Ivermectin proponents point to in vitro studies as proof of efficacy
One problem: the dose required in vitro (IC50) to inhibit #COVID is 30-90x higher than the plasma or tissue levels (Cmax) achieved with a standard 12mg IVM dose
A 🧵 explaining & debunking this myth
1/
First some definitions:
- Cmax is the maximum concentration achieved after a medication is given; it is usually measured in healthy people
- IC50 is the concentration of a drug necessary to inhibit a particular enzyme or process by 50%; it is measured in vitro.
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Since the pandemic began, many studies looked at repurposing FDA approved drugs to treat COVID
Literally dozens of candidate drugs have been found that inhibit viral replication in vitro
One of these candidates is ivermectin
But as we will see the devil is in the details... 3/
The key study by Caly et al found that at a concentration of 5 μM ivermectin inhibited SARS-CoV-2 replication (IC50) in Vero cells (African Green Monkey Kidney cells)
🐒 kidney cells aren’t exactly proof of efficacy in humans but this is promising
Except there’s a problem... 4/
...the dose that inhibits SARS-CoV2’s replication (IC50) in vitro is MUCH higher than the concentration of ivermectin (Cmax) that’s actually achieved in humans taking the highest dose of the drug:
IC50 5 μM
vs
Cmax 0.05 μM (on 200 mcg/kg)
That’s 100x less drug than needed!
5/
Ivermectin proponents argue that the drug accumulates in lungs & therefore reaches an effective level.
This too has been debunked in this excellent paper by Schmith et al👇
Using measurements from cow lungs & serum, they calculate the tissue distribution of ivermectin.
Even though Cmax was higher for lung (0.08 μM vs 0.05 μM) it was still much less than the IC50 needed to inhibit SARS-CoV2 (5 μM).
That’s still 62x too low to be effective! 7/
What if we just use a 10x higher dose of Ivermectin (e.g. 120 mg instead of the standard 12 mg)?
We still come up well short!
Even at this dangerously high 10x usual dose, our lung specific Cmax is only 0.8 μM compared to an IC50 of 5 μM (still 6x too low to be effective). 8/
This brings us to another key point: toxicity.
Ivermectin proponents argue that the drug is safe & widely used. This is true, in healthy outpatients treated with a low *weekly* dose.
Critically ill inpatients on a high *daily* dose are much more likely to develop toxicity.
9/
Dr Carlos Chaccour wrote an excellent thread on Ivermectin a year ago👇
He points out that if ivermectin crosses the blood brain barrier it can interact with GABA receptors causing serious 🧠 side effects. This is more likely in inflamed patients on high dose ivermectin: 10/
The next time you hear that ivermectin is “perfectly safe” & “effective in COVID” remember:
- plasma or lung levels of ivermectin in vivo (Cmax) don’t get anywhere close to the IC50 required in vitro
- there ARE risks of potentially fatal neurological toxicity with ivermectin
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Shortly before 3am on June 4, 1993, a mechanic at Miami airport looked in the wheel well of a DC-8 cargo jet from Bogotá. He saw the body of a teenager, curled in a ball, wearing only a t-shirt and shorts and frozen like an "ice cube."
The first paramedic pronounced him dead. The second found a weak pulse.
Somehow he had just survived 5 hours at 35,000 feet without heat or air pressure.
This should have killed him three different ways.
A🧵& blog post on how he survived.
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At 35,000 ft, there are three simultaneous killers:
🫁 Hypoxia: PO₂ is ~37 mmHg, well below the consciousness threshold of ~60 mmHg. Most peopple lose consciousness is 15-30 seconds. Even fully acclimatized Everest summiteers (at 29,000) survive only by driving PaCO₂ to ~8 mmHg through maximal hyperventilation.
🥶 Hypothermia: Ambient temp is –55°C. Accidental hypothermia causes fatal arrhythmia below ~28°C core temp. The coldest recorded accidental hypothermia survivor (13.7°C) lived only because of ECMO.
💥 DCS: Barometric pressure 179 mmHg (23% of sea level). The risk of decompression sickness and nitrogen gas embolism approaches 100% above 30,000 ft without a pressure suit.
No reasonable physiologist, handed these parameters, would predict survival. Yet somehow a 17 year old stow-away survived all three.
2/
The key is that hypothermia and hypoxia are mutually protective. The mechanism:
1️⃣ Hypoxia disables the thermostat
The preoptic anterior hypothalamus is exquisitely sensitive to hypoxia. As PaO₂ falls during ascent, it loses the ability to defend core temperature. The body becomes poikilothermic: temperature tracks the environment and the stow-away gets cold without shivering.
2️⃣ Hypothermia suppresses VO₂
The Q10 for brain CMRO₂ is 2.2. By the time core temp hits ~27°C (threshold for unconsciousness), brain O₂ consumption is ~45% of baseline. Demand meets the catastrophically low supply.
Cardiac surgeons exploit this in deep hypothermic circulatory arrest (DHCA), cooling the brain to 15-18°C to permit operating on a bloodless field.
The stowaway essentially did this to himself!
Lots of news articles reporting "Smartphone use on the toilet increases risk of hemorrhoids" citing a small single center study.
Great headlines but also a textbook example of *reverse causation* - a common methodological flaw in observational studies
A 🧵
Reverse causation occurs when we flip the arrow of cause→effect.
Protopathic bias is a subtype: An exposure (often a treatment/behavior) is started because early symptoms are already present, making it look like the exposure caused the outcome.
2/
A common example of reverse causation/protopathic bias is increased inhaler use --> increased risk of asthma hospitalization.
Did the inhaler use cause the hospitalization?
No! The person was developing symptoms which is why they were using the inhaler...
Well designed RCT shows patients randomized to an exercise program had substantially improved survival after adjuvant chemotherapy for colon cancer.
- 5 yr disease-free survival 80.3% vs
73.9% (HR 0.72)
- 8 yr overall survival 90.3% vs 83.2% (HR 0.63)
This is groundbreaking! 1/
Some deets on the CHALLENGE trial
A 55 center trial done over 15 years (2009-2024) that randomized n=889 people with resected colon cancer after adjuvant chemotherapy to either:
- participate in a structured exercise program
- or to receive health-education materials alone
2/
The intervention was pretty comprehensive:
Personal activity consultant (PACs) - essentially trainers - got to know the participant 1:1, introduced them to the gym and came up with personalized activity goals
Regular every 2 week sessions helped participants reach the goals
Tragic news today about former president Biden's prostate cancer diagnosis. I wish him well.
As someone who follows presidential health reporting, I noticed something odd: unlike his predecessors, Biden's physician's never reported PSA.
How to interpret this absence? A🧵 1/
There are two possibilities:
1️⃣ Biden’s PSA was never checked
2️⃣ Biden’s PSA was checked but it wasn't reported
Strictly speaking, not checking PSA could be a medically correct option. Whether or not to test PSA is a complex question and is not the topic of this thread.
2/
Like many VIPs, presidents tend to have excessive testing that is not always strictly evidence-based.
For example, Bush 43 had an exercise treadmill test and a TB test for no apparent reason.
In honor of #MayThe4thBeWithYou let's consider the most difficult airways in the Star Wars universe:
1. Darth Vader
Species: human
Vader presents several challenges: Vent dependent at baseline, airway burns from Mustafar, limited neck mobility.
Discuss GOC before saving him
2. Fodesinbeed Annodue
Species: Trog
All airways require teamwork, but intubating Fodesinbeed Annodue's two heads really will require two operators.
Consider double simultaneous awake fiberoptic intubation
Be sure to consent both heads.
You will never find a more wretched hive of scum & challenging airways than Mos Eisley (except maybe at Jabba's)
3.Greedo
Species: Rodian
Micrognathia, posterior airway, no nasal intubation, green skin so no pulse ox
Approach: VL + bronchoscope. Intubate quickly (shoot first)