Puff Dragon Profile picture
Jun 6, 2021 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ Chart study from Dragon's Den. Chart posted below on May 28 with current inset on top. So far so good. Another major time zone 6-7 to 6-9/11. Goods odds of drop to black channel ~4140 starting Monday.
2/ Lower black channel is super important so watch carefully. Break that and a slight alternate to above says we're done just in case.
3/ For now, let's assume black channel holds. The fractal pattern posted last week is also holding and that means time for another one of those green zigzags down.
4/ Either way, we are at or close to a major high. May 10th was extremely significant and though it has been nearly a month since, and there has been no significant decline *yet*, we have also yet to make a new closing high since then. Is June 7 secondary top?
5/ Tech has already broken and signs for another reversal lower abound. $ARKK for one has a perfect back test of triangle which happens to be at price where 50 and 200 MA converges and all on falling volume. 80's at a min coming up next
6/ Some like $GOOG haven't broken yet, but clearly in terminating wedge with little room left AND all on falling volume here too. Once lower blue line breaks, 2000 and maybe 1800 will come fast
7/ Let's talk $NVDA. I find symmetrical patterns like this amazing. 650 next.
8/ Commodities have been on an inflationary tear, but if oil has anything to say, it may be sending a clue that deflation is around the corner. 5 wave wedge, falling volume and clearly the last leg momentum is dying. Major trend line tag coming too.
9/ $VIX. Chart says it all. MAJOR.
10/ Weekly S&P. While not for timing, tons of clues we are nearing major peak on the run since 2009.
11/ Given all the clues, we are still in wedge since Nov 2020 but range is narrowing and weakness building. 4400 is top wedge max but we likely fall well short of that and time is running out. Break 4140 - stick a fork in this pig of a market and the great unraveling begins. End

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More from @PuffDragon11

Feb 24, 2022
1/ Despite this being the most "telegraphed" invasion over the last two weeks, I think market responses are different and given the last 2-3 days, I can potentially see why. The implications are global and longer term.
2/ The US response has been weak and practically non-existent. #1, this gave Putin the go-ahead having nothing to fear. #2, China is watching, I guarantee. If the US response to this is pathetic, you can bet, this gives them the go-ahead for full Taiwan and Hong Kong take over.
3/ Sadly, this has the possibility of triggering something major, yes like WW3 in a cascading affect. God help us....
Read 4 tweets
Feb 23, 2022
2/ In Sept/Oct 2020, the market created an ABC corrective and then took off on a tear. Top of that white candle off the low is 3272. WE NEVER filled that gap. Coincidence?
3/ Still playing with numbers...but Timing analysis puts ~Mar 11 as the low, ~3274 if it plays out. In a waterfall decline, the worst comes at the end as the drop slowly accelerates. The boiling frog comes to mind.
4/ Vix is rather tame so far given what has transpired over last few days. NO PANIC relative to what we saw going into Jan 24.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 22, 2021
1/ You get the MMR (measles, mumps, rubella vaccine) at 9-15 months and a booster at 4-6 years. You know how long that lasts? Forever. Covid vaccine doesn't even last 6 months and you already need a 3rd shot as a booster. The truth is right in front of you.
2/ Other vaccines took many, many, many years of clinical trials before being approved. Covid? Less than 6 months for FDA approval. Truth is again right in front of you. There was NEVER any long term testing done and it still does not exist. The mass public is the clinical trial
3/ MMR works on attenuated virus (whole but incapacitated) to stimulate your natural immunity, and produces memory T and B cells so you are protected - we covered this - forever. mRNA is not = virus and doesn't even last 6 months. No memory T and B cells.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 8, 2021
1/ Can't help to see how eerily similar the set up is. June 7-9-11 is Major window. Does the centerpoint on 9th finally break? STILL have not closed above May 10 high.
2/ I am not seeing strength here. Potential ending fractal where there is a rally in green and red corrective. However, each "break" results in a substantially weaker rally. The B wave top of each red for first 2 were both gap and crap. Out of room on the last one.
3/ $AAPL Seeing trouble. That's a valid 3 wave corrective bear flag on the right and on falling volume. Possible HS also with falling volume targets 103 on the break. Major market general here could help take down the market.
Read 9 tweets
May 1, 2021
1/ Chart study from the Dragon's Den. Bank index first. $BKX
2/ Weekly. Major RSI spikes catch significant highs and lows leading to pauses or more likely, reversal. Large ABC pattern looks complete. B wave classic flat. Image
3/ $BKX ABC-X-ABC zigzag since Oct is pretty clean. B waves channel perfectly for textbook structure. Not much more to go. Image
Read 23 tweets
Mar 17, 2021
1/ You don't have to trade every day to make good money. In fact, shorter term time frames can actually be more challenging because signals are influence by higher time and lower time frames. Let things line up and take the few trades that REALLY skew things in your favor.
2/ Commodities are about to hit a brick wall. Everyone says inflation. NO!! Weeklies are awesome for long term. Line up RSI and buyer/seller ADX spikes for best results. Throw in some trend lines which correlate and you have a perfect set up.
3/ Time frames are absolutely critical. Buyer/seller or RSI spikes on the monthly may be good for more than a year. Weekly for 6-12 months. Daily for 1-4 months. 60 min - 1-3 weeks. Don't overplay signals
Read 8 tweets

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