Why is Mexico so mountainous, and yet so populous?!
Why is it poorer than the US?
How was that influenced by Spanish colonization?
Why is Mexico the way it is today?
A thread 🧵
Ok what are those lights in the south, Mexico?
Isn't it impossible to have a big population in the smack middle of the mountains?
Mexico: Hold my beer
Mountains have 2 things: elevation and slope.
Slope is bad: it makes cultivating crops impossible because water runs. It makes movement hard, so both communication and trade suffer.
But elevation per se is not that bad.
These cities are in flat, high plateaus
Because they're encircled by mountains, water flows from there to the plateau, is trapped, and stays there, making the land super fertile and trade within the basin cheap (water transport is 10x cheaper than land transport)
This is why Tenochtitlan was on a lake in the middle of mountains
And it's also why Veracruz, the main Mexican port in the Caribbean and the only one for nearly 400 years, is where it is
It's the closest point on the sea to Mexico City.
It also happens that land has the highest slope going into the sea at that point, which makes it as deep a port as you can get in the Mexican coast.
Shallow seas? Good for beaches, bad for trade—and surf.
And having a port on the Caribbean, close to Mexico City, was important because otherwise... How were you meant to get to Spain your plundered silver?
The biggest mines of silver were in the Zacatecas region. Spaniards organized mining there, transport to Mexico City, and from there to Veracruz.
Because of the mountains, though, they had to do that entire trip... by mule! For centuries, there were no roads & no carriages tho
There was a Camino Real from the US all the way to Mexico. But the only section that mattered to Spaniards was between the Zacatecas silver mines and CDMX. That's why you can tell from space the path between these cities, littered with developed cities.
You can also see development btw CDMX and Acapulco, and btw CDMX and Veracruz.
The 1st was to get the goods from Philippines (another Spanish colony) to CDMX.
The 2nd was to get all these goods to the Caribbean to be shipped to Spain.
Because all that trade was with mules through mountains, it was expensive. Only goods that paid a lot per kg were worth transporting. Eg silver & gold from MX, silks & porcelains from Philippines...
Not food though.
So Mexico had no plantations
All the food produced locally stayed locally, which fed a growing population.
But expensive trade meant only local trade.
Lots of food + little trade --> poor, populous country
Also, less slavery than in the Caribbean. And since the country was populous, when labor was needed, local labor could be found.
And that's why many Caribbean countries have lots of black ppl, but not Mexico.
Meanwhile, the North of Mexico is super dry, both because of its latitude and the mountains. The latitude is a Horse Latitude, where there's little wind to carry moisture to the continent.
(You can actually tell the border between Mexico and the US from space close to the Caribbean coast. It's that line of light on the right.)
In the early 1800s, Spain (and Europe) was ensnared in wars, nationalism had grown in all America, and came with Enlightenment ideas such as self-determination and human rights. That's why in a few decades nearly all of America declared its independence.
But as one superpower wanes, another appears: the US
The US has a huge asset: the Mississippi Basin. Super fertile, great cheap transport... The best piece of land on the Earth
It wants all of that basin, and it wants it unthreatened.
But it had 3 pbms.
1: France controls the basin in 1800!
Easy: buy it from them as soon as you can, during the Napoleonic Wars
2: Mexico is awfully close to New Orleans. What if they decide to attack? The US would lose the ability to trade the goods outside of the Mississippi basin! What do you do?
Easy: get a buffer. Send settlers there, then foster a revolution, then annex that area.
Texas
It has the side effect of getting 2 more senators for a slavery state. Nice move, Democrats.
And since we're at war with Mexico, and we're 10 times richer because our land is so much better, why not get all that land to the West, all the way to the Pacific?
California, New Mexico... You know, all these places with Spanish names in them.
Thank you very much
3: It needs to control the mouth of the Caribbean. That is, Florida and Cuba.
That's why it tries to buy Cuba a few times, and failing that, goes to war in 1898 and ends up controlling it for decades.
And all of that, in broad strokes, is why Mexico is the way it is today!
Never bet against the US:
Ppl think its biggest strength is its institutions, the dollar, entrepreneurship... But one of its biggest assets is its geography 🧵
1. Size
The US is the 4th largest country. It spans an entire continent, reaches two oceans, and is big enough to be a geographic heavyweight in the world
2. The Mississippi Basin
It's the 4th largest drainage basin in the world and occupies 40% of the contiguous 48 US states, touching 32 of the US’s 50 states. 11 US states directly take their name from it.
Climate caused the US Civil War, because: 1. Slavery was the main cause of the war 2. Different crops were the main cause of slavery 3. Climate caused different crops in the North vs South
This is terribly important to understand the US today and how to heal it
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1. Slavery was the main cause of the war: the Abolitionist North & the Slavery South were competing to expand westward to increase their political influence
But the North grew & expanded faster, to a point where it could force abolition on the South, which then seceded
In 1790, the Free & Slave states had the same population, and there were many more Slave States (8 vs 5), so Slave States controlled the Senate.
By the eve of the war in 1860, the North had 50% more population and 4 more states, giving them control of both the House & Senate
Moscow is one of the weirdest capitals:
• Biggest European city
• Extremely cold
• Little farmland
• To Russia's extreme west
• Not on a coast or main river
How did it create the biggest country on Earth?
It involves horse archers, human harvesting & tiny animals 🧵
The first shocking fact is that Russia is so far north it's at the edge of arable land. How can you create a capital with so little food? Why not in the middle of the most fertile area on Earth?
This far north is extremely cold
Moscow is the 3rd coldest capital in the world and by far the biggest: with 20M ppl, its metro population is 8x bigger than the 2nd biggest cold capital, Stockholm!
This map tells you how a seemingly innocent difference, like wheat vs rice eating, can have dramatic political, economic, and cultural ramifications:
🧵
The areas that harvest wheat vs rice are different. Why?
Because of climate
Rice needs heat and lots of water. Ideally, flooding the fields to also kill weeds. Rice dies with frost.
Wheat resists it well, prefers cooler temperatures, but dies when it's flooded
Did you know the West's trade deficits to China are not recent, but started 2000 years ago? This is the story of how silk, porcelain, tea, opium, and silver have determined the history of the world 🧵
The Romans already complained about deficits to China! Mainly because of silk
Back then the Chinese already preferred manufacturing and selling products than consuming foreign products. Chronicler Solinus ~200 AD: The Chinese "prefer only to sell their products, but do not like to buy our goods."
Why did 🇮🇱Israel strike 🇮🇷Iran now, and not months or years ago or in the future?
A unique combination of a dozen factors converged to make the moment unique for 🇮🇱Israel: 🧵 1. No Hamas to its southwest 2. No Hezbollah to its north 3. No Assad threat to the northeast
4...
4. No more Syrian army to attack 🇮🇱Israel's planes: As the new forces of HTS took over Syria, Israel bombed all the existing Syrian military. No more fighter jets or surface-to-air missiles to threaten 🇮🇱Israel
5. Ability to fly over Syria to refuel
This is critical, because 🇮🇷Iran is ~600-1000 miles away from 🇮🇱Israel, so 1200-2000 miles round trip
The range of Israel’s stealth F35 is only about 1,350 mi
To operate inside 🇮🇷Iran, 🇮🇱Israel needed refueling over Syria