The Delta variant: updates from the new @PHE_Uk report assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
1st dose vaccine (either AZ or Pfizer) quite protective vs hospitalization
Fully vaxxed vs unvaxxed:
Infections 7.7% vs 67%
Hospitalizations 8% vs 48%
Delta's secondary attack rate is coming down some in the latest dataset. Its enhanced transmission over alpha appears to be more in the 40-60% range
Reinfections by sequencing data: 311/1260 were Delta
This 71-page report is rich. And that 60% of infections are getting sequenced (91% are Delta) is quite impressive.
It makes the output from CDC and the genomic surveillance in the US particularly weak
Here is the latest @CDCgov variant report. It is from May 22 and it's frankly pathetic when you compare it to @PHE_UK, both with respect to it being out of date and the lack of sequencing in the US covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
Contrast today's @PHE_UK report from genome sequencing (60% of cases) up to 4 days ago -- >60,000 Delta cases with vaccination status and outcomes
If you're interested in how AI grew up over the past 15 years, and where it's headed, this new book tells the story in a riveting, page-turner way. In the new Ground Truths with @scmallaby
In 2010, when @GoogleDeepMind was formed, well before deep learning was taking hold, @demishassabis predicted AGI by 2030 and called out the use of agents
@GoogleDeepMind @demishassabis This is pretty striking
(please excuse typo, DeepMind's)
Physical activity and the reduction of all-cause mortality, from 2 very large prospective cohorts 1. The relationship is non-linear, suggesting a threshold effect for many types of exercise as seen below
2. Engaging in > 1 type of physical activity was generally correlated with better outcomes compared with 1 type (T1,2,3)
People age 70+ should not be taking aspirin at any dose for prevention. Results of randomized trials show higher risk of all-cause mortality, major bleeding events and deaths from cancer. p 153, SUPER AGERS book
President Trump takes 325 mg aspirin/day. The randomized trials tested 75-81 mg/day. His doctors recommended low-dose aspirin for heart event prevention. That recommendation is ill-founded based upon best evidence in older individuals. nejm.org/doi/full/10.10… academic.oup.com/eurheartj/arti…
As I wrote in SUPER AGERS, the immune system is the key to modulating our aging process and the opportunity to extend healthspan. Today @NatureAging 7 new articles, summarized here, that reinforce its central role nature.com/articles/s4358…
The new special issue @ScienceMagazine features Immunity with 4 outstanding review papers, 5★
Our immune system over the lifespan, sex differences, influence on physiology, and host antiviral defenses science.org/toc/science/cu…
We've learned a lot more about the principal drivers of age-related diseases in the past few weeks. And that leads to a unified model to pull it all together. (open-access)
I review 4 new reports, summarized here: 1. The proteins from senescent cells predict age-related clinical outcomes 2. A new epigenetic age clock connects the dots between aging, the immune system, inflammation and lifestyle factors 3. People with a fast pace of aging had an increased risk of cognitive impairment, age-related diseases, disability, and mortality 4. The Importance of “Immune Resilience” for Healthspan
And present a unified I/I model for what we now know