JACKIS Profile picture
Jun 15, 2021 20 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Moving Averages 📚

💎SECRET INFO inside

🧠Great for both beginners & advanced traders

▪️ What are they?
▪️ Types of MAs
▪️ Why are they such a powerful tool?
▪️ How to properly use them?
▪️ My best SECRET EMA value?
▪️ Which Timeframe to use?
▪️ Advanced EMA technique?

1/20
▪️ What are they?

Moving average is nothing more than an average price of the last (value) of candles.

If we are gonna use an example of MA(50) it is gonna be the mean price of the last 50 candles

General rule:
Price above = Bullish 🐂
Price below = Bearish 🐻

2/20
▪️ Types of Moving Averages

1) Simple Moving Average - SMA
2) Exponential Moving Average - EMA
3) Smoothed Moving Average - SMMA
4) Volume Weighted Average Price - VWAP

There are a few more but these are the most important in my opinion.

3/20
I won't be going that much into detail about each of them in this thread but more so covering MAs in general.

The important takeaway is there are many methods of calculations and each offers bit different pros & cons

I'll leave experimenting with each of them up to you

4/20
▪️ Why are they such a powerful tool?

Because they help everyone, even newbies, that are just starting out, to easily & visually clearly identify trends without understanding the advanced Market Structure techniques.

Price above = 🐂

5/20

In my opinion, they are a must for everyone just starting out & even advanced traders

Make no mistake, even big hedge funds use MAs

And by following the rule of only taking trades in the direction of the trend it will improve your portfolio in a big way

Price below =🐻

6/20
▪️ How to properly use them?

The best technique is to use a good pair of two EMAs

One faster & one slower. In this example (50/100)

You can clearly see how much it would help us to identify the trend early & at the same time tell us when to avoid the market

7/20
You can use various combinations based on your style.

These ones I recommend.

Aggressive ones
(9/18)
(18/40)
(20/50)

Conservative ones
(50/100)
(50/200)
(100/200)

8/20
Aggressive ones are great for more immediate trend following whereas conservative ones are more for investing over a longer period of time.

It's not that one is better than the other it's more about which one suits your psychology better

9/20
Once you have established your desire EMAs you look to trade in the direction of the trend ONLY.

You either wait for a classic S/R or till the price is trading between the EMAs

The important thing is to have the patience to wait for it & follow the plan

10/20
▪️ My best SECRET EMA value?

I'm giving you my ALPHA value here for FREE and it's EMA 89 on the H1 TF

It's great for intraday scalps & short term trading

This EMA clearly shows the current trend and price has a big tendency to come back to it all the time.

11/20
I recommend using this Higher Timeframe EMA indicator in @tradingview made by ZenAndTheArtOfTrading

12/20
What it does, is that it allows you to switch between each timeframe while EMA is still set on the hourly

In this case M15 timeframe but using EMA 89 from the hourly.

You can clearly see, there is a magical number after all.

Use it well.

13/20
▪️ Which Timeframe to use?

As always, I highly recommend using the Daily & Weekly for the general directional bias.

However, you can use MAs on any timeframe.

And when you align Daily & Intraday MAs in a trend & only trade when the price is above, magic happens.

14/20
▪️ Advanced EMA technique?

Use one general trend divider EMA like (100) or (200)

Wait for the price to break above it.

If it finds momentum, the trend is established.

15/20
You then go and start adjusting the EMA value number so it touches the last point of the bounce before it found the momentum to continue to higher.

In this case, it is 29, in some cases, it will be 18 or 36 or w/e. Just find the point of touch

16/20
Once you have found this EMA, it will be the critical point till the trend momentum prevails.

You can either use it as a tool to see if the trend is still going or buy near the EMA

17/20
Works great everywhere even in the old $ALT / $BTC charts.

Requires a bit of work and patience but is another great tool.

18/20
Something to think about

Some people use more than two EMAs like three or four and some even use the Rainbow indicator

This can be helpful, however, I like to keep my charts clean and I think two EMA do the job just perfect

But as always, try & see what fit you the best

19/20
As with everything, this is not a holy grail but another great tool to use to spot the future markets moves and add to your probabilities

If you have found this thread valuable please consider liking & sharing it with your friends to help them

Thank you for your time 🙌

20/20

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More from @i_am_jackis

Oct 18
#Bitcoin to hit 689 000$ ‼️
--
Lots of people ask me what my TP is for this cycle as it seems everyone is so obsessed with TPing as fast as possible because

"One more pump & then a bear market (Or one final sweep then a bull market 🤣"

My stance is & always has been this:

👇🧵 Image
We remain bullish as long as the market is.

Obviously, this is not popular on social media because everyone wants to hear certain numbers whether that's 90K or 900K so they know what to expect & it also brings so much engagement
Saying we stay bullish as long as the market is pretty much a vague term but it is the one that produces the most money

Because we never know how long the bull market will last and even the best investors in history got burned hard trying to short the dot-com bubble too early
Read 13 tweets
Sep 7
"ONE FINAL SWEEP & ONE FINAL SHAKEOUT!"

This is what I keep reading here but I have to strongly disagree

In this thread 🧵 I'll go over why any move for #Bitcoin from here will be detrimental & why it's either gonna become a HTF distribution or re-accumulation

1/15👇 Image
#BTC since 2022 has been mainly defined by these three major ranges with a mini one in between at 40K

The current one takes 192 days, compared to the 220 days between 25-31K & 276 days of the bottoming one Image
To contextualize things and put them into perspective

The topping range in Q1-Q2 2021 took about 97 days & the top range in 2019 took about 96 days

This makes the current being twice as long as those topping ones
Image
Image
Read 18 tweets
Jul 7
It made sense to stay 🐂 on #Bitcoin as long as the trend & range were holding & equities were going up but now it has lost its MS after 130 days of 🦀 PA & we need to adapt

I'll break down all the facts you need for all scenarios in understandable language below 👇

1/18 🧵 Image
When it comes to bullish/bearish posts it always comes down to TimeFrames. You can have a trader that is bullish on H1 screaming at a bearish trader on D1 while the Weekly trader is bullish again

It makes no sense & we need to analyze each one differently to understand the TF 👇
The macro view, which is like a Monthly to somewhat Weekly, remains bullish, while Weekly down to Daily is now bearish

The M1/W1 TF remains bullish as long as the 39K low is holding but locally we can be bear-bleeding for some time as the 130 days long #BTC range was lost Image
Read 19 tweets
Mar 25
Here is the psychological truth about the #Bitcoin / #Crypto market 👇

The vast majority of market participants bought the top in 2021, whether the 1st or the 2nd. The exact price is unimportant for this post

🧵 Silent Read Time: 1 Min, 52 Sec Image
1) A decent portion of them sold the bottom, especially after the #FTX crash

Either from panic selling, multiplied by the fear spread on social media with posts such as:

EXIT ALL MARKETS or THE GREATEST RECESSION since THE GREAT DEPRESSION coming

The others from the greed of.. Image
..selling & buying back cheaper at lower prices

This was a prime example of the market going up thousands of % & yet people losing money on it

Those people are still waiting for a bigger pullback to buy cheap & will continue to do so & miss everything. Again.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 20
You don't wanna miss this #Bitcoin alpha thread 🧵👀

#BTC around 50K is still within a strong value area

Lots of people sidelined, waiting for a bigger correction will miss out

Data from Financial Advisors across the US are suggesting big future upside

1/20

Read below👇 Image
First of all, I did expect we would get the upside we got from the 40-45K range, but after, I thought we would get a deeper pullback at some point to like 32K or so

I do not think that anymore

Below is the original thread worth your time to read through

One of the reasons I don't think so anymore is the Weekly Market Structure

In any chart, remember, that for the HTF directional bias, the most important tool is the W1 MS

With the latest move, we got ourselves a new HL & HH confirming that Image
Read 22 tweets
Jan 13
BIG #BITCOIN ALPHA UPDATE 13/1/2024 🧵

No emotional bias, just truth bombs full of data & mainly my own context ✅

Both bullish & bearish arguments - HTF to LTF

Hit like & Bookmark to keep this plan in the back of your mind

Let's get to it 👇

1/25Image
We start HTF, scale in & create the valuable context 👇

So my thesis has been & is still the same throughout the whole of 2023, that we move above the so important psychological level of March 22 high, sitting at 48K, distribute above & pullback


Image
So the 48K level caused a reaction as expected but imo we move higher still to distribute & there are multiple reasons for it

1) We spent 500+ days accumulating sub 30K, such energy simply doesn't get distributed in 30 days. At minimum 120+ days

Read 25 tweets

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