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Atlantic Council Profile picture
@AtlanticCouncil
Jun 23, 2021 • 6 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
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#360OS is LIVE - Fighting online extremism in the future w/ @NicholasRasmu15, @georgetownICAP's Mary McCord, @amyspitanick, @RachelMGillum, moderator @grahambrookie pscp.tv/w/c6IUlDFETEVC…
"There's no one brand of extremism that stops at the borders of any country. There are just different ideologies that are shared, in many cases globally." #360OS

👤|Mary McCord, @georgetownICAP
What are the markers on the path from radicalization to violence in both the international & domestic terrorism spheres?

An indicator for @georgetownICAP's Mary McCord is that once general ideological propaganda changes into logistical planning, the threat escalates. #360OS
"Research shows that a lot of extreme content on social media actually involves a fairly small number, but frequent users who are responsible for this content so it can often seem much more widespread than it really is and have a large impact." #360OS

👤|@RachelMGillum
“Toxic ideas can accelerate bounce off of each other and accelerate even further and faster…How we deal with that virality and that acceleration is probably one of our biggest challenges.” #360OS

👤|@NicholasRasmu15
"When a leading neo-Nazi tells you #deplatforming has impacted his ability to plan violent events as we saw in Charlottesville, that's meaningful, that's impactful." #360OS

👤|@amyspitalnick

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More from @AtlanticCouncil

Atlantic Council Profile picture
Nov 6
🧵 Donald Trump has won the 2024 US presidential election.

How will his administration respond to the world’s most pressing challenges?

Our experts provide answers across twenty-four of the most significant policy matters: atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
US leadership in the world

What can we expect from a Trump 2.0 foreign policy? In defense and security policy, we can anticipate a return of a “peace through strength” approach. This will mean big investments in US defense capabilities to strengthen deterrence and use force decisively if deterrence fails. Trump will rightly ask allies to contribute more to ensure US alliances in Europe and Asia have the capabilities they need.

In economic policy, we can expect a focus on fair and reciprocal trade, prioritizing addressing China’s unfair trading practices, and an unleashing of the United States’ domestic energy potential. Values will center around an “America first, but not alone” orientation that will ensure that US global engagement benefits the peace, prosperity, and freedom of the American people and, in so doing, the broader free world.

— @MatthewKroenig is vice president and senior director of the Atlantic Council’s @ACScowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.
Global trade

What will the Trump administration do about global trade? This is the thirty-trillion-dollar question. It was what every finance minister and central bank governor at the recent International Monetary Fund-World Bank Annual Meetings wanted to chat about privately. Here’s what we know.

The important question about Trump and trade is: Will he do what he says he will do on tariffs? That answer is more likely yes than no, but it will not happen overnight. Trump’s trade views were shaped in the 1980s during Japan’s rapid economic growth. He views trade in binary terms, with bilateral imbalances the key determinant of whether a policy is succeeding or not. The first step in his trade policy will be, somewhat surprisingly, to try and revise the Phase 1 trade deal with China that he brokered at the end of his first term. The deal was largely judged a failure since China didn’t live up to any of its commitments, but the excuse given is that the pandemic prevented what would have been a successful first step. That’s more likely initially than a 60 percent tariff on Chinese imports.

Once he tries to revive (or, as Trump trade people say, “finally enforce”) the China trade deal, Trump will turn his attention to the European Union. Here there will be a deep divide, and Trump will seek reciprocal tariffs on a range of products—many of which he will be able to impose unilaterally. His blanket tariff promise of 10 percent seems unlikely in the near term, but instead a scattershot of specific tariffs will be a signal to countries—both allies and adversaries—that this is just the beginning. The likely response will be a tit-for-tat escalation that will be inflationary in the United States and for the global economy. While the Trump economic team disputes this, citing the fact that Trump’s first term didn’t produce inflationary results, the size and scale of what is being proposed now is vastly different.

— @joshualipsky is the senior director of the Atlantic Council’s @ACGeoEcon Center and a former adviser to the International Monetary Fund.
Read 20 tweets
Atlantic Council Profile picture
Aug 22
On August 6, Ukraine launched a surprise cross-border attack on Russia’s Kursk region.

Follow this thread for analysis and insights from Atlantic Council experts on what the incursion means for Ukraine, Russia, and Vladimir Putin. 🧵
“Ukraine’s current raid does not mean that Ukraine will win its war of national survival,” writes @AmbDanFried.

“It does suggest that Ukraine could win, given the right and timely help from its friends.”
atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
@AmbDanFried “In psychological terms, bringing the war home to Russia has allowed Ukraine to strike a powerful blow against enemy morale,” writes Peter Dickinson (@Biz_Ukraine_Mag).
atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainea…
Read 7 tweets
Atlantic Council Profile picture
Mar 11
🧵 Since retaking Afghanistan, the Taliban has issued decrees to systematically oppress women and girls.

In this audio thread compiled by @SHalaimzai, @Metra_Mehran, and @mari_thero, #AfghanWomen narrate their ordeal under gender apartheid in Afghanistan:bit.ly/3Tt3JZ2
“Women are ordered to stay indoors because Taliban soldiers are not trained to respect women.” #AfghanWomen #GenderApartheid 🎧⬇️
“We believed that the international community was with us, that they wouldn’t give away our hard work, our rights. I feel embarrassed for thinking that now.” #AfghanWomen #GenderApartheid 🎧⬇️
Read 5 tweets
Atlantic Council Profile picture
Jan 26
On Friday, @CIJ_ICJ issued its ruling on provisional measures in South Africa’s case against Israel.

The court ordered Israel to limit harm to Palestinians but declined to order a cease-fire.

Atlantic Council experts share their insights. 🧵⬇️
atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
The decision puts other states offering support to Israel on notice, writes @SLPJustice’s @Celeste_Kmiotek.

“Should the ICJ determine that Israel is committing genocide, the states that have aided Israel could also face cases before the ICJ.”
atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
@SLPJustice @Celeste_Kmiotek “Today’s decision is an important blow to the argument advanced by Israel’s critics that death and destruction in Gaza are sufficient to establish a violation of the Genocide Convention,” says @ACMideast’s @TomWarrickAC.
atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
Read 10 tweets
Atlantic Council Profile picture
Jun 1, 2022
Russia's war on Ukraine is also a war on global food security. A new issue brief by @anders_aslund breaks down how Ukraine's global granary has been stolen and suppressed by a Russian blockade on the Black Sea, and its impact on the global food crisis. atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-resea…
🇺🇸@RepMikeQuigley breaks down the global impact Russia's actions have had on food supplies and prices, and voices support for the recommendation that an international coalition ensures Ukraine's ports are open for critical shipping.
Since February, Russian ships have blockaded and mined Ukraine's ports and choked off international shipping. This means that Ukraine, one of the world's largest suppliers of grain and wheat, can't get its goods to market.
Read 8 tweets
Atlantic Council Profile picture
Mar 16, 2022
❝Russia has attacked not just us, not just our land, not just our cities, it went on a brutal offensive against our values, against our right to live freely in our own country, against our national dreams. Just like the same dreams you Americans have.❞ – @ZelenskyyUa
❝This is a terror that Europe has not seen for 80 years… Is this a lot to ask for to create a no-fly zone over Ukraine to save people? Is this too much to ask? If this is too much to ask, we offer an alternative. You know what kind of defense systems we need.❞ – @ZelenskyyUa
❝I have a dream. These words are known to each of you today, I can say I have a need. I need to protect our sky. I need your decision. Your help…Ukraine is grateful to the United States for its overwhelming support…However, I call on you to do more.❞ – @ZelenskyyUa
Read 7 tweets

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