Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 9, 2021 31 tweets 14 min read Read on X
Alright, since the Bilge Pumps episode 52 is up, and I really didn't get a chance to go deep with US military 3D printing as is, versus what I see coming.

I'm going to drop a background thread here to do just that.

Note: long thread warning
1/
the-bilgepumps.simplecast.com/episodes/bilge…
3D Printing/Additive Mfg has been around for a while.

The four “foundational” patents for 3D/AM processes were issued one each in 1984 and 1986 with the remaining two in 1989.

Two National Science Foundation impacted 3D/AM patents were issued in 1987 and 1995. (See photo)
2/
RAND in 2017 identified seven different 3D/AM Processes for seven material classes.
3/
U.S. Gov't 3D/AM Processes Senior Policy Maker Timeline

Jun 2011 - Pres. Obama launched the Advanced Manufacturing Partnership (AMP)

2012 -- National Network for Manufacturing Innovation (NNMI), $1 billion program

2013 Mil-STD-31000A for 3D Model tech data packages (TDP)
4/
...was issued

2014 – US Military Service Chiefs include 3D/AM in strategic visions of their organizations

Sep 2016 - NNMI Rebranded “Manufacturing USA” by Commerce Dept.

2017 – DOD AM Roadmap with common requirements & objectives from DLA & Services AM roadmaps
5/
2018 – “Legacy Tech Data Package Crisis” identified.

The attached painting of an autonomous ground resupply convoy with automated driving and 3D printing vans as provided in 2014 by Chief of Staff of the Army (CSA) Gen. Raymond T. Odierno as his service's 3D/AM vision.

6/
3D/AM excels in low volume production runs compared to traditional mass production.

This helps in prototyping and engineering development and spares production for legacy users after new sales no longer support a large production line.
7/
3D/AM processes reduce the total cost of ownership of a product/weapons system by eliminating either or both the overhead of inefficient production lines & large stocks of spare parts with their cost of storage.

8/
Military procurement and commercial life cycles both benefit from 3D/AM’s speed in prototyping and providing low volume production. Redesigning existing parts to use fewer components via AM often makes for lower weight and higher reliability in existing applications.
9/
These are examples of two emerging 3D/AM products at the current state of the art.

o Aerojet Rocketdyne RL10 rocket engine (re-engineered w/lower part count)

o GE Printed Turboprop engine (New design w/fewer parts & has an economic low rate production)
10/
Where 3D/AM beats mass production manufacturing methods are when existing parts weigh more and are less reliable in existing applications.

See:
The future of spare parts is 3D
© 2017 PwC
Dr. Reinhard Geissbauer, Dr. Jorge Lehr, Jens
strategyand.pwc.com/media/file/The…
11/
The 3D printed fuel nozzle for the GE Leap 1 turbofan engine uses 19 fuel nozzles per engine and a 3D part is 33% lighter, lasts 5-times longer and reduces fuel consumption due to optimized fuel paths.

If you have flown in a 737X or Airbus jet built since 2016.
12/
Your GE Engine has been using a 3D Printed Fuel Injection Nozzle.

3D/AM processes can also scale per national tariffs, as small 3D/AM manufacturing cells can be established for local production. If geo-political market condition warrant.

13/
So, I've touched on the US gov't senior policy making & market penetration of 3D/AM. What has this to do with the day to day functioning of the US Military?

A great deal, as it turns out.

14/
The US Army has developed three families of ISO container manufacturing facilities to meet mission readiness requirement since 9/11/2001 via spares production.

These started with CNC machines and has since added CMM, 3D/AM manufacturing, and CAD/CAM capabilities.

15/
This is a Mobile Parts Hospital Ver. 1.0 (2003 – 2009) in Balad Iraq. 100,000 parts were built 24/7 at three MPH by 2009 via a computer-controlled Mazatral 640MT PRO lathe.
16/
MPH Ver. 2.0 -- Mobile Technology Complex (2010)

This is a MPH developed for SOCOM with 3-D Printer
It can fix more complex and exotic gear as well as create new capabilities in the field

See:
Logistics: Smaller, Lighter, Faster, Cheaper, Unexpected
strategypage.com/htmw/htlog/201…
17/
MPH Ver. 3.0 -- Expeditionary Lab (2013)

* More compact and relies more on 3-D Printers
* Computer-aided design workstation
* Operators trained to help users come up with designs for components that don’t yet exist

18/
All of this effort was noticed by DARPA and the USN.
Under DARPA’s Manufacturing Experimentation & Outreach Two (MENTOR2) program a fabrication laboratory, or Fab Lab, was located at the Mid-Atlantic Regional Maintenance Center (MARMC, pronounced “mar-mack”) in Norfolk, Va.
19/
The goal of MENTOR2 is to reduce logistics supply chain costs and boost defense readiness by improving training and tools for operating, maintaining and adapting complex military equipment in low-tech environments.
darpa.mil/program/manufa…
20/
The US Navy has deployed 3D/AM devices and FAB LAB’s on combat deployment since 2014.

USS Essex (LHD-2) 2014 3D Printer (test)
USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) 2015 MARMC Mini-Fab Lab
USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75) 2015 MARMC Mini-Fab Lab
USS Wasp (LHD 1) 2016 MARMC Mini-Fab Lab

21/
USMC Ex-MAN 3D/AM containerized spares production facility had exercised with prepositioned ships in recent years.

USNS Sacagawea (T-AKE 2) - Seen w/Aegis cruiser USS Mobile Bay
USNS Robert E Peary (T-AKE 5). – Seen top Left
22/
The lead US service in 3D/AM is the Marine Corps. USMC “MARSOC” Humvee heavy add-on armor kits had been causing their tow hook brackets break at high rates.

The USMC used it’s Fab Lab capability to redesign & print tow hooks to be 15% lighter and less likely to break.
23/
What was the hook for the USS Ford as USS Unicorn was what the USMC was doing with it's quad-copter drone.

The Nibbler was a 3D Printed/AM Drone

24/
The ability to build on the spot spares kept the Nibble drones flying at a far higher rate than traditionally procured drones.

This is a USMC example of where 3D/AM manufacturing technology will change the DoD supply base.
25/
The services want to be able to print very low production runs of legacy parts, or remanufactured for 3D/AM new TDP for legacy parts in order to keep legacy systems operational to meet mission requirements.

And there is a whole lotta "legacy."
26/
When production of the military airframes in these photos stopped.

1962 -- B-52
1968 - C-5
1970 - KC-135
1983 - A-10

The end of A-10 Warthog production is closer to WW2 than 2021.
27/
The problem with this 3D/AM policy objective and USMC execution of same is the US Government does not own all of the intellectual property rights for the legacy weapon TDP's.

See:

US Air Force Is Waiting a Year for Parts That It Could 3D-Print
defenseone.com/business/2018/…
28/
3D/AM simply works best with new/current production weapons for reasons of TDP rights.

A 3D/AM drone facility on USS Ford with a F-35B & V-22 VSTOL & Drone air group side steps the issues with the EMALS catapult & weapons lifts.
29/
That argument was what I sold to @ArmouredCarrier and got me on Episode 52 of the bilge Pumps podcast.

/End.

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More from @TrentTelenko

May 23
This is another reminder that Peer-to-Peer drone warfare is all about attrition loss curves.

Ukraine's drones has made the roads of occupied southern Ukraine into an "anti-access area denial" (A2AD) kill zones for Russian trucks.
1/ Image
Ukraine has achieved "Drone air superiority" over those roads rivaling WW2's Summer 1944 Allied air superiority over German occupied Normandy.

As a result, the Russian truck fleet is taking unsustainable attrition, particularly of its fuel tanker fleet.
2/ Image
Image
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This AFU fuel interdiction campaign is causing panic:

"Fuel shortages are beginning in Sevastopol. This is the beginning of the consequences of the enemy's systematic strikes on oil refineries and tanker trucks along the land corridor to Crimea."
3/
Read 5 tweets
May 22
If true, it looks like Russian truck fuel logistics has completely fallen part on the Rostov-Dzhankoy highway.

This has a lot of strategic geo-political implications.

A2AD & Truck Logistics 🧵

1/
Given few/no trains, these are the Russian truck logistical facts of life:

1. At ~300 miles/480 km, tactical truck's only payload is fuel for a return trip**

2/ Image
2. A 56 mile/90 km radius from a supply point allows three trips a day with refueling & mechanized logistics to load & unload a truck

3/ Image
Read 19 tweets
May 21
Texas has seven unique advantages in terms of infrastructure, political culture, and resource geography that make it uniquely suited to be the next industrial heartland of the USA.

The seven industrial development advantages of Texas 🧵
1/
They are as follows:

1. About 94% of land in Texas is privately held. This vastly limits what the Federal, State and local governments can do to in terms of regulations and NIMBY games.

2/ Image
2. Texas is mostly flat. Texas hill country is small beer compared to the Appalachian and Sierra Nevada mountain ranges. This compounds with #1 for industrial development.

3. Texas has a lot of water compared to the US west & sea access.

3/ Image
Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
May 20
I am still trying to see the military relevance of the MV-75 Cheyenne II.

Especially when 3rd rate powers like Iran have Qaem-118” (Ghaem-118) / “Misagh-358” jet engine powered, loitering, surface to air munitions.

1/4
The MV-75 Cheyenne II can't outrun a jet powered munition.

These things. ⬇️

2/4

None of the standard US Suppression of Enemy air Defense (SEAD) radar sensor detection practices work on a “Misagh-358.”

3/4
Read 5 tweets
May 12
This is one of the most logistically incompetent hot takes by any German journalist in the Russo-Ukrainian War.

95% getting through is a 5% loss rate per trip
95%(x) for 10 to 20 kills means x = 200 to 400 trucks on this route
10 trips means 40% total fleet loss - 80 to 160 trucks
1/Image
You can follow the 5% loss curve in this 500 unit fleet at 10 exposures in the graphic below.

A 40% fleet loss in 10 days from a 5% drone loss rate is logistical collapse for the Russian Army in occupied Ukraine.

Only some trying to get AfD eyeballs would say different.

2/ Image
This leaves out the fact that the Russian Army doesn't use *ANY* mechanized logistical enabler like pallets, Truck D-rings, forklifts, or telehandlers.

Russian trucks are in the drone kill zones 3 times as long as a Western truck due to loading times.

Receipts:
3/3
x.com/i/grok/share/e…
Read 4 tweets
May 10
Regarding this:

"The DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missile, with a range of approximately 4,000 to 5,000 kilometers, was specifically designed and publicly nicknamed by Chinese military analysts as the "Guam Killer.""

I disagree with those analysts.
1/
The Chinese PD-2900 drone (2,500 km range, 12-hour endurance, 250 km/h speed, stealthy Su-57-like design) is far more a "Guam Killer" than the DF-26.

It is a matter of numbers.

2/
As laid out by warquants -dot- com, China is buying one million OWA drones to destroy all US/Taiwan/Taiwan allied military logistics from Guam to the China coast.

A quantity of one million "Shaheed plus" class OWA drones has quality all its own.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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