โข 7 years young
โข Negative earnings
โข Negative cash flow
โข Diluting shareholders
Yip, itโs a negative for me.
Donโt run away kicking and screaming just yet, like @YoungInvestor03 said to me, he has more time on his hands and he is willing to take on more risk.
Two things to consider here, are you:
โขRisk averse
โขRisk tolerant
*If youโre risk averse, then this stock isnโt for you
$REN
Letโs unpack what we have learnt so far:
โข Sales revenue has been dropping since 2018
โข 26% decline in sales growth from the prior year.
Not looking pretty, whereโs those accountants now??
$REN
โขNet income negative for 5 years (2017-2021)
In 2020 = NEGATIVE net income
(R52 million)
Average 5 year negative net income. (R191million)
Yes,
thatโs shareholders getting diluted right there, or company must take on debt - probably both (double whammy)
Dilution or Debt
1. If I company is growing, itโs natural for them to take on debt for expansion.
2. Or you can raise capital from share issuance
*Shareholders are diluted if the latter.
Yip, $REN shareholders are being diluted, you are funding the companies losses. Yay!
Type of investor?
Now, you may be saying SELL, SELL.
But hold on.... whereโs your conviction? Or did you buy a meme stock?
If you buying meme stocks, you arenโt an investor, you are a speculator.
Know what type of investor you are. Be honest with yourself.
Risk-reward ratio
More risk = more reward
Less risk = less reward
Do you believe in management to make it a success, or are you just hoping?
If you trust them, then you deserve to be rewarded in the long run- if they succeed. You could benefit greatly or you could go bust.
Capital Expenditure (Capex)
Follow the money
$REN has been operational since 2014.
So they need funding to grow, probably like what @MissNthabeleng is trying to do.
If you have conviction in the founders/managementโs success then go for it. Those lessons are yours to learn
Management
Itโs managementโs responsibility to invest the capital prudently, they may fail, they may not.
Know this
โข Managements t/record
โข Insider capital
โข Length employees tenure
โข Pay scale
โข Compensation
KeyTakeaway:
Know what your are investing in.
Thanks for making it to the end,
Weโll update you as we learn more @YoungInvestor03 has homework to do. Please feel free to give him companies to look at
โข โข โข
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force a refresh
Let me explain the difference between RSA Retail Savings Bonds and tradable South African bonds.
๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ป
** Glossary **
๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ:
A bond is a debt security. You can think of it as an I-O-U.
You lend money to someone, and then they promise to pay that money back to you + interest.
๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐:
Refers to the date on which the bond issuer (debtor) pays back everything they owe to bondholders ( creditor ).
1/ Introduction
When it comes to bonds there are two markets one can opt to participate in:
๐ The Primary Market
๐ The Secondary Market
The primary market is where you ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ด๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ but then cannot sell it to someone else because there is no secondary market for it.
๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ and this is what makes them different from tradable government bonds.
Tradable government bonds have a secondary market where they can be traded or held to maturity.
This means you can sell it when you want to, but it also means you can potentially lose money if the bond price has fallen lower than your original purchase price.
With tradable government bonds, you are ๐๐๐ฏ๐ท๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ธ.
๐๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด records information related to a businessโs transactions,
It provides a summary of statements reflecting the financial performance of an entity. Think of it as the ๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฏ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐.
National Treasury ( NT ) plans to use the ๐๐ป๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ from the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account ( GFECRA )
They call it โ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ฎ๐น๐นโ arrangement
Learn more ๐ป
** Glossary **
โช๏ธNational Treasury
โช๏ธGFECRA
National Treasury is one of many departments of the South African Government
The Treasury falls within the portfolio of the Minister of Finance, and the role of NT is to manage the Governmentโs Finances.
The South African Revenue Service (SARS) and Statistics South Africa also fall under this wing.
โโโโโโ-
The Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account is a tool used to safeguard the country's financial stability.
This accountโs purpose is in its name, it holds the reserves of gold and foreign currencies South Africa has built up.
1/ The Waterfall Arrangement
๐ฆ๐ถ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ถ๐ป *๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ, it means it has grown larger over the years due to currency depreciation.
( remember this, cause this will be important later on )
โโโโโ
Going forward, the funds from the GFECRA will now be distributed into 3 pools, ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐ธ๐ป๐ผ๐๐ป ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ฎ๐น๐น ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐.
*Unsettled funds going into ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ๐, means funds that entered into the account and had no purpose, they werenโt allocated or spent to anything specific.
*Picture just for visualization purposes to show the 3 Pools ( Waterfall arrangement)
The story dates back to 1886 and can be traced to the days of the Johannesburg Gold rush.
Here is how a man with a small brewery in Northern Natal led to the historic legacy of the South African Breweries (SAB)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Charles Glass, British-Born-Brewer, established Glass & Co in 1864, which ended up giving birth to a global powerhouse in the later years.
As time passed, he saw a money making opportunity in the market, to provide miners with beer in the Witwatersrand Reef (๐ฎ๐น๐๐ผ ๐ธ๐ป๐ผ๐๐ป ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ).
The beer soon became a hit that Charles and his wife, Lisa, decided to set up their brewery in the business centre of the town to capture the influx of fortune seekers coming to Witwatersrand Reef.
The phrase โ๐๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฎ ๐ด๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐๐๐ต, ๐๐ฒ๐น๐น ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐โ, seems more appropriate hereโ.
His beer brew took some time to gain traction, it was only when Charles Glassโs new beer, ๐๐ฎ๐๐๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฟ, was introduced that he won the miners over and secured the market.
It was in 1884 that Castleโs famous label, ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ-๐๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฑ.
As a result of his success with Castle Beer, he renamed his business to โ๐๐ฎ๐๐๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐โ and focused on distribution, to expand.
Because of the extraordinary quantities of gold that had been extracted from the Witwatersrand rocks,
๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ผ๐๐๐ต ๐๐ณ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ป๐ฎ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ญ๐ต๐ฒ๐ญ upon the declaration of the republic
Learn more here:
The History of the South African Reserve Bank ๐๐ฝ
The lease on their premise expires, and J. M. L. Baumann purchases the bakery operations from his uncle
๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ญ๐ด๐ด๐ฑ - ๐ญ๐ด๐ต๐ฑ, he (J.M.L) constructs a small building and starts to buy biscuit machinery, to make more โ๐๐๐๐๐ข ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โ such as, ginger nuts and marie biscuits.
The company starts to falter because of the anti-German riots, which leads to the bakery and shop being burnt to the ground, ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ฝ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐, there are massive supply disruptions across the country during the Great Depression
๐๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ,
a couple of things worked out in their favor.
(I) The factory manages to survive the anti-German riots of 1915, mainly because it was producing biscuits for the army, so the factory was put under government protection to prevent further damage.
(ii) the company's name changes from Baumann's (German) to ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ, thus giving birth to the iconic brand we now know today.
The famous Bakerโs mascot makes its first appearance on the packaging in 1923.
2/ The Following Chapter
The Family business is passed down from generation to generation, an epitome, of generational wealth.