Science- based (n.f.a.) January 2022 $LUNA price prediction.
So we've seen a huge dip in the market.. (@terra_money included)
Since then, its price never scaled above $8.
But could it reach $55 by the end of the year?
Long thread👇
So we've seen a huge dip in the market.. (@terra_money included)
Since then, its price never scaled above $8.
But could it reach $55 by the end of the year?
Long thread👇
First of, ask yourself this:
Why today's price is only $5 after reaching $22?
Have $LUNA fundamentals changed?
Was there an essential flaw?
Or is it just the result of a bearish panic?
As @NicolasFlamelX puts it:
Yet, there's a bigger paradox:
Why today's price is only $5 after reaching $22?
Have $LUNA fundamentals changed?
Was there an essential flaw?
Or is it just the result of a bearish panic?
As @NicolasFlamelX puts it:
https://twitter.com/NicolasFlamelX/status/1406990777696276483
Yet, there's a bigger paradox:
Recently, @SenthilThuva found the following:
$LUNA used to trade at a 3x UST market cap.
But today, it's at a not justified 1.3x.
Meanwhile, UST market cap only declined by 9% since the last crash.
Weird, is it?
How could this happened?
$LUNA used to trade at a 3x UST market cap.
But today, it's at a not justified 1.3x.
Meanwhile, UST market cap only declined by 9% since the last crash.
https://twitter.com/SenthilThuva/status/1405834151442354181?s=1006
Weird, is it?
How could this happened?
First of.
Have you noticed how Luna supply has increased over the crash?
No worries.
It was always supposed to.
See, it's all about an elastic supply.
Luna is burned to create UST...
Yet it's also minted to redeem UST:
Have you noticed how Luna supply has increased over the crash?
No worries.
It was always supposed to.
See, it's all about an elastic supply.
Luna is burned to create UST...
Yet it's also minted to redeem UST:
https://twitter.com/justinlunaorbit/status/1396292891182387200
Fun fact:
This mechanism allows to quickly adjust during economic growth:
Economy expands?
Then $LUNA supply shrinks.
So when the last contraction came... well, the opposite happened.
What does it have to do with you?
See, all of this is amazing news:
This mechanism allows to quickly adjust during economic growth:
Economy expands?
Then $LUNA supply shrinks.
So when the last contraction came... well, the opposite happened.
What does it have to do with you?
See, all of this is amazing news:
Unlike any other stable coins, $LUNA is actually tied to real economic growth.
In ape language:
More apps and use cases = 🚀🌒
@lukedelphi puts it very simple:
Curious what this all means?
Well...
En essence, you'll never see red flags like this:
In ape language:
More apps and use cases = 🚀🌒
@lukedelphi puts it very simple:
https://twitter.com/lukedelphi/status/1405592413041790977
Curious what this all means?
Well...
En essence, you'll never see red flags like this:
Does this mean @terra_money is perfect?
Not quite.
While it's not based on celerities' endorsements, there's still things to get fixed.
Like the borrowing side of @anchor_protocol.
During the panic, some folks have been affected by a flood of liquidations.
Conclusion?
Not quite.
While it's not based on celerities' endorsements, there's still things to get fixed.
Like the borrowing side of @anchor_protocol.
During the panic, some folks have been affected by a flood of liquidations.
Conclusion?
Terra's team needs to work on some things.
(And they already do).
You need to understand something, though.
$LUNA is not some shitcoin with no fundamentals behind.
You know...
Some worthless animal coins like:
Why?
(And they already do).
You need to understand something, though.
$LUNA is not some shitcoin with no fundamentals behind.
You know...
Some worthless animal coins like:
Why?
As my buddy @ConstanteMx said:
"What makes Terra different is the fact it relies on building new protocols".
The more 🧑🤝🧑 there are, the closer the 🌒
I repeat:
$LUNA as an asset grows with the apps use.
And the community is all about adding more...
"What makes Terra different is the fact it relies on building new protocols".
The more 🧑🤝🧑 there are, the closer the 🌒
https://twitter.com/ConstanteMx/status/1403030075013009409
I repeat:
$LUNA as an asset grows with the apps use.
And the community is all about adding more...
Yet, you must be asking yourself:
If $LUNA is strong, why such a huge price drop?
Well...
We already know partially was due to market contraction.
Also, the @anchor_protocol issue (being fixed).
But the real answer is in Cristiano Ronaldo's hands:
If $LUNA is strong, why such a huge price drop?
Well...
We already know partially was due to market contraction.
Also, the @anchor_protocol issue (being fixed).
But the real answer is in Cristiano Ronaldo's hands:
Sounds crazy Coke lost $4 billion of stock market value thanks to Ronaldo?
And how about @elonmusk saying $BTC is cool...
And thrashing it just a couple of months after?
Here's the funniest part:
PEOPLE REACT.
They panic just because Ronaldo moved a coke.
Which means..
And how about @elonmusk saying $BTC is cool...
And thrashing it just a couple of months after?
Here's the funniest part:
PEOPLE REACT.
They panic just because Ronaldo moved a coke.
Which means..
Markets move based on human psychology.
Not numbers.
Not stats.
Not fundamentals.
But rumours. Gossip. Fake news.
Look at this chart. All real crashes start at a 100%:
Not numbers.
Not stats.
Not fundamentals.
But rumours. Gossip. Fake news.
Look at this chart. All real crashes start at a 100%:
Now ask yourself this:
Was $LUNA a real crash?
Nah.
It was based on a general panic.
I even tweeted about it saying this was a huge opportunity.
Instead, some guy answered:
"Luna will be 1$ soon I’m waiting for them to release Rugpullprotocol":
Was $LUNA a real crash?
Nah.
It was based on a general panic.
I even tweeted about it saying this was a huge opportunity.
Instead, some guy answered:
"Luna will be 1$ soon I’m waiting for them to release Rugpullprotocol":
https://twitter.com/Sunshinetrader3/status/1396470445361217537
So forget about bad rumours for a sec.
Better step out.
Check the fundamentals:
As @mars_protocol team put it:
"...We saw $UST returning to peg after cascading liquidations, widespread FUD and some of the worst market conditions we've ever seen."
Better step out.
Check the fundamentals:
As @mars_protocol team put it:
"...We saw $UST returning to peg after cascading liquidations, widespread FUD and some of the worst market conditions we've ever seen."
https://twitter.com/mars_protocol/status/1397264199403937792
Yeah, Terra was under pressure.
But as @d0h0k1 said:
1) the same apps are being developed
2) the same robust community exists
3) the ecosystem is significantly de-risked for having survived one of the worst market crashes in crypto
But as @d0h0k1 said:
1) the same apps are being developed
2) the same robust community exists
3) the ecosystem is significantly de-risked for having survived one of the worst market crashes in crypto
https://twitter.com/d0h0k1/status/1396368203681386500
So back to my price prediction.
I don't have a crystal ball.
And I ain't no financial adviser.
But I know one thing:
For $LUNA to be worth $55 by the end of the year, several conditions has to be met.
Such as:
I don't have a crystal ball.
And I ain't no financial adviser.
But I know one thing:
For $LUNA to be worth $55 by the end of the year, several conditions has to be met.
Such as:
More apps have to be successfully launched.
We already have @mirror_protocol with its synthetic stock exchange.
CHAI app and $KRT for transactions in Korea.
And even @anchor_protocol providing 18-20% yield...
This is why AUM is so important:
We already have @mirror_protocol with its synthetic stock exchange.
CHAI app and $KRT for transactions in Korea.
And even @anchor_protocol providing 18-20% yield...
This is why AUM is so important:
https://twitter.com/PrrplFrog/status/1406608726816169987
Now, what's coming?
Well, some cool cases are @YottaSavings for regular normies.
That's powerful.
Others like @mars_protocol, which is the bank of the future.
Also, we have some really creative stuff like @Mavolo8 and @Rerun_Habits.
All of them focused on USERS.
Plus...
Well, some cool cases are @YottaSavings for regular normies.
That's powerful.
Others like @mars_protocol, which is the bank of the future.
Also, we have some really creative stuff like @Mavolo8 and @Rerun_Habits.
All of them focused on USERS.
Plus...
Huge cases like @orion_money.
It's about to bring $ETH fans into the @terra_money circuit.
And it's vision is to be "a cross-chain stablecoin bank":
It's about to bring $ETH fans into the @terra_money circuit.
And it's vision is to be "a cross-chain stablecoin bank":
https://twitter.com/orion_money/status/1405900410909609993
Do you see this already?
$LUNA is not about celebrities.
Not even airdrops... (although the are many)
It's about real world expansion.
Check out this list by @FynnToTheMoon and you'll see why:
$LUNA is not about celebrities.
Not even airdrops... (although the are many)
It's about real world expansion.
Check out this list by @FynnToTheMoon and you'll see why:
https://twitter.com/FynnToTheMoon/status/1400105213709672450
Plus...
You shouldn't be scared about the coming regulations for stable coins.
Centralised stable coins are under attack.
But Terra is so much different.
@ZeMariaMacedo explains it here:
You shouldn't be scared about the coming regulations for stable coins.
Centralised stable coins are under attack.
But Terra is so much different.
@ZeMariaMacedo explains it here:
https://twitter.com/ZeMariaMacedo/status/1402274929547096065
To sum up...
Will $LUNA reach the $55 and even $100 price point?
Of course.
No doubt it will despite all of the BS around...
You know, this BS:
So, real question here is "when".
Here's my 2c:
Will $LUNA reach the $55 and even $100 price point?
Of course.
No doubt it will despite all of the BS around...
You know, this BS:
https://twitter.com/UniHax0r/status/1406733316473167879
So, real question here is "when".
Here's my 2c:
Some time ago, I talked about how $LUNA market dom was about 0.26%.
And if we applied it to a possible bearish 3 trillion crypto in total...
And divided by the total tokens in circulation...
It gave an estimated $22.5 per token.
Which was the actual case!
In other words...
And if we applied it to a possible bearish 3 trillion crypto in total...
And divided by the total tokens in circulation...
It gave an estimated $22.5 per token.
Which was the actual case!
In other words...
Once market is recovered (and it will).
And once an avalanche of projects comes into Terra ecosystem.. (they are)
The demand for $LUNA will be through the roof.
Yes, we'll need a 3x UST trade correction instead of 1.3x like it used to be...
Yes, we need to be patient...
But:
And once an avalanche of projects comes into Terra ecosystem.. (they are)
The demand for $LUNA will be through the roof.
Yes, we'll need a 3x UST trade correction instead of 1.3x like it used to be...
Yes, we need to be patient...
But:
Long term $LUNA price is about fundamentals.
Not gossip.
And I personally believe this is happening by the beginning of next year.
$55 by Jan.
Now you may argue I am wrong.
Cool.
Prove it with facts!
Meanwhile, here's my post where I explain how:
Not gossip.
And I personally believe this is happening by the beginning of next year.
$55 by Jan.
Now you may argue I am wrong.
Cool.
Prove it with facts!
Meanwhile, here's my post where I explain how:
https://twitter.com/BalitskiyDenis/status/1394364764915122176
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