Justin Fox Profile picture
Jun 18, 2021 10 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Make a log chart of U.S. mortality rates by age group going back to 1900, and something really disturbing stands out bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
Mortality rates for older Americans had been headed mostly downward for a century until Covid-19 (although 55-to-64-year-olds had seen a slight mortality increase over the past decade) Image
Younger kids' mortality rates have plummeted, and kept declining right through the pandemic (although 5-to-14-year-olds haven't had a great decade) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
But young adults had a horrible 2020, a horrible 2010s, and a not exactly great last 60 years bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
For 25-to-34-year-olds, it's been a succession of setbacks since the early 1960s, with the mortality increase since 2010 by far the worst bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
What U.S. 25-to-34-year-olds have been dying of, 1999-2019 (the 2020 breakdown isn't available yet, but it looks like it will be less than 20% Covid-19) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
Young adults in other rich countries haven't had it nearly so bad. In recent years that's mainly because they've been spared the opioid epidemic (so far, at least; you can Canada is doing some catching up) ... bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
... but the U.S. also has a lot more traffic deaths and homicides, big causes of death for young adults, than other rich countries (I left suicides off here because U.S. rates don't really stand out, although they've gotten worse) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
And yes, "accidental poisoning" mainly means drug overdoses Image
It's obviously not news that something had gone wrong with life expectancy and mortality in the U.S. in recent years (think Case and Deaton's "deaths of despair") but I really hadn't been aware of how bad things have been for young adults bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Justin Fox

Justin Fox Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @foxjust

Sep 9, 2022
Every under-60 age group *except* early 20s and late 30s now has higher labor-force participation and employment rates than in summer 2019 (short🧵on today's column) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Here it is for employment-population ratio. I did a summer-to-summer comparison because (1) most age-group labor stats aren't available seasonally adjusted and (2) they can jump around a lot from month to month
That 20-24 decline is really big! Surely has something to do with interrupted and delayed education, but I hope it goes away soon. The 35-39 drop seems like it should be due to child-care issues, although it's men in that age group who are driving it bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Read 7 tweets
Aug 30, 2022
A few months ago, @alexschief pointed out that Minneapolis (population 425,336) was building more housing this year than San Jose, San Francisco, and Oakland combined (population 2.2 million). That's still true, and it's not the only one Image
These are all cities with less than 1 million people that are mostly building new apartments, not single-family houses. It's not an exhaustive list (Tampa, Miami, Arlington, TX, and others also meet the criteria)
Here are the top 10 jurisdictions for housing permits so far this year (permits are reported separately for each NYC borough but I combined them so sue me) Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 15, 2022
The number of Americans with disabilities is up by about 2 million since before the pandemic. Wonder why that is? bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
The disability increase is sharpest for those who have kept working bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
Here's what the survey-takers ask to get at those disability estimates bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 18, 2022
Deaths from all causes among working-age Americans were astoundingly, awfully high last summer and fall bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
The big increase in working-age mortality is mainly Covid-19 deaths ... bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Read 7 tweets
Aug 12, 2021
The East and West have been a lot hotter lately than they used to be, the Great Plains not so much bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Here's the map from a decade ago ... bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
... which maybe helps explain why belief that climate change is happening fell in the U.S. in the early 2010s and has risen since bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 2, 2021
Last week's GDP release included revisions back to 1999, so it's time for a new set of presidential growth comparisons! Starting with the basic version: annualized growth in real GDP from 1st quarter in office to last bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Official quarterly GDP numbers start in 1947, but using annual numbers growth was -7.4% under Hoover, +9.1% FDR and +1.8% Truman. So yes, by this metric Trump has the worst growth record since Hoover bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Still, there are other legit ways to measure growth. One would be to shift the GDP measurement forward or back by a quarter. Do the former and Trump pulls ahead of George W. Bush bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(