Koshiek Karan Profile picture
Jun 23, 2021 12 tweets 6 min read Read on X
The biggest ever cryptocurrency scam (Africrypt) is now a global news story. Here's a page turn of their "investor presentation" [Thread]
Africrypt claimed to have grown from a one man operation to "one of Africa's largest & most successful AI trading companies"

Ever heard of them? Nobody did. That's the start of any great scam.
Would you hand over your money to a 19yo & a "personal equity trader"? But wait, what if the 19yo had 5 distinctions in matric?

RaeCreate was "incorporated in Hong Kong", domain was a Durban address.
Here's the "services". If you took one quick read and had zero fucking clue what these guys were up to... you're not alone.

"Complex"/ "machine learning"/"merchant banking?!"/ "deep learning"

It's a complete word stew aiming to recruit the inexperienced.
Any prizes for guessing why Durban is on the map? Home boy Raees even defends their "international presence" on line forums.

Of course it's bullshit
I guarantee you will not read this tweet with a straight face. You buy packages. The one package is called a "passive aggressive" portfolio. You literally can't make this up.

Knowing you lost all your money in a passive aggressive fund must hurt different

Returns? Copy/ Paste!
There's many reasons to buy crypto, "often more profitable" is not one of them.

The irony of saying money is "always accessible" while going on to disappear with billions is both depressing & amusing.
The next few pages go into the advantages of AI trading except... these are generic slides with sections of text which appear to be pasted verbatim

No detail on how their actual system works. Nothing

"a trader will never beat a machine" & you're also not seeing your money again
"we were hacked!!"

Also, please don't go the legal route or it will take longer to get your money back.

How tf are you going to "retrieve" stolen crypto? Even the excuse letter was badly thought out.
It's believed some clients invested up to R20m in this shit show. How did ANYONE think this was a good idea?

Scams increase during a pandemic & getting trapped stems mostly from desperation. Here the victims are folks with cash

Poor due diligence & outright greed burns everyone
Whether it's Forex, crypto, stocks, commodities... if anyone EVER tells you they figured out a magic pattern to consistently beat the market based on secret technology...

Just remember - they're making money from you & not for you.

When there's no product. You're the product.
SA is a hotspot for financial crime thanks to a confluence of factors.

You're looking at corrupt governance, a culture of non-accountability, understaffed & lethargic financial regulators, poverty, desperation, unfiltered greed & extremely low levels of basic financial literacy.

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More from @iamkoshiek

Mar 26
MTN just ended their eight year front of shirt sponsorship with the Springboks 🏉🏉

here's an inside look at the big business behind the most iconic jersey in world rugby [thread] Image
what isn't being widely reported (yet) is how the ongoing Springboks private equity ownership discussion has impacted anchor sponsor relationships

the recent failed takeover bid from Ackerley Sports Group (ASG) has sparked friction & uncertainty at executive level Image
SARU stood to pocket a 15% success fee for brokering a successful equity deal

except this was a terrible deal for South African rugby

I covered the deal mechanics in extensive detail here (worth a read)
Read 14 tweets
Mar 24
⚠️"South Africa is the most difficult place in the world to do business!!" ‼️

business media & "economists" thrive on terrifying headlines, social media outrage & ramping up fear

here's a purely fact-based analysis on this chart worth reading [thread] Image
having spent MANY years in the investment banking engine room, it's very common to cherry-pick economic data to support any narrative

(known as confirmation bias)

many of the viral finance charts floating around are "math-washed"

they're designed to spark a strong reaction
"SA is the hardest place in the world to do business.... against 49 other countries"

if the world had 49 countries, this would be terrifying!!

but the IMF said so, it has to be accurate, right? this is a classic "appeal to authority"

... & no, the source isn't even the IMF Image
Read 18 tweets
Mar 13
I reviewed the full 273 page South African budget report so you don't have to grind through it

here's how the numbers impact us [thread]

#AdviceForSuccess #BudgetSpeech2025
budget 101: when expenses are more than income = trouble

that's exactly where South Africa is (& expects to be going forward)... running a budget deficit

here's an excellent chart showing the deficit projected to widen over time Image
when you're running a budget deficit, there's a couple of ways to close the gap

1. cut costs & improve efficiency*
2. increase revenues
3. plug the hole with debt

*corruption, wasteful expenditure, price inflated tenders, a bloated cabinet, bailouts & high salaries fit here
Read 18 tweets
Mar 6
🚨🚨 Chasing Ambulances 🚨🚨

are you being crushed by expensive medical aid ⁉️🚑

here are red flags from Discovery's latest results & why you can expect to pay even more 🚩🚩 [thread]
Discovery Health is a complete machine - you have nearly 4 million people under administration with a 57.9% market share

it's now reached a critical point of scale where growth is slowing down

strategically there's a mission drive growth in other segments (like Discovery bank) Image
Discovery Health Medical Scheme (DHMS) has increased their plan pricing above the SA official inflation rate

medical inflations isn't unique to SA & is pretty high globally -- estimated at 10% for this year

you have ageing populations, poorer health & weaker cross-subsidizing Image
Read 17 tweets
Feb 21
🚨🚨 "WE HAVE NO MONEY!!" 🚨🚨

South Africa just announced it can't afford to pay its frontline workers (teachers, doctors) & is considering raising taxes AGAIN!! 💰💰

yet the government racked up R120 BILLION in irregular expenditure in just 5 years [thread]
irregular expenditure means non-compliance within an accounting framework & legislation

this ranges from contracts awarded without a proper bid process to basic admin

this itself doesn't mean fraud until its investigated all the way - which makes it an excellent tool for crime Image
since irregular expenditure is super broad -- where do you find it the most?

you guessed it.... dodgy accounting, missing paperwork, shadows in procurement (awarding tenders) & no follow up investigations

the high "consequence management" bar means there's often no consequence Image
Read 15 tweets
Feb 9
there's an escalating messy breakup in the US/ South Africa political relationship - is South Africa cooked?!

here's a simple look at the global trade chess game [thread] 🎮🇺🇸🇿🇦
successful global trade depends on alliances (cough, gangs) ♟️♟️

South Africa is a member of BRICS, a powerful alliance now eclipsing G7 in terms of global GDP

but SA remains the weakest economic nation, with contributions declining across time

South Africa is also the weakest economic contributing nation ranked by GDP per capita & GDP growth relative to its BRICS partners

more countries joining through BRICS+ further weakens SA influence

this places SA in a tough spot when it comes to exerting economic leverage Image
Read 16 tweets

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