I am a Data Science / Machine Learning developer by profession and data along with finance are my two areas of competence.
I realize how powerful combining both of them can be, so here is a visual analysis for Laurus Labs.
Laurus Labs is a research driven diversified pharma company, based out of India, started in the year 2005.
The area that separates Laurus from its peers is its intense focus on R&D. The company started as a contract research organization and then forayed into manufacturing.
The founder highlights this in one of his interviews with Forbes early on.
The founder of the business, Dr. Chava is also a very shrewd business man.
He started with R&D first as its the backbone of any pharma company and it is also a asset light business.
Profits from R&D business were then reinvested to build API manufacturing.
The relationships cultivated initially via contract research helped Laurus earn some credibility which later helped once it started its API Manufacturing business.
Dr. Chava also chose to foray into ARV API which comprises of 75% of final drug costs as opposed to generic APIs which only comprises of 25% of the final drug cost.
Brief Profile of Dr.Chava
The company has a long history, which you can explore in the form of a timeline in the dashboard (link at the end of this thread)
The dashboard further tries to explore financials of the company and tries to build a story.
The story is evident in the strategy of Laurus
Niche High Margin Business -> Fast CAPEX -> Scale -> Operational Leverage -> Become top 3 player globally in various business segments
You may go through the dashboard at your own pace, I will keep updating this further as the story evolves.
Grab a cup of coffee. In this thread, I will explain:
1. What is Behavioral Finance? 2. What are biases and how do they impact 99% of investors? 3. What are different types of biases and how to overcome them?
Let's dive right in.
2/ Behavioral finance is a field that studies how psychological, human biases and emotions influence financial and investment decision-making.
3/ Humans by nature are driven by emotions and are a irrational species.
This irrationality seeps through in investing, finance and global capital markets.
Grab a cup of coffee. In this thread, I will explain:
1. What is cost of capital and WACC? 2. How does a company's capital structure impact its valuations? 3. How to code WACC as a field in screener?
Let's dive right in.
2/ Before we start to explore cost of capital, we first need to understand what is meant by capital structure of a company.
3/ Any business at a very simplified level, works in three steps
Step 1: Raise funds from various types of investors
Step 2: Use those funds to build projects that generate higher returns
Step 3: Deliver excess returns back to investors
1⃣ Provide loans to banks
2⃣ Value US Treasuries held by banks at par for collateral, even if they are currently not valued at par
3⃣ Inject USD 25B into banking system
They are calling it BTLP
Its essentially QE with a different label
It took Fed ~2 years to sell $600B and only a few days to reverse 50% of that
Just last week alone Fed bought $300B worth of assets
Current size of Fed Balance Sheet ~8.5Trillion USD
This is the MOVE index, its volatility index for Bonds, similar to what VIX is for equities
The only time when MOVE was higher than current levels, was in 2008
#AartiPharmaLabs lists today, here are some slides from my presentation at @ias_summit to help you understand the business ⤵️
The current share price is expensive, I wouldn't be a buyer at this price 🛑
D: Not an investment recommendation
@ias_summit At 315/share, the market is implying a market cap of ~2850.75cr to the company or a PE multiple of ~18x TTM earnings
@ias_summit Since, the implied valuation is towards a premium & there are large institutional holdings in Aarti Industries, expect decent amount of selling in next few weeks
On the other hand, I also believe promoters will raise stake so need to monitor this for sometime before entering