Kevin Wilson Profile picture
May 28, 2021 6 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

65 new cases were reported in the region today: 2 in PEI, 9 in New Brunswick, 14 in Newfoundland and Labrador, and 40 in Nova Scotia.

1 new death was reported, bringing the regional total to 129.

There are now 932 known, active cases in the region ImageImageImageImage
PEI reported 2 new cases today:

Both were related to travel and both were detected during routine testing in isolation.

There are now 12 known, active cases in PEI. ImageImageImage
NL reported 14 new cases today:

1 in the Western health region (travel-related)

2 in the Eastern region (1 travel-related, 1 close contact)

11 in the Central zone (10 close contacts, 1 under investigation)

There are now 96 known, active cases in NL. ImageImageImageImage
That Central health region outbreak is still inching it's way up, trying to find the peak. Image
NB reported 9 new cases:

1 in Moncton (close contact)

2 in Saint John (both travel-related)

4 in Fredericton (all close contacts)

2 in Bathurst (both travel-related)

There are now 139 known, active cases in NB. ImageImageImageImage
Nothing much new for the Fredericton outbreak. Image

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More from @WilsonKM2

Aug 15, 2021
The Great Big Canadian Pandemic Summary Thread (5th edition)

First a summary of the pandemic in Canada.

Bonus analysis on pandemic outcomes in Canadian health regions and US counties
For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.

So everything will be visible on the same scale.

Examples:
Read 32 tweets
Aug 14, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

No one updated their numbers, so I'll just do the full weekend report on yesterday's numbers.

There are currently 126 known, active cases in the region.
The test positivity rate in the region was 0.3%
There are currently 9 known, active cases in PEI, but no known outbreaks/community transmission, and no one is in hospital.
Read 17 tweets
Aug 14, 2021
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.

And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 13, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

27 new cases were reported:

2 in PEI (travel-related)

4 in Newfoundland and Labrador: 1 in Labrador-Grenfell, 3 in the Eastern Health region (all travel)

2 in Nova Scotia: 1 each in the Northern (travel) and Eastern (under investigation) zones ImageImageImageImage
New Brunswick reported 19 new cases:

2 each in Fredericton (under investigation), Campbellton (under investigation), and Bathurst (close contacts).

3 in Saint John (2 travel-related, 1 under investigation)

10 in Moncton (5 contacts, 5 under investigation).
There are now 126 known, active cases in the Atlantic region, of which 84 are in NB (and62 are in the Moncton area).
Read 12 tweets
Aug 12, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

18* new cases were reported

11 in New Brunswick: 2 in Saint John (travel), 9 in Moncton (3 close contacts, 6 under investigation)

7* in Nova Scotia: 1 each in Western (travel) and Eastern (contact), and 5 in Halifax (all travel, 3 old/unreported) ImageImageImageImage
Regional Summary

Remains quiet save for the outbreak in the Moncton area.

Things still getting worse in Maine. Image
Zoom in on NB:

1st graph is case timeline for NB

2nd is cases per capita for all health regions with Moncton emphasized.

3rd is hospitalizations

4th is deaths ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
May 31, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

33 new cases were reported: 2 each in PEI, and Newfoundland and Labrador, 12 in New Brunswick, and 17 in Nova Scotia.

There are now 709 known, active cases in the region.
PEI reported 2 new cases today, both related to travel outside the region and both detected during routine testing in isolation.

There are now 14 known, active cases in PEI.
NL also reported 2 new cases today:

1 each in the Central (close contact) and Western (travel-related) health regions.

Neither new cases is connected to each region's respective clusters, both of which remain under investigation.

There are now 101 known, active cases in NL.
Read 23 tweets

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