Soon after the discovery of the remains of 215 children at the Kamloops residential school site, we conducted a national survey of 3,000 Canadians with @CRRF and @AFN_Updates.
The results indicate that this event might be a tipping point.
Not only did almost all Canadians hear about it, but it had most people thinking about residential schools and how Indigenous people have been treated in Canada.
How did Canadians react to the discovery? 24% weren't surprised, but for the rest of the country, it was worse than they thought. 1 in 3 said they were "shocked" by the news.
Why shocked? Because most Canadians know little or nothing about the residential school system. Our understanding is quite limited, especially among older Canadians.
A majority of Canadians agree that the residential school policy was "genocide".
So what should we do?
We find broad and deep support for several actions the Federal government could take.
There's also broad understanding that our education systems aren't doing enough to teach students about the history of residential schools.
And that the current approach to teaching history, down plays what really happened.
As a result, 2 in 3 Canadians want their provincial government to increase the amount students learn about the history of residential schools.
Finally, for many Canadians, the discovery in Kamloops has put a focus on Indigenous issues and has changed their views. 49% say they have a new appreciation for the damage residential schools caused Indigenous people.
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Working on some new #cdnpoli poll analysis that I'm really excited about.
Back in April, I asked Canadians what they thought a Poilievre government would do if elected and what it should do.
I reasked the exact same questions on our most recent @abacusdataca survey...🧵
The results are fascinating.
First, perceptions about what a Poilievre government would or wouldn't do haven't changed much EXCEPT for:
Eliminating the carbon tax (+14)
Making housing more affordable (+9)
Cutting taxes (+6)
Taking climate change seriously (+5)
The fact that axing the carbon tax and housing have most so much is a testiment to the relentless discipline the Conservatives and Poilievre have displayed on those two issues.
First, some key metrics for the Liberals, the fed gov't and the PM haven't moved much from last month.
The shift is not about people warming up to the PM or Liberal gov't again.
Second, we do see an uptick in negative sentiment towards @PierrePoilievre. 3-point increase in negatives and a corresponding 3-point decline in positives.
Working through some new polling I did on immigration in Canada which I'm going to track every 6 months.
Survey was done last week with a representative sample of 1,500 Canadian adults online.
A few initial findings and thoughts:
#cdnpoli #immigration #publicopinion #canada
When told that Canada's immigration target is about 500,000, 6 in 10 feel it is too high, including 37% who say it is "way too high".
Views are pretty consistent across the country (except in BC). Age is somewhat of a factor - younger Canadians less likely to feel immigration target is too high.
Interestingly, even a majority of immigrants think the immigration target is too high.
The NDP had to do something very difficult in this election. It had to convince a lot of Albertans to vote NDP for the first time in their lives. They had to get them to go against their identities and… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Coming into this election, Danielle Smith was very much the focus of people’s attention. Her favourables were lower than Rachel Notley’s. Many past UCP voters were repelled by her, thought she was worse than Jason Kenney as Premier, and felt she was a risky prospect. It looked… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
In the end, the structural advantages of a united conservative electorate t in Alberta meant the UCP was always the favourites to win the election. The NDP needed to center the election around healthcare, convince voters they had economic credibility, and persuade individuals… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
🌞 Good Sunday morning, Canada! It's a beautiful day and I've got some data-driven reasons for you to feel optimistic about our great country! 🇨🇦
First up, let's talk about our incredible forests! Did you know that Canada is home to 9% of the world's forests? 🌳 That's 347 million hectares of carbon-capturing, oxygen-generating green goodness!
🌬️ Speaking of the environment, let's look at renewable energy. Canada is a world leader in hydroelectric power, generating 60% of our electricity from this clean source.💡 Our windy coasts are also fueling a boom in wind energy, which now accounts for 5% of our power.⚡️
Just finished an @abacusdataca survey of 1,000 Albertans (Dec 6 to 10) as part of a national survey.
Will have a deep dive into the AB political environment out in the next few days, but the data I'm seeing lays out the path for both the UCP and NDP pretty clearly. #ableg
As I see it, there are 4 key segments of voters to watch carefully.
✔️Loyal UCP - Voted UCP in '19, and would today.
✔️Loyal NDP - Voted NDP in '19 & would today.
✔️Reluctant UCP - Voted UCP '19 and aren't or are undecided now.
✔️Smaller parties - Voted AP, Lib, etc in 2019.
The most interesting to me is the 𝓡𝓮𝓵𝓾𝓬𝓽𝓪𝓷𝓽 𝓤𝓒𝓟 group.
All voted UCP in '19 and now they say they aren't or are undecided.
When you look at how this group compares with the Loyal UCP and Loyal NDP groups, you see what each party has to do to win next year.