NOTE: This is not an official forecast. But it is alarming. It seems that that peculiar cloud formation is special in a number of rather alarming ways. [Image: @NOAA's GFS model forecast, latest run.]
The Euro @ECMWF model is saying pretty much the same thing. The scale is different so it doesn't look as bad. Both of these are till midday on Thursday.
Longer range forecasts show there's not a lot of relief in sight. A second big rain is due to arrive on Saturday. But Northland gets the worst of that.
This animation (Oz's Access-G Model) starts on Thursday at midday and runs to the end of the southern drama around midday on Tuesday. The water is coming from the tropics.
Here (Euro @ECMWF model) starts Saturday Morning and provides a closeup view through to the end. The moisture that comes in from the East circles up into Northland and then runs up the East Coast of the North Island.
I have let this version (Canada's CMC Model) run to the end.Turns out something similar of tropical origins may be coming through next week. Albeit not nearly as impactful. A big wet westerly front running from Cape Reinga to Bluff. #CanterburyFloods.
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If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.
And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
There is a lot of concern about evacuations of civilians from Gaza in the flotilla as anyone leaving may not be able to return any time soon. /2
But the moral hazard here is palpable. There are thousands of injured and starving mostly women and children. And we saw the young babies dying in the hospitals in the early stages of this war. /3
More and more naval vessels from Europe and the Middle East are being deployed to protect the Global Samir Flotilla as it moves slowly but surely towards Gaza where it intends to deliver aid and global attention. /1
Attacks from drones on the flotilla have resumed and Israel is presumably responsible for this. It is because of this that naval vessels from Europe are now joining the flotilla to protect their citizens rights of travel in international waters. /2
The escalation appears fairly slow at present and the flotilla is still within Greek waters at present /3
The #Samud #GazaFlotilla is currently sailing across the Ionian Sea towards the island archipelago south east of Athens in the Western Mediterranean. Conditions appear good for this leg that departed from Sicily after leaving Tunisia. The Flotilla set off from Barcelona.
2/ this current leg is 860 kms roughly and lead boats in the 51 vessel flotilla are currently approaching south western Greece. You can follow the flotillas progress here >> flotilla-orpin.vercel.app
3/ After two drone attacks on flotilla boats in Tunisia the flotilla sailed first to Sicily where it was joined by several more boats. And this map shows the path of the flotilla so far. The numbers in the dots indicate more vessels joining #GazaFlotilla