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Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
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22 Jun, 4 tweets, 1 min read
What do you guys think?
(2) My thoughts...

The most basic thing we can do to help the poor is provide them the services we do everyone else. The hood is UNDER, not over-policed, and should have officers to match and BREAK the crime rate. Poor kids need schools with smart teachers, or vouchers to leave.
(3) I also don't mind - although a few hurrrd-right wing haters nationally do - state services targeted specifically at POOR (as vs, say, "bisexual bi-POC") people. Enterprise zones, CLASS-based affirmative action, IQ-boosting programs like ABCdarian, etc. all can do good work.
(4) Finally, I think the witty governmental and business genii behind the CONSTANT mental manipulation in our society could do incredible good by promoting: responsible fatherhood, trade school, physical fitness, brain-gaming, and America in witty media campaigns. They should.

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More from @wil_da_beast630

Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
23 Jun
As a methods prof, a lot of the social science done or cited - especially by journalists - to "prove" contemporary Wokish talking points seems almost intentionally badly done.
(2) An example would be the claim single parents do as well as married couples at raising kids, IF YOU ADJUST FOR INCOME. Maybe. But, 2 people make more $$$ than 1, and men out-earn women. You'd have to make ~220% what the mean single mom does to be as stable as the mean couple.
(3) On a different note, 3+ complex "Bayesian" analyses of police shootings look at B:W risks of getting shot by cops, and find ratios of 2-3:1. However, none adjust for the B:W difference in victim-reported crime rate, which is 2.4:1, and totally explains the gap.
Read 4 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
15 Jun
There were four major college-campus hate crime hoaxes basically last week.
"Prove it!!!"

Ok. While, more specifically, it's the TRIAL here that's happening now, the dorm fire - like, probably, most of the other hate incidents at - Vitterboro U was a hoax. thecollegefix.com/black-student-…
(3) The "noose" reported at Central Connecticut State U on Memorial Day, and discussed for days, turned out to be a crane cable...literally ON a construction site. fox61.com/article/news/l…
Read 5 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
19 May
Illegal immigrants should, as a general rule, be deported.
(2) There are a few exceptions, i.e. real asylum claims, but the intentional conflation of invited immigrants with un-invited immigrants banned by law ("A path for EVERYONE!!!") is yet another thing that would have been utterly remarkable to ~everyone until very recently.
(3) No hate for hard-working foreign citizens who technically aren't supposed to be here. I'm an aggro-nuff person, and would 100% sneak into a richer state if I were (say) a journeyman carpenter.

But, I wouldn't expect THEIR COPS to support me in this amoral personal mission.
Read 4 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
28 Apr
Actual racism has declined 80-90% since the 1960s, but the level of media/activist focus on this problem has remained stable or even increased, largely for economic reasons.
(2) "Where'd Reilly get them numbers (?)," pt. 1.

Anonymous professional polls asking people about their level of support for racial segregation, inter-racial dating, etc. are conducted literally every year. The attached shows changing levels of support for inter-race marriage.
(3) "Where'd Reilly get them numbers (?)," pt. 2.

However, data-mapping resources like Elephrame indicate that (per most 1960s baselines I've seen), 'anti-racist' activism may be increasing. There have been 5,799 BLM protests alone since 2014 or so...elephrame.com/textbook/BLM
Read 7 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
11 Apr
Reading the @ManhattanInst report on U.S. race relations, from @epkaufm (media4.manhattan-institute.org/sites/default/…) is fascinating- if depressing. As I've noted before, we don't seem to be facing any measurable increase in racism whatsoever, but instead a moral panic about it.

Some take-aways...
(2) First - while that troubling 6-8% core of bigots we see in housing rental, etc, remains a problem - racism empirically is WAY down. Per page 9, only about 10% of whites object to inter-race marriage on well-done anon surveys, and 17% of ALL marriages are inter-racial.
(3) But, people don't know this. Per "Key Findings," 8/10 Black Americans and 6/10 liberals whites believe Black men are more likely to be SHOT BY POLICE than killed in auto wrecks.

That's insane. For context: there are ~50K fatal and 600K disabling/injuring wrecks per year.
Read 8 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
10 Apr
No one denies racism exists. The center-right Black "1776" position is simply that this variable does not explain all problems in POC communities or differences in performance between groups. A 6% bias in apartment rental does not cause a 72% 'illegitimacy' rate.
(2) There are 3 problems with the "ethnic conflict explains all ills" narrative: (a) many of today's problems (fatherlessness) did not exist when racism was much worse, (b) many do not exist for POC immigrants today, and (c) all exist at very high levels for poor WHITE people.
(3) There's a lot to unpack here. ~Equal rates of bigotry exist against groups that perform very differently. Polls showing 8% of Americans wouldn't vote for a qualified Black President ALSO find 9% rates of bias vs Hispanics and Jews...and 40% vs Muslims. news.gallup.com/poll/183791/su…
Read 4 tweets

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