In honor of the 10th anniversary of launching Twitch, I thought I’d share some of the lessons I learned along the way. Each of these insights could probably be expanded into an essay, of course. Like the ones you would want me to expand on in the future.
Most of these insights are things I heard someone else say, as a caveat. I’m not claiming that I thought this all up myself! They’re the things that I find myself telling people over and over when they ask me for advice.
Make something 10 people completely love, not something most people think is pretty good.
If your product is for consumers, either it’s a daily habit, it’s used consistently in response to an external trigger, or it’s not going to grow.
There are only five growth strategies that exist, and your product probably only fits one. Press isn’t a growth strategy, and neither is word of mouth.
The five growth strategies are high-touch sales, paid advertising, intrinsic virality, intrinsic influencer incentives (Twitch!), and platform hacks.
For internet companies, growth is more important than profit. It’s very rare for a company to achieve massive scale of use, and then die because they can’t figure out the economics. The reverse is common.
Ignore your competitors, but don’t ignore their customers.
If you’re a first time manager, you suck. That’s ok, everyone sucks. Apologize to your employees, get a coach or join a support group, read books, and generally treat management like a new important skill you can master.
Every time you add a layer of hierarchy underneath you, your job as a leader changes against and gets harder. You have to keep learning and growing. Note: good reason not to hire too fast!
You know when you need to hire: when you just can’t keep up with all the work, and desperately need someone else to take over some part of the job.
Plans are useless, but planning is essential.
Your time horizon for strategic planning should approximately be equal to the length of time your organization has existed so far.
Over time, develop a huge vision that’s bigger than any specific thing you’re working on. Put it as far in the future, and make it as huge, as you have the guts to.
You think you have a morale problem; a management problem; a recruiting problem; you don’t. You have a growth problem. Nothing succeeds like success.
Three ways to have a startup idea: something you want, something you’ve directly experienced others needing, something you’ve invented through analytic thought. They are listed in order of increasing risk.
Your culture is determined by what people perceive to be the behaviors you reward and punish. Note: Not what you actually reward and punish, and also not what you say you reward and punish.
Company cultures are reflection of their founders. To change your company's culture, seek to change how you behave. To change your company's values, seek to change what you value.
Letting an underperforming employee go is difficult and painful. You invested a lot in hiring them, and you want them to succeed. As a result you will almost always fire too late.
Presume deals won’t close and manage accordingly. Not only do deals fall through as a default, if you need the deal to close it impacts negotiations and actually makes it less likely to close.
Do the job before you hire for it. You know nothing about X, so you think you need to hire an expert in X. But you can’t tell which experts are any good until you’ve learned enough to be dangerous yourself. (Exception: cofounders)
Don’t start a company. You aren’t cut out for it. And if I can persuade you not to start a company by saying it in this tweet, definitely don’t start a company. You’re buying the economy-sized amount of effort and pain.
Today is the best time ever to start a company. You might fail, you might succeed, it’s a crazy ride either way, and you’ll learn and grow more than at any job.
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I got prescribed a drug you took once a day for ~120 days, preferably at the same hour. So I set an alarm on my phone, carried my pills with me everywhere, and took them. When my MD asked about compliance and I said I hadn’t missed any pills, they expressed significant surprise.
Reflecting on why I had such high consistency was interesting. There’s no way I’d have spontaneously remembered to take the pill at the same time without a system. I’m not particularly disciplined! I’d even say the opposite. I was surprised every evening when my alarm went off.
But I know that about myself and because I was carrying a cell phone I could have an alarm have the discipline for me. And because I love process design making myself a little process was fun and natural.
Catalysis lowers the free energy requirements to access some part of the state space. Constraint does the opposite by increasing instead.
So if you understand the world as a space subject to thermodynamics, catalysis and constraint are the two fundamental actions any agent can take to change the world.
Everything you do either constrains outcomes away from parts of the space, or catalyzes a pathway into a new part of the space. No other moves possible!
The idea of a sufficient statistic is one of the most powerful ideas that I somehow missed in my academic education even though I took a fair amount of statistics.
Like ~everything else in statistics, it was invented by Sir Ronald Fisher but had fallen out of favor because of the rise of descriptive statistics. With inferential statistics coming back in fashion sufficient statistics have come back too.
The formal definition for a sufficient statistic is basically a function over a whole set which suffices to infer any prediction you want of a given parameter. That's really abstract though and I don't find very useful.
Does an automated camera barking at people actually make them move? Who knows, but no one can accuse the dumb camera of discrimination — because it doesn’t discriminate on any basis at all, reasonable of wrong.
Someone decided that people loitering outside the store was a problem. Leave aside whether the problem is real or not — this is the solution? It is a need to be seen Doing Something, without risking failure.
In biochemistry there are “autocatalytic sets”. Each peptide catalyzes the formation of the next, until the last peptide catalyzes the production of the first one again. This is a “critical” system (criticality is ~the boundary between order and chaos) ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
In a normal state space the % of critical states is small. Basically, it’s hard to find one sampling at random. They’re also not in any predictable place, there’s no way to know if a state is critical without testing it. So it seems finding those 3 ideas is impossible!
Yet all living things are critical systems like this. All life is built on those self-catalyzing cycles with no obvious source. As it is asked: “Which came first, the chicken or the egg?”
Apropos the recent controversy: the word delve is rarely used in English. Except used by LLMs, and in formal register Nigerian English.
This has sparked controversy bc making fun of someone for using “delve” and sounding like an AI (which it does indicate in a probabilistic way) could reasonably feel like an attack on a Nigerian using their formal register.
There has been a long trend in American culture against the formal register, it sounds pompous and ridiculous today. We have had a mass movement against the formal over the past 100 years (hoodies over suits, formal etiquette is dead, death of formal address like sir/maam).