Why is Mexico so mountainous, and yet so populous?!
Why is it poorer than the US?
How was that influenced by Spanish colonization?
Why is Mexico the way it is today?
A thread 🧵
Ok what are those lights in the south, Mexico?
Isn't it impossible to have a big population in the smack middle of the mountains?
Mexico: Hold my beer
Mountains have 2 things: elevation and slope.
Slope is bad: it makes cultivating crops impossible because water runs. It makes movement hard, so both communication and trade suffer.
But elevation per se is not that bad.
These cities are in flat, high plateaus
Because they're encircled by mountains, water flows from there to the plateau, is trapped, and stays there, making the land super fertile and trade within the basin cheap (water transport is 10x cheaper than land transport)
This is why Tenochtitlan was on a lake in the middle of mountains
And it's also why Veracruz, the main Mexican port in the Caribbean and the only one for nearly 400 years, is where it is
It's the closest point on the sea to Mexico City.
It also happens that land has the highest slope going into the sea at that point, which makes it as deep a port as you can get in the Mexican coast.
Shallow seas? Good for beaches, bad for trade—and surf.
And having a port on the Caribbean, close to Mexico City, was important because otherwise... How were you meant to get to Spain your plundered silver?
The biggest mines of silver were in the Zacatecas region. Spaniards organized mining there, transport to Mexico City, and from there to Veracruz.
Because of the mountains, though, they had to do that entire trip... by mule! For centuries, there were no roads & no carriages tho
There was a Camino Real from the US all the way to Mexico. But the only section that mattered to Spaniards was between the Zacatecas silver mines and CDMX. That's why you can tell from space the path between these cities, littered with developed cities.
You can also see development btw CDMX and Acapulco, and btw CDMX and Veracruz.
The 1st was to get the goods from Philippines (another Spanish colony) to CDMX.
The 2nd was to get all these goods to the Caribbean to be shipped to Spain.
Because all that trade was with mules through mountains, it was expensive. Only goods that paid a lot per kg were worth transporting. Eg silver & gold from MX, silks & porcelains from Philippines...
Not food though.
So Mexico had no plantations
All the food produced locally stayed locally, which fed a growing population.
But expensive trade meant only local trade.
Lots of food + little trade --> poor, populous country
Also, less slavery than in the Caribbean. And since the country was populous, when labor was needed, local labor could be found.
And that's why many Caribbean countries have lots of black ppl, but not Mexico.
Meanwhile, the North of Mexico is super dry, both because of its latitude and the mountains. The latitude is a Horse Latitude, where there's little wind to carry moisture to the continent.
(You can actually tell the border between Mexico and the US from space close to the Caribbean coast. It's that line of light on the right.)
In the early 1800s, Spain (and Europe) was ensnared in wars, nationalism had grown in all America, and came with Enlightenment ideas such as self-determination and human rights. That's why in a few decades nearly all of America declared its independence.
But as one superpower wanes, another appears: the US
The US has a huge asset: the Mississippi Basin. Super fertile, great cheap transport... The best piece of land on the Earth
It wants all of that basin, and it wants it unthreatened.
But it had 3 pbms.
1: France controls the basin in 1800!
Easy: buy it from them as soon as you can, during the Napoleonic Wars
2: Mexico is awfully close to New Orleans. What if they decide to attack? The US would lose the ability to trade the goods outside of the Mississippi basin! What do you do?
Easy: get a buffer. Send settlers there, then foster a revolution, then annex that area.
Texas
It has the side effect of getting 2 more senators for a slavery state. Nice move, Democrats.
And since we're at war with Mexico, and we're 10 times richer because our land is so much better, why not get all that land to the West, all the way to the Pacific?
California, New Mexico... You know, all these places with Spanish names in them.
Thank you very much
3: It needs to control the mouth of the Caribbean. That is, Florida and Cuba.
That's why it tries to buy Cuba a few times, and failing that, goes to war in 1898 and ends up controlling it for decades.
And all of that, in broad strokes, is why Mexico is the way it is today!
Why did 🇮🇱Israel strike 🇮🇷Iran now, and not months or years ago or in the future?
A unique combination of a dozen factors converged to make the moment unique for 🇮🇱Israel: 🧵 1. No Hamas to its southwest 2. No Hezbollah to its north 3. No Assad threat to the northeast
4...
4. No more Syrian army to attack 🇮🇱Israel's planes: As the new forces of HTS took over Syria, Israel bombed all the existing Syrian military. No more fighter jets or surface-to-air missiles to threaten 🇮🇱Israel
5. Ability to fly over Syria to refuel
This is critical, because 🇮🇷Iran is ~600-1000 miles away from 🇮🇱Israel, so 1200-2000 miles round trip
The range of Israel’s stealth F35 is only about 1,350 mi
To operate inside 🇮🇷Iran, 🇮🇱Israel needed refueling over Syria
1. From Feb 2025 to Jun 2025, it increased its amount of enriched uranium by 50% 2. It now had 400kg of highly enriched uranium, enough for 9-10 bombs 3. This is 60% enriched uranium. Fuel only requires 5% enrichment.
4... 🧵
4. It's easy to go from 60% to 90% (weapons grade), it only takes weeks 5. The only country on Earth with such enriched uranium and without a bomb is 🇮🇷Iran 6. The IAEA (nuclear watchdog) found 3 secret nuclear sites
7. When 🇮🇷Iran didn't respond to this accusation, the IAEA censured it 8. 🇮🇷Iran responded to the censoring by saying it would open a 3rd enrichment site in a secret spot
Now that the 🇺🇸US has bombed 3 of 🇮🇷Iran's nuclear sites, where will the war go from here?
It depends on 🇮🇱Israel: 🧵
🇮🇷Iran never wanted the war, and its forces are being decimated. Its ability to send missiles to 🇮🇱Israel is being degraded every day. If it could sign a ceasefire while saving face, it would
Meanwhile, 🇮🇱Israel has kept striking Iran non stop. Its daily airstrikes didn't go down substantially in the first few days. Its ability to keep striking 🇮🇷Iran remains unabated
Can there be an invasion of Iran? Hardly. Two maps explain why, and also why Iran is the way it is today, whether its regime will fall, what other superpowers will do, and in general why Iran is the way it is today
The only truly exposed area is the southwestern corner of Khuzestan, which is a swamp
The biggest superpowers lie to the west, and there the very broad Zagros make it really hard to conquer Iran. The mountain range is tall and wide, making logistics similar to Afghanistan. Very hard.
Iraq learned it the hard way when it tried to attack there in 1980
Listening to the debate, it looks like 🇮🇱Israel & the 🇺🇸US intelligence community disagreed, but that's not really the case!
Both thought Iran was weeks to months away from being able to develop the bomb
So what's the disagreement?
Here are more facts:
• Tehran had just announced a 3rd enrichment site in an undisclosed place
• The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) had recently produced a report censoring Iran for the 1st time in 20y
• It accused Iran of 3 undisclosed nuclear sites
• It claimed Iran had enough enriched uranium for 9-10 nuclear bombs
• All the other countries in the world who have enriched uranium at the same level also have nuclear weapons. Iran is the only country that doesn't have these weapons yet enriches uranium as much
Nuclear is the best source of energy across nearly all the factors that matter. It's the safest, cleanest, densest, most sustainable, geopolitically stable, predictable, dispatchable, and can be cheap.
1. SAFEST
It kills 1000x less than coal
Living close to a nuclear power plant for one year gives you less radiation than eating a banana (graph is logarithmic)
2. CLEANEST
Accounting for all the lifecycle of all energies, it's the one that emits the least CO2