BREAKING: cases of the India Delta variant have risen from 12431 to 42323 in *a week* - 21 June looking increasingly unlikely
PHE analysis suggests Delta is 60% more transmissible than Kent/Alpha
Please do not shoot the messenger! Thank you in advance
With widespread vaccination, cases are not converting to hospitalisations as much as they did in previous waves. But a large increase in cases still matter, because it’s a question of scale…
Small numbers of people who are unvaccinated + small numbers of vaccinated people who still go to hospital because jabs not 100% effective + small numbers of people getting sick after one dose x 60% more transmissible variant = a lot of people in hospital
There is however good news in the PHE document of further evidence the link between cases and serious disease is being broken by vaccines - 2/3 of people in hospital with Delta are unvaccinated…
For what it’s worth - and as I say in the piece - I don’t think this will mean 21 June goes ahead but it looks good for the medium-term, if more people can get double dosed by early July

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Jane Merrick

Jane Merrick Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @janemerrick23

10 Jun
Greg Clark confirms that despite agreeing to at his committee appearance, Dominic Cummings has not provided any evidence to back up his allegations against Matt Hancock in time for today’s hearing, nor has he provided an explanation
Hancock says “no” to question of did he say anything to PM that he knew to be untrue
Did he say people got the treatment they deserved knowing it to be untrue? Says no, he was advised at time that people were getting treatment they deserved
Read 21 tweets
9 Jun
Since reading Gareth Southgate’s Dear England piece, this line - “we are independent thinkers” - has stayed with me. That’s it isn’t it?
We lament division, rightly, when it causes harm but we have always embraced debate, constantly questioning group think. This isn’t unique to England or the U.K. of course, but diversity of opinion has been a common quality of successful political parties, culture, the arts
We’ve always embraced individuality and questioning of authority. It’s why tribal politics makes me - and many others - feel a bit itchy. The MPs I admire the most are those who challenge their own parties’ orthodoxy.
Read 7 tweets
27 May
At the daily Downing St press conference on Sunday 5 April 2020 I tried to ask Jenny Harries, alongside Matt Hancock, what the plan was for testing in care homes. I always remember this because I had to follow up twice to get an answer because she wasn’t completely clear 1/
The answer in the end was they were doing 5 in each setting & where there had been outbreaks. Harries said “we wouldn’t necessarily test everybody”. This sounded odd at the time - this isn’t hindsight - & I kept asking when there would be a plan to do proper testing in care homes
Anyway, if anyone is interested, here is the transcript courtesy of - it’s quite long
Read 4 tweets
26 May
I feel like I might be in a minority but I’m approaching the Cummings hearing like this: he’s a super-whistleblower offering us a dress rehearsal for the full public inquiry
Huge admission right at start: “the truth is senior ministers, senior officials senior advisers like me tell disastrously short of the standards that the public has a right to expect of its government in a crisis like this. When the public needed us most the government failed”
“I’d like to say to all the families of those who died unnecessarily how sorry I am for the mistakes that we made and for my own mistakes at that”
Read 77 tweets
12 May
BREAKING: I’ve learnt that Sage are holding an urgent meeting tomorrow to discuss a dramatic rise in cases of the Indian variant, with some scientists fearing delays to roadmap:…
Cases to be published tomorrow are expected to show a tripling of B1617.2 in the past week…
The PM warned today that this variant is of “increasing concern here in the U.K.” Next Monday lifting will go ahead but possible of delays to easement for 21 June…
Read 6 tweets
12 May
PM says a *full public statutory inquiry* will be held into the government response to the pandemic. That means powers to call witnesses and demand files/data.
He says it will be a “significant burden” on ministers and scientific advisers to testify so right time for inquiry to start is in a year’s time after a possible 3rd wave
Having covered Hutton and Chilcot inquiries and knowing how much work goes into witnesses preparing testimonies etc, I think it’s right to have the inquiry next spring. We need key witnesses like Whitty Vallance etc on the case every day of this pandemic particularly if 3rd wave
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!