The way you get bipartisanship on a bipartisan commission is, often, a sort of gentlemen's agreement not to make either party look too bad. Mutually assured destruction.

That's ill-suited for 1/6, because only one party looks bad on that issue

vox.com/2021/5/25/2244…
Recall that it was moderate House Republicans who introduced a bill to create a 1/6 commission, just days after the Capitol was stormed.

The idea was, explicitly, that the country needed something like a 9/11 Commission to provide a full accounting of what happened.
What could such a commission do?
1.) It could uncover new facts. But it wouldn't have special powers to do so. Any ordinary cong. committee has the same powers. And a commission half-controlled by McConnell/McCarthy appointees likely wouldn't be aggressive in using those powers
2.) A commission could try to shape a shared national narrative of what happened. This is more in the realm of messaging and communication.

But again, if McConnell/McCarthy appointees aren't on board with this mission, it won't happen. Gridlock will ensue instead.
3.) It could politically damage the GOP. This is of course what Republicans are really afraid of here and why they're set on blocking it.

The issue divides the GOP. But it's also one where the GOP is out of step with public opinion. So any focus on it, they believe, hurts them

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Andrew Prokop

Andrew Prokop Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @awprokop

19 May
One day later, McConnell says on Senate floor that "after careful consideration" he will oppose Dems' 1/6 commission proposal, calling it unnecessary because there are enough investigations already
McConnell had some disagreements with specifics of Dems' proposal, but of course he could try and negotiate on those if he wanted to.

The lines about a new investigation being unnecessary seem to justify blanket opposition to the idea.
McConnell's position is currently being expressed as his personal opinion, not the party's. So still theoretically possible he will not try hard to block the commission and leave it up to his senators. But he isn't helping.

Read 5 tweets
18 May
McConnell on a 1/6 commission will be telling about how subservient he feels he must be to Trump at this point.
McConnell was furious about 1/6, his wife quit the Cabinet, and "sources" talked a big game about consequences for Trump.

In the end he voted against conviction, saying it's because he doesn't think he can convict a former president.
Lately, McConnell has avoided Liz Cheney-ing, and has fully embraced the "GOP must unite and look forward so we can win in 2022" mindset.

But if he wants to put at least one obstacle in the way of Trump coming back in 2024, the commission could be a way to do that.
Read 5 tweets
11 May
Per @Catalist_US, it's tempting to generalize, but:

-32% of Biden's voters were non-college whites

-46% of white college grads voted for Trump

vox.com/2021/5/10/2242…
Punditry shorthand is Biden won because of nonwhite voters and white college grads. Not the whole story. His coalition was:
-39% voters of color
-29% white college grads
-32% non-college whites

That is, he got more actual votes from non-college whites than college whites.
That's because, well, there are lots of white people in the USA, and lots of them vote. White share of the electorate has been shrinking but is still quite high (72% of 2020 voters).

Non-college whites were 44% of the electorate.

vox.com/2021/5/10/2242…
Read 4 tweets
11 May
In 2002, the McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform bill passed the Senate with 60 votes — 11 R, 49 D.

Polarization (both in Congress and around this issue) has intensified since. Very hard to imagine bipartisan campaign finance reform happening again.

senate.gov/legislative/LI…
McConnell (speaking now against the For the People Act) was the preeminent opponent of the McCain-Feingold bill. This was before he was GOP leader. His name was on the (mostly) failed Supreme Court challenge to it.

oyez.org/cases/2003/02-…
Of the 11 Republicans who voted for McCain-Feingold in 2002, just 1 is still in the Senate — Susan Collins. She has said she opposes the For the People Act in its current form cnn.com/2021/03/22/pol…
Read 4 tweets
6 May
A revealing analogy. Dems like to fantasize that if they just fight hard enough the GOP will go down to some final defeat.

But 2010-2020 has shown that the party isn't going anywhere. The US is stuck with it. We're locked in here with them.
The 2020 election crisis shows us both how dangerous elements in the GOP are, and how the party has *not* yet been fully captured by them.

In another crisis it'll be important to have more people who will act like Raffensperger, and fewer like Hawley.

vox.com/22230929/trump…
Yup, this is the risk. It's already happening. And that's why I've become so pessimistic about a Republican speaking out with a bold principled stance achieves. If the entirely predictable outcome is that they'll soon be replaced by a hardcore Trumpist...

Read 4 tweets
27 Apr
NEW: I profiled Joe Manchin. I cover his 4-decade career, and his improbable rise to become Democrats’ key 50th senator.

I interviewed him about the filibuster, HR1, the minimum wage, whether he’d ever switch parties, and more. Some highlights: vox.com/22339531/manch…
On Manchin's op-ed saying there's no circumstance under which he'll eliminate the filibuster:

“The op-ed was as clear as it could be... If you want to argue about it for two years, then you’re going to waste a lot of your energy and your time.”
Manchin on HR1/S1: “How in the world could you, with the tension we have right now, allow a voting bill to restructure the voting of America on a partisan line?”

He insists it will just feed more distrust in the system and "anarchy" like Jan 6 — "I'm not going to be part of it"
Read 13 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(