#NIProtocol
Macron: that Boris Johnson was “well aware” of “incoherences” in the Northern Ireland Protocol when he signed up to it (which is an implicit admission that the NIP is a logical mess).
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/…
What incoherences? The NIP states that NI is an integral part of the UK Customs territory (art 4) and of the UK internal market (art 6). So, why do we hear about a (customs and/or regulatory) border on the Irish Sea? Why does Macron say NI is not fully a part of the UK?
Because other NIP provisions are — in effect — inconsistent with the two principles set out above, as they require NI to apply some EU Sigle Market rules and the UK to apply customs checks (EU Customs Code) to goods moving from GB to NI "at-risk" of end up into the EU.
"While the rest of the UK leaves the EU’s internal market, NI — in effect — remains in it: the NIP preserves the EU’s internal market at the expense of the UK internal market. There will be a regulatory border within the UK in the Irish Sea", writes Vernon Bogdanor.
"Art 4 declares that NI is part of the UK customs territory. But articles 5  (2), (3) and (4) and Annex 2 lock NI into the EU Customs Code and common tariff. Checks are needed on goods brought into NI from GB considered at risk of being moved into the EU"
"The onus is on the “exporter” from GB to prove that there is no risk. Customs declarations will be needed once the grace period ends and duties will be paid (and reimbursed later). So NI remains — in effect — within the EU customs union."
"The NIP transforms NI into a condominium jointly ruled by the UK and the EU. But while NI is represented at Westminster, she is not represented in the EU, though subject to EU regulations. This flouts the very principle of democratic representation."
"In subjecting NI to a major constitutional change without consent, the NIP breaches the spirit if not the letter of the GFA, as well as the principle of international law requiring respect for territorial integrity."
On top of defying Aristotelian logic, the NIP has also a self-destructing clause (art. 16): it's poised to stir up the "serious economic, societal or environmental difficulties liable to persist, or diversion of trade" that allow unilateral safeguards by the UK and the EU.

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More from @KellerZoe

13 Jun
We cannot stand for the EU's attempt to partition the UK. A damaging Protocol that alters the constitutional position of Northern Ireland is unacceptable.
— Vernon Bogdanor
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/…
The dispute over the Northern Ireland Protocol is about more than sausages. It concerns the right of the people of Northern Ireland to self-determination. Some in the EU appear to believe that NI is not fully a part of the United Kingdom. It is.
In December 1921, the Anglo-Irish Treaty recognised the right of self-determination of 26 counties in the island of Ireland to secede from the United Kingdom. Northern Ireland then exercised her own right of self-determination by deciding to remain a part of the United Kingdom.
Read 11 tweets
13 Jun
The EU see the NI Protocol as a way to keep the UK close to their regulatory orbit and won't become more reasonable. We have no choice but to abolish it and very little to lose — writes Daniel Hannan. telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/06/1…
People in NI call on the EU to show “pragmatism” or “flexibility” in interpreting the Protocol are spectacularly missing the point. Brussels has no interest in being reasonable. The protocol is the surest way to keep the UK from straying too far from its regulatory orbit.
Already, every trade deal we contract with a third country needs to be compatible with its terms. But they want to go further until we agree to follow all EU food and veterinary rules in perpetuity, thereby rendering an independent commercial policy far less viable.
Read 25 tweets
12 Jun
Sausage wars: Boris Johnson hints he may rip up EU rule book over trade with NI. PM's official spokesman says ‘all options are on the table’ when asked whether he would unilaterally waive checks on imports
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/…
PM warned on Friday night that he was willing to unilaterally breach the NIP to keep meat imports flowing ahead of talks with EU leaders on Saturday.
His official spokesman said "all options are on the table" if no agreement is reached by the end of this month.
PM will hold meetings with four EU leaders at the G7 summit in Cornwall on Saturday. He will meet Macron at around 8am, followed by Merkel and then a joint meeting with von der Leyen and Michel.
Read 5 tweets
11 Jun
Fully vaccinated people account for only 5% of delta variant infections. It(it is predominantly affecting unvaccinated people). The Delta death rate is also very low at 0.1%
telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/06/1…
Out of 33,206 Delta (Indian variant) cases sequenced since Feb 1:
- only 1,785 were people fully vaccinated
- only 62 fully vaccinated ended up in hospital
compared with 397 unvaccinated individuals. Image
Delta death rate still very low: 0.1% of infected die (but it may increase because of the lag cases>deaths). Alpha (Kent variant) death rate is 1.7%.
So far there have been just 42 deaths from the Delta, only 12 in fully vaccinated also suffering from "profound co-morbidities".
Read 6 tweets
16 Apr
Britain’s economic resurgence has caught the world by surprise.
The numbers all point to blistering growth as the hit from Brexit continues to diminish each month.
— AEP

telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/…
The UK will probably regain pre-Covid levels of GDP before the eurozone, perhaps by Christmas. By the end of 2022 it may even have recouped the entire cross-Channel gap in growth since the referendum.
Philip Shaw from Investec has pencilled in blistering growth of 7.3% this year, but says it could be over 8%. “We’re trying not to sound outrageous but that is what the numbers are telling us,” he said. The firm has the eurozone pegged at 4.4%. Upgrades are pouring in.
Read 21 tweets
14 Apr
Don't waste energy fighting the working from home (WFH) revolution. Workplaces are essential for us social animals, but there's no way we're heading in five days a week: the answer is somewhere in the middle.
telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/…
ONS: output per hour (the measure of labour productivity) was up 0.4% in 2020 compared to 2019. Up! Astonishing: we went into lockdown twice during 2020, huge numbers of businesses weren’t operating at all. This definitively proves that people's productivity is increased by WFH.
We’re social animals: we like socializing at work, at least some of the time. Yet it would only take a small shift in working patterns for there to be severe repercussions for businesses, society and politics.
Read 12 tweets

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