Solving the NI border was always going to be technically challenging and politically sensitive.

Instead of working on these issues in advance, the UK and the EU signed a Protocol that was a high-level legal framework only.

/1
Some of the practicalities were to be solved by the Joint Committee.

Here again - a patch-up job at best while it was becoming increasingly clear that the two sides have a different vision of how it should work

/2
The UK's Command Paper was a clear sign that the UK's view on its obligations differed from that of the EU.

Were these differences addressed at the time? No, of course not.

/3
Continous refusal to address the problem or to admit that there is still a long way to go before we have a stable, workable solution is making what was already a challenging situation - worse.

/4
Plus, on top of the actual technical difficulties, you have politics and various stakeholders using the Protocol as part of their own narrative.

/5
It's frustrating cause it was so predictable.

It's frustrating cause it was so mishandled.

It's frustrating cause if there is one area where a workable solution depends on goodwill, compromise and trust - it's this.

/6
There are no shortcuts here cause there are no off the shelf solutions to the problem.

So I look forward to the day when we start thinking about an actual compromise and accepting the consequences of all our previous decisions.

7/7

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More from @AnnaJerzewska

5 Jun
So I have a feeling many companies are in for a rude awakening this month - the first round of supplementary customs declarations for companies importing from the EU

/1
Thanks to the UK Gov's easements there was an option to defer customs declarations for the first 6 months and submit the bare minimum of data at the time of import (usually done by the carrier, logistics provider)

/2
This was to be followed by a full, supplementary declaration up to 175 days later.

Which, you guessed it, is this month.

/3
Read 10 tweets
2 Jun
Great article on inventory management (just in time) and the global pandemic - it's more interesting than you think.

JIT, global supply chains, the shipping crisis and what companies should do next. Are we going to see more supply chains resilience?
/1


nytimes.com/2021/06/01/bus…
While I have often said that I don't believe the pandemic will significantly shift supply chains (which are formed as a response to costs, availability, taxes and a number of other factors) I was thinking it's likely to impact the approach to inventory management.

/2
The authors are equally sceptical about "supply chain resilience" but go even further when it comes to assessing the likelihood of impact on the type of inventory management - expanding storage space and increasing your inventory costs money.

/3 Image
Read 5 tweets
1 Jun
Interesting points by @CoppetainPU on WTO transparency (catching up on my reading)

Does transparency help or hinder trade negotiations, formation of trade policy etc?

/1

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…
While this focuses on the WTO, obviously parallels can be drawn between the WTO transparency debate, the wider transparency in trade debate and the recent discussions around the UK's trade strategy (FTA talks).

/2
I think when it comes to transparency in trade a question that's more important than "should we?" is "how to?".

At the WTO, in the UK and everywhere else.

/3
Read 4 tweets
28 May
Interesting ongoing🧵on preference utilisation and the TCA.

A few quick thoughts

Utilisation rates are never 100%. That’s normal. However, the question is why are companies not using the TCA.

/1
Two possible reasons. Companies are not using preferential tariffs (0%) because

1⃣ they can’t cause they don’t meet rules of origin (e.g. re-sale of goods imported from elsewhere; or

2⃣ they don’t know how to

/2
Not much you can do about 1⃣. Supply chains adjust over time. Perhaps some of these companies can gradually switch to different suppliers.

/3
Read 8 tweets
26 May
Comments from Alexander and Chip worth reading 👇

Yes, we did have proper public consultations on the FTAs with Australia, New Zealand, the US and CPTPP back in July - October 2018.

/1
But I also remember where we were in the Brexit debate around the same time and I think the potential impact, scope and trade-offs related to FTAs might not have been fully understood.

/2
To be fair, I recently had an opportunity to ask a few companies about their interest in and "wish list" for these FTAs (not a representative sample) and the interest and level of engagement was really low.

/3
Read 5 tweets
20 May
Great conversation just now with @GrahamZebedee UK’s Chief Negotiator to the CPTPP and @Liam_Sm_Y_th Director of Trade Facilitation at the @britishchambers

One more point I wanted to mention.

/1
We talked about overlapping agreements - bilaterals vs the CPTPP.
@Liam_Sm_Y_th made a good point - that it's the traders that bring these agreements to life.

So...

/2
Combining these two points - with the overlapping trade agreements it's going to be even more crucial to provide UK companies with a good source of reliable information on market access conditions and requirements under all existing deals.

/3
Read 6 tweets

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