Looks like we've got a new Border Patrol Chief coming. This is a fairly normal action for a new administration, even though the role of Chief isn't a political, Senate-confirmed position. There have been 7 acting or permanent Chiefs in the last decade.

As a side note—and my apologies to @NickMiroff here for singling him out for an extremely common error—it continues to be false that we are seeing a 20-year-high in "border crossings."

Border encounters =/= border crossings and crossings are likely closer to 2008/09 than 2000. Image
Thanks to a statistical model produced by the DHS Office of Immigration Statistics, I can chart DHS's estimate of border crossings from 2000-2018—not just apprehensions.

As the border became more secure, the gap between crossings and apprehensions has fallen significantly. Image
Another thing to keep in mind? Border crossings =/= the number of unique people crossing. Imagine 10 people cross the border. Half make it through and the rest are caught. 3 of those 5 people try again, and 1 makes it through.

- 13 crossings
- 10 people
- 7 apprehensions

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More from @ReichlinMelnick

21 Jun
I need everyone screaming about "open borders" to take a long, long look at this chart.

The actual number of people processed under normal immigration law (and not rapidly expelled back to Mexico) under Biden in 2021 never even hit half the number of people as in 2019.
For those curious about where this figure comes from, check out our fact sheet on Rising Border Encounters in 2021, which gives you the deep context most coverage is missing. There's a new update with May border data included and analyzed coming soon! americanimmigrationcouncil.org/rising-border-…
The vast majority of people who are encountered by the Border Patrol continue to be expelled back to Mexico, while the number of people processed under normal immigration law (which could mean deportation, prosecution, or access to the asylum process) remains flat since March.
Read 4 tweets
19 Jun
This fictional chart from Ron Johnson strikes again. As I've explained repeatedly, this chart is MASSIVELY wrong, leaving out hundreds of thousands of apprehensions that occurred before Biden took office.

Here's the corrected version, showing the rising trend since last spring. Image
This now makes multiple members of Congress who are using a chart which @thehill has already debunked weeks ago thanks to my analysis. On Thursday, Rep. VanDrew also showed this chart—which, again, is *severely* misleading—at a DHS budget hearing.

The Johnson/VanDrew/Boebert chart is doing well on right-wing media because it plays into this fiction that before Joe Biden took office, the border was somehow perfectly secured and no one was coming.

As I pointed out yesterday, that's a total fiction.
Read 6 tweets
16 Jun
!! AG Garland just vacated Matter of A-B- I & II and Matter of L-E-A-, taking the first major step towards restoring asylum law to what it was before Sessions and Barr took over.

A-B-: justice.gov/eoir/page/file…

L-E-A-: justice.gov/eoir/page/file…
This is a huge day not just for restoring the rule of law in asylum adjudications, but also for Ms. A-B- herself, who has now been fighting her case for over six years. Same goes for L-E-A-. We can never forget these are individual peoples' cases.
Importantly, A.G. Garland does not set any new asylum law through his decisions in A-B- and L-E-A-'s cases.

Instead, he just vacated the decisions in favor of future rulemaking that they've suggested will come in the fall, requiring judges to go back to the pre-Trump precedent.
Read 7 tweets
15 Jun
Smugglers lie to people. They said Trump was allowing all families to enter. They say Biden promised not to deport anyone who comes now. All lies. It's what they do.

So the idea that we can't ever help immigrants because if we did smugglers might lie about it is profoundly dumb.
Let's be serious. When Congress is debating amnesty, smugglers say "Now's your best chance."

When Congress is debating border restrictions, smugglers say "Now's your best chance."

It doesn't matter who's in the White House or not, smugglers will say "Now's your best chance."
If someone tells you that Biden is to blame for smugglers selling "now" as the time to come to the border, remind them that the highest number of families ever to come to the border happened in 2019 under Donald F*cking Trump just months after family separation!
Read 5 tweets
14 Jun
Absolutely do not—and I can't repeat this enough—piss off a federal judge in his own courtroom.
Oh man now I've gone down the rabbit hole of this incident and a genuine thank you to the reporter for embedding all the relevant documents in this article.

I repeat my previous advice; do not ever piss off a federal judge in his, her, or their courtroom. rapidcityjournal.com/news/local/cri…
This transcript where Judge Kornmann gets told "national policy says we're going to ignore you" is incredible.

Judge Kornmann: "I don't know whether to cite you or the Marshal or both."
Chief Deputy U.S. Marshal: "I would prefer neither."

/he cited both bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/rapidcityjourn… ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
14 Jun
Great news! 🎊 The Biden administration just said it will review pending U visa applications to determine if they are "bona fide," which makes the applicant eligible for deferred action and a work permit.

Currently it takes 4+ years to get to that point!
uscis.gov/sites/default/… ImageImageImage
The current U visa process is so broken that an applicant has to wait from 4-6 years just to have USCIS determine if their application is bona fide, then wait another 15 years for a visa.

Today's policy change eliminates that first delay. Only Congress can fix the second.
Right now USCIS is processing applications for U Visas that were filed on June 30, 2016—nearly FIVE YEARS delay from the time the application was filed until the point that an applicant can get any benefit.

The new policy change will fix this absurd outcome. Image
Read 4 tweets

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