 Image
2/🧵

Let’s start with Apple’s numbers for the last twelve months:

- Net income $95 bln
- Share buybacks $89 bln
- Shares outstanding (diluted, today) 15.775 bln
- Shares outstanding (diluted, year ago) 16.262 bln
3/🧵

So, Apple has basically spent $89 bln to reduce diluted share count by 487 mln shares.

The typical line of thought is that EPS automatically grows since share count is reduced.

Let's confirm this with numbers.
Read 12 tweets

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