I would like to suggest one thing to journalists asking about the #OriginsOfCovid - whether natural or lab-based.
Everyone is asking what do we know, what evidence do we have.
Ask scientists what we don’t know, what evidence are we still waiting for.
Everyone is asking what do we know, what evidence do we have.
Ask scientists what we don’t know, what evidence are we still waiting for.
New evidence, new information should change a scientist’s perspective.
By forcing scientists to give you a likelihood estimate now, in the absence of definitive evidence, you’re constraining their future ability to change their minds.
We’ve already seen some minds changed.
By forcing scientists to give you a likelihood estimate now, in the absence of definitive evidence, you’re constraining their future ability to change their minds.
We’ve already seen some minds changed.
https://twitter.com/ayjchan/status/1394710561347313670
Scientists should be able to change their minds completely in the span of a year.
The lab leak hypothesis has transitioned from a conspiracy theory to a near certainty in the minds of some scientists over the past year.
The lab leak hypothesis has transitioned from a conspiracy theory to a near certainty in the minds of some scientists over the past year.
https://twitter.com/ayjchan/status/1396867751050891267
Please stop asking scientists to come up with a magical number.
Ask them what information they need to have in order to produce a high confidence estimate of what they think happened.
Ask them what information they need to have in order to produce a high confidence estimate of what they think happened.
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