Koshiek Karan Profile picture
Jun 23, 2021 12 tweets 6 min read Read on X
The biggest ever cryptocurrency scam (Africrypt) is now a global news story. Here's a page turn of their "investor presentation" [Thread]
Africrypt claimed to have grown from a one man operation to "one of Africa's largest & most successful AI trading companies"

Ever heard of them? Nobody did. That's the start of any great scam.
Would you hand over your money to a 19yo & a "personal equity trader"? But wait, what if the 19yo had 5 distinctions in matric?

RaeCreate was "incorporated in Hong Kong", domain was a Durban address.
Here's the "services". If you took one quick read and had zero fucking clue what these guys were up to... you're not alone.

"Complex"/ "machine learning"/"merchant banking?!"/ "deep learning"

It's a complete word stew aiming to recruit the inexperienced.
Any prizes for guessing why Durban is on the map? Home boy Raees even defends their "international presence" on line forums.

Of course it's bullshit
I guarantee you will not read this tweet with a straight face. You buy packages. The one package is called a "passive aggressive" portfolio. You literally can't make this up.

Knowing you lost all your money in a passive aggressive fund must hurt different

Returns? Copy/ Paste!
There's many reasons to buy crypto, "often more profitable" is not one of them.

The irony of saying money is "always accessible" while going on to disappear with billions is both depressing & amusing.
The next few pages go into the advantages of AI trading except... these are generic slides with sections of text which appear to be pasted verbatim

No detail on how their actual system works. Nothing

"a trader will never beat a machine" & you're also not seeing your money again
"we were hacked!!"

Also, please don't go the legal route or it will take longer to get your money back.

How tf are you going to "retrieve" stolen crypto? Even the excuse letter was badly thought out.
It's believed some clients invested up to R20m in this shit show. How did ANYONE think this was a good idea?

Scams increase during a pandemic & getting trapped stems mostly from desperation. Here the victims are folks with cash

Poor due diligence & outright greed burns everyone
Whether it's Forex, crypto, stocks, commodities... if anyone EVER tells you they figured out a magic pattern to consistently beat the market based on secret technology...

Just remember - they're making money from you & not for you.

When there's no product. You're the product.
SA is a hotspot for financial crime thanks to a confluence of factors.

You're looking at corrupt governance, a culture of non-accountability, understaffed & lethargic financial regulators, poverty, desperation, unfiltered greed & extremely low levels of basic financial literacy.

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More from @iamkoshiek

Apr 23
South African household income stats 🇿🇦📊

median monthly income = R7, 891
average monthly income = R17,030

- White: R56,365
- Indian: R34,786
- Coloured: R21,735
- Black African: R11,969

Source: Stats SA, IES 2022/ 2023
monthly household income by education level 🇿🇦

tertiary education: R48,188
secondary education: R12,480
no schooling: R7,015

for households headed by those with tertiary education
- income is 7x higher vs no schooling
- income is 4x higher vs secondary education
South Africa is a majority low income country with widespread unemployment & high levels of inequality

if you could access the debt profiles, credit scores & payslips of people on twitter -- you would likely see more honest takes on money

the truth is in the data
Read 8 tweets
Apr 20
do you ever feel the news you consume is overwhelmingly negative?! 💔💔

you’re completely right — it really is

I ran a deep, content sentiment analysis for every article, social media post & headline published across media houses

in short: SA media LOVES bad news 📰 Image
the biggest culprits of publishing paralysing fear & doomsday prophecies:

Daily Maverick, Daily Investor, BusinessTech & eNCA

but there’s a strong chance you already knew that based on their relentless, negative headlines
quick note on how this sentiment tracker works

each content piece (article body, headlines, summaries, social media post) is classified using natural language processing

then you aggregate to compute an overall sentiment score (e.g. -0.40 means 40% more negative than positive)
Read 13 tweets
Apr 17
South African stocks are crushing record highs & gold is at all time highs 🇿🇦🔥

SA is now ranked among the best performing markets globally this year 🏆

the rand (relative to the US dollar) remains unchanged this year 📈📈 Image
wait — why is there such limited local media coverage for positive news?!

SA media LOVES reporting currency weakness, stock market crashes & negative news on South Africa

fear, outrage & clickbait drives clicks & engagement — opportunity doesn’t sell
my favourite strategy of financial media is using two completely independent events to force a useless correlation

“SA politician seen buying 3 chocolate Easter bunnies — rand collapses as investors flee!!”

this works GREAT in countries with low levels of financial literacy
Read 9 tweets
Mar 26
MTN just ended their eight year front of shirt sponsorship with the Springboks 🏉🏉

here's an inside look at the big business behind the most iconic jersey in world rugby [thread] Image
what isn't being widely reported (yet) is how the ongoing Springboks private equity ownership discussion has impacted anchor sponsor relationships

the recent failed takeover bid from Ackerley Sports Group (ASG) has sparked friction & uncertainty at executive level Image
SARU stood to pocket a 15% success fee for brokering a successful equity deal

except this was a terrible deal for South African rugby

I covered the deal mechanics in extensive detail here (worth a read)
Read 14 tweets
Mar 24
⚠️"South Africa is the most difficult place in the world to do business!!" ‼️

business media & "economists" thrive on terrifying headlines, social media outrage & ramping up fear

here's a purely fact-based analysis on this chart worth reading [thread] Image
having spent MANY years in the investment banking engine room, it's very common to cherry-pick economic data to support any narrative

(known as confirmation bias)

many of the viral finance charts floating around are "math-washed"

they're designed to spark a strong reaction
"SA is the hardest place in the world to do business.... against 49 other countries"

if the world had 49 countries, this would be terrifying!!

but the IMF said so, it has to be accurate, right? this is a classic "appeal to authority"

... & no, the source isn't even the IMF Image
Read 18 tweets
Mar 13
I reviewed the full 273 page South African budget report so you don't have to grind through it

here's how the numbers impact us [thread]

#AdviceForSuccess #BudgetSpeech2025
budget 101: when expenses are more than income = trouble

that's exactly where South Africa is (& expects to be going forward)... running a budget deficit

here's an excellent chart showing the deficit projected to widen over time Image
when you're running a budget deficit, there's a couple of ways to close the gap

1. cut costs & improve efficiency*
2. increase revenues
3. plug the hole with debt

*corruption, wasteful expenditure, price inflated tenders, a bloated cabinet, bailouts & high salaries fit here
Read 18 tweets

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