1. A thread on pension reforms; why it is one of the biggest issues facing govt. & why we had to act now to reform pensions.
Pension costs have increased more than any other budget line across Pakistan; 95 times in KP from 2003-4 till today - from 0.87 bln to 83 bln / year.
2. With no action, pension and salary payments would surpass provincial receipts in just 6 years. This was not a problem for tomorrow. This is today's problem.
No action puts the pension payments of existing and future pensioners at risk.
3. Just pension payments alone could rise to Rs. 460 bln by 2030 if no action were taken, given govt's increasing employee base, with average growth of 22% per year over the last five years.
4. There were 13 layers of pensioners receiving family pension pre-reform.
1. Pensioner 2. Widow 3. Son or Unmarried daughter 4. Widowed daughter 5. Wife of deceased son 6. Son of deceased son 7. Unmarried daughter of deceased son 8. Widowed daughter of deceased son
14. Pension ceased, unless any of the previous set of relatives status changed, in which case the pension could be revived.
6. In addition, the current pension system allowed 1935 individuals to draw two pensions, and 738 active employees to take a salary plus a family pension.
7. 5000+ employees took early retirement at age 45, mostly teachers, drawing a full pension plus working in the private sector as teachers.
8. The pension fund mechanism in place was completely unworkable. In current form, the pension fund (Rs. 56 bln, ave growth 10%) would never fully fund pensions (Rs 83 bln, ave growth 22%); the fund itself was further depleting govt resources rather than resolving pension issues.
9. To utilise the pension fund as an endowment to fully fund pensions, the fund size today would need to be over Rs. 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion).
The elephant in the room was that Pakistan is one of the only countries worldwide with a completely unfunded pension programme.
10. KP is the first govt to now put in place a detailed blueprint of reforms (details to follow) that will secure and make safe the pensions of current and future employees.
11. First, we have changed pension rules to reduce tiers in the pension hierarchy to dependent children, in line with international standards, and parents, and used the savings to increase the pension payment prospectively to widows from 75% to 100% as announced in the budget.
12. Second, we have increased the minimum early retirement age from 45 to 55, which saves over Rs. 12 billion in the first year, and over Rs. 150 billion in ten years.
13. We have also disallowed the withdrawal of dual pensions, or pensions being drawn by active employees. This is abuse of public funds.
14. The cabinet has approved the introduction of a defined contribution pension system; and the establishment department will move an amendment to the civil servants act to make all new employees liable to participate in the new contributory pension programme.
15. The contributory pension programme, which we will try to enact within 2021-22, will be compulsory for new employees, and optional for existing employees. It will give pension cover to over 100,000 public servants (in companies, authorities, MTI hospitals) without cover today.
16. To lighten the annual pension burden on public taxpayer money, the cabinet also approved a policy to utilise the profits earned on the pension fund to partially pay annual pension liabilities, i.e. to use the existing pension fund for it's intended purpose.
17. Finally, incredibly indebted to the gesture of PAS & PMS officers of the province, who graciously agreed that 20% of their pay raise would be contributed towards annual pension payments, creating the first pay-as-you-go pension mechanism for existing employees in Pakistan.
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The story of PK102 - Bannu
#TheRiggingFiles
#Election2024
Here is yet another constituency in KP, where blatant rigging has been used to overturn a result against PTI's Malik Adnan Khan.
Adnan Khan beat former JUIF Chief Minister Akram Durrani by 37169 to 30361, a lead of almost 7000 votes. No mean feat in the politics of Bannu!
However, by tampering with the result of at least 23 polling stations, the result was overturned. However, again, a trail has been left that cannot be hidden.
Inshallah, Malik Adnan Khan will get justice from the tribunals, but what does this say about those who believe that to fudge election results is the way to make this country prosper?
And let no one claim that anywhere in KP were results fudged for PTI!
Details to follow...
2. The story of PK102 - Bannu
#TheRiggingFiles
#Election2024
On 7 polling stations, a tactic commonly used by ROs, was for the votes of one candidate to be written to another. Malik Adnan Khan's votes were reduced by 1434, by writing his vote tally to the similarly named Malik Ashraf Khan.
The boys behind the rigging also did this on almost every seat; having a similarly named candidate for every PTI candidate on the ballot. In many cases, the names were exactly the same.
3. The story of PK102 - Bannu
On 16 polling stations, forged Forms 45 were created and Akram Durrani's votes were increased. But this presents several problems...
1. The turnout on these stations increases to around or over 90%, where the average turnout for the constituency is only 42%.
2. The turnout doesn't match with the Form 46 vote count making this an open and shut case of forgery
3. The turnout doesn't match with the NA turnout on the same polling stations making this an open and shut case of forgery.
4. Several of the forged Forms 45 have visible over-writing
All of this adds a total of 8649 bogus votes to Akram Durrani.
There is an IMF standby agreement, but what next?
Part II: Imports, exports, and remittances: solving our balance of payments challenge.
4 billion dollars. Pakistan’s foreign reserves today. Equal to less than four weeks of our import bill. Our balance of payments… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
🧵Tweet 2
(continued from above)
The Exports and FDI challenge
Consider three numbers: 1. Exports: $28 billion (down $4 billion from our last year in government) 2. Remittances: $27 billion (down $4 billion from our last year in government) 3. FDI: $1.3 billion (down 22% versus… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
🧵Tweet 3
(continued from above)
The reflection in the mirror: a depiction of how we treat the private sector
Many voices will agree with much of what has been stated above. It’s not rocket science. At any given time, those in government will always tell you we are making… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
🧵. Today, despite legal protection & available finances, the KP caretaker govt keeps on stopping the Sehat Card on a week by week basis; the Sehat Card has been benefiting 120,000 patients every month in KP alone.
Proud to see an extensive and independent 3rd party evaluation by… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2. It is incredible what the programme has achieved in such a short time - 2 million plus patients benefiting in KP - and KP's experience of Universal Healthcare being expanded to Punjab, Islamabad, GB, FATA and AJK.
The awareness, hospital readiness, processes, and the impact on… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
3. The Sehat Card is Imran Khan's greatest achievement; and it is actually incredible how doable it is, with just the right financial decisions.
It is just over 2% of the KP budget; it actually only costs about $2 per head per year; and attracts investment, competition, and… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
🧵 A shocking decision sets aside democracy & the fed parliamentary structure of Pakistan. Staggered to see so many federal & provincial entities become party to delaying elections. Even the Constitution's Art. 218(3) & Election Act's Sections 8(c) & 58 have been misinterpreted.
2. Article 218(3) does not allow the ECP to delay elections. It makes it the duty of the ECP to organise and conduct free and fair elections. Surely, with this judgment, ECP has failed in discharging that duty?
3. Article 8(c) of the Elections Act, referred to in the judgment , gives the ECP the powers to issue orders to ensure it can discharge its duty. Through this judgment, ECP has done the opposite, hasn't it?
۱۔ پشاور میں مفت آٹے کی تقسیم کا پہلا دن۔ افسوس ناک مناظر۔
جب آپ غلط وجوہات کی بنا پر صحیح کام کرتےہیں تو ایسا ہوتا۔ کیا نگراں حکومت 20 ارب روپےکے غیربجٹ اخراجات کی منظوری دےسکتی؟
اگر مستقبل کی اسمبلی اس اخراجات کومنظور نہیں کرتی تو کیاہوگا؟
۲۔ اس حقیقت کے علاوہ کہ نگران حکومت غیر قانونی کام کررہی ہے، یہ ضروری ہے کہ مفت آٹا مستحق لوگوں تک پہنچے اور غریبوں کی مدد کی جائے۔ افسوس کی بات یہ ہے کہ وزارتوں کے فروخت ہونے کی افواہوں کے پیش نظر اس کے امکانات زیادہ نہیں ہیں۔
۳۔ @FinanceKPGovt اور نگراں CM اعظم خان سےپوچھا جاناچاہیےکہ کیاوفاقی حکومت سےفنڈنگ حاصل کرنےکی کوشش کی گئی، کیونکہ انکے پاس کےپی کے 230 ارب روپے سے زائد کےبقایاجات؛ یہ اقدام وزیر اعظم کی ہدایت پر کیا گیا جس نے صوبے کے فنڈز کو روکے ہیں۔
🧵. KP's new free atta distribution disaster on its first day in Peshawar. This is what happens when you do the right thing for the wrong reasons.
Can a caretaker govt approve a Rs 20 bln unbudgeted expense? What happens if a future assembly doesn't approve this expenditure?
2. Other than the fact the caretaker govt may be doing something blatantly illegal, it is important that the free atta reach the right hands and help the poor. Sadly, it does not seem the chances of that are high given the rumours of ministries being sold.
3. @FinanceKPGovt & CM Azam Khan should be asked whether any attempt was made to get the funding from the federal govt, given they owe arrears of over Rs 230 bln to KP & since this was done on the public directions of the PM who is witholding those funds.