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Tar โšก Profile picture
@itsTarH
Jun 5, 2021 โ€ข 20 tweets โ€ข 5 min read โ€ข Read on X
All my Threads so far ๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿผ
The One with the Cash Flow Explained ๐Ÿ’ฐ
The One with Free Cash Flow Explained ๐Ÿ’ธ
The One with Mutual Funds ๐Ÿ’ก
The One on Laurus Labs ๐Ÿงช๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿผโ€๐Ÿ”ฌ๐Ÿ‘ฉ๐Ÿผโ€๐Ÿ”ฌ
The One on Gujarat Gas ๐Ÿญ
The One on Proxy Investing

The One with Investing Principles

The One on Strides and Stelis
The One on Porter's 5 Forces (with Divis Labs as an example)

The One on Indexes, Explained

The One with Case Studies on Super Investors
The One with DuPont and ROCE, Explained
The One with Peter Lynch's Six Type of Stocks
The One on Personal Finance
The One on Valuations
The One on Special Situations
The one on Risk Management and Position Sizing
The One on Solar and Renewables
The One on Industry Research, Company Research and Building Investment Cases with Margin of Safety

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @itsTarH

Tar โšก Profile picture
Jun 10, 2023
1/ It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee. In this thread, I will explain:

1. What is Behavioral Finance?
2. What are biases and how do they impact 99% of investors?
3. What are different types of biases and how to overcome them?

Let's dive right in. Image
2/ Behavioral finance is a field that studies how psychological, human biases and emotions influence financial and investment decision-making. Image
3/ Humans by nature are driven by emotions and are a irrational species.

This irrationality seeps through in investing, finance and global capital markets.
Read 39 tweets
Tar โšก Profile picture
Jun 3, 2023
1/ It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee. In this thread, I will explain:

1. What is cost of capital and WACC?
2. How does a company's capital structure impact its valuations?
3. How to code WACC as a field in screener?

Let's dive right in. Image
2/ Before we start to explore cost of capital, we first need to understand what is meant by capital structure of a company. Image
3/ Any business at a very simplified level, works in three steps

Step 1: Raise funds from various types of investors
Step 2: Use those funds to build projects that generate higher returns
Step 3: Deliver excess returns back to investors Image
Read 38 tweets
Tar โšก Profile picture
Mar 15, 2023
US Fed's new Emergency Stabilization Plan

1โƒฃ Provide loans to banks
2โƒฃ Value US Treasuries held by banks at par for collateral, even if they are currently not valued at par
3โƒฃ Inject USD 25B into banking system

They are calling it BTLP

Its essentially QE with a different label
It took Fed ~2 years to sell $600B and only a few days to reverse 50% of that

Just last week alone Fed bought $300B worth of assets

Current size of Fed Balance Sheet ~8.5Trillion USD Image
This is the MOVE index, its volatility index for Bonds, similar to what VIX is for equities

The only time when MOVE was higher than current levels, was in 2008 Image
Read 4 tweets
Tar โšก Profile picture
Mar 1, 2023
Why you should not be wasting your time with microcaps (less than 500cr market cap)

A data driven analysis ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
As of last week, there are ~4250 listed companies in ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ stock market representing about ~3.23T USD

Of these 4250, about ~49% (2069) are below 100cr market cap and further about ~21% (900) are between 100cr to 500cr market cap

Effectively ~70% of listed universe is below 500cr
The rest 30% (1281) of listed companies are above 500cr market cap.

Here too we can refined it further.
Read 14 tweets
Tar โšก Profile picture
Jan 30, 2023
#AartiPharmaLabs lists today, here are some slides from my presentation at @ias_summit to help you understand the business โคต๏ธ

The current share price is expensive, I wouldn't be a buyer at this price ๐Ÿ›‘

D: Not an investment recommendation ImageImageImageImage
@ias_summit At 315/share, the market is implying a market cap of ~2850.75cr to the company or a PE multiple of ~18x TTM earnings
@ias_summit Since, the implied valuation is towards a premium & there are large institutional holdings in Aarti Industries, expect decent amount of selling in next few weeks

On the other hand, I also believe promoters will raise stake so need to monitor this for sometime before entering
Read 10 tweets
Tar โšก Profile picture
Jan 1, 2023
All upgrades I have made to my investing process in 2022

1โƒฃ Automated macro/ global financial health monitoring
2โƒฃ Metric + Data driven monitoring of price + volume in Indian stocks
3โƒฃ Incorporated technicals & stages into buy/sell process
4โƒฃ Automated analysis of insider buying
5โƒฃ Proper Industry & Sub Industry Classification of all stocks > 100cr market cap
6โƒฃ Automated signal generation of bulk/block deals
7โƒฃ Create a bot to fetch, save and organize research reports into G Drive
8โƒฃ Better organization of notes & research material via Discord
9โƒฃ Custom alerts in screener for low float stocks, WACC multiples, EBITDA expansion & financial shenanigans

๐Ÿ”Ÿ Automated daily classification and filtering of relevant BSE Announcements

Next Up: Automating classification and tracking of all special situations
Read 4 tweets

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