There's a tonne of additional Brexit-related changes coming down the pipe. We're not done with the upheaval yet!

I've laid out the timeline for these changes below.

30 June 2021: Deadline to apply for the EU Settlement Scheme in the UK.
1 July 2021: New EU VAT regime, affecting sales into the EU market by non-EU firms. Elimination of VAT exemption on low value consignments (previously up to EUR 22) so all goods imported into the EU will be liable to VAT.…
1 July 2021: HTA licences required to import or export human tissue and cells between GB and the EEA.…
1 July 2021: Marriage Visitor visas required to visit the UK to get married for people or their family who are from the EU, Switzerland, Norway, Iceland or Liechtenstein (unless they are Irish citizens, or have gone through the EU Settlement Scheme).
1 October 2021: National IDs are no longer valid for most travel to the UK. Instead, passports will be required. Impacts school trips, language and cultural exchanges etc.

(NOTE: National IDs are mandatory in most EU countries, so many children won't have passports.)
1 October 2021: Importers of animal products will have to pre-notify officials.…
1 January 2022: CE mark will no longer be valid for goods on the UK market. New UK mark required instead, at extra cost and double the certification effort. (UK manufacturers will also need CE marks to sell their products in the EU.)
1 January 2022: Introduction of customs declarations on all goods coming into the UK, as well as safety and security declarations. Deferred customs declaration scheme ends.

NOTE: This has already been delayed, so could end up delayed again.…
1 January 2022: Physical SPS checks begin on animal products, and on high-risk plant products coming from the EU to the UK.

Again, like the customs declarations, the UK Government may decide to delay this again rather than face reality.…
March 2022: Final "Phase 3" regime of inspections begins for plants and plant products imported from the EU to GB. Includes identity and physical SPS checks.…
30 June 2022: EU's 18-month temporary equivalence decision on UK CCPs expires, affecting financial operations. (EU clearing members are meant to have reduced their exposure to UK CCPs by then.)…
Late 2022: EU European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) scheme begins, requiring advance registration before travel to the EU, for a fee. Cost expected to be 7 euro. ETIAS will be valid for 3 years.…
1 January 2023: End of grace period for registering chemicals in the UK under the old system.

Duplicate registration effort (UK and EU) required going forward.
Please let me know if there are any other upcoming deadlines I've missed. Thanks.

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More from @edwinhayward

Aug 13
Tory Britain, 2022

Brexit, Covid, energy crisis, cost of living crisis, monstrous A&E waiting times, record NHS backlog, millions unable to access NHS dentists, A level & GCSE grade chaos, rocketing poverty, widespread strikes, eroding human rights, rampant grift & nepotism.

All governments have stuff they do well and stuff they do badly.

Until now.

Under Johnson, a parade of calamities combined with abysmal governance and a total lack of morals to turn everything bad at the same time.

Johnson handles pressure like a balloon with a hole in it.
The other part of the equation is that there's probably never been a bigger gulf between reality and a government's assessment of itself.

The Tories claim they got all the big calls right. Our 80% RW press parrot it.

The opposite is true. Calls big and small alike were missed.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 11
FYI. According to a leading lawyer contacted by the Big Issue team, there could be dire repercussions for individuals who join the Don't Pay UK campaign and don't pay their energy bills.

So if you're thinking about it, go in with your eyes very wide open.…
Also bear in mind that the *anonymous* organisers of the campaign claim to be aware of the potential consequences, but also invoke a kind of "safety in numbers" shield that will magically protect people because so many are protesting.

There's no basis to believe that's true.
I have every sympathy for people who find themselves in energy poverty this winter. Grim for all of us!

But going up against private firms (NOT the government) who have a wealth of laws on their side has the potential to make a bad situation much, much worse at a personal level.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 8
According to Money Saving Expert, the cheapest energy deal available to me will cost an extra £5,660 a year - which is significantly more than 3x what I am paying now.
But if I look at my actual annual usage and compute it against the price cap (admittedly we don't know what it will be from October) I get a figure over £4,000 cheaper than the cheapest deal, though still higher than my current fix.

How is that even possible.
All very strange. Perhaps it's because MSE has so few deals in its database at the moment. Not sure.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 8
Examples of businesses at risk from the wild energy price hikes:

Nail salons
Music teachers
Pet grooming
Private tutors

(Basically anyone offering nice-to-have rather than essential services.)
It's a very sad situation, but the money to pay the bills has to come from somewhere.

The poorest will be left with the diabolical non-choice of heating or eating.

People with more means will have to cut back on discretionary spending (some will need to pare it to the bone).
And that's just the first iteration, the smallest of the expanding ripples.

As service businesses see their client base shrink or vanish, their owners or employees will no longer have the means to maintain their own discretionary spending either.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 7
There's a certain twisted mentality exhibited by Patrick Minford, Andrew Lilico and some Twitter commentators.

Paraphrased, it goes like this: If the UK's car industry/farmers/etc. can't compete in an unfettered global market, they don't deserve to be in business. Let them die.
To those sorts of people, price is God.

If something can be obtained cheaper, that's the immediate end of the discussion - even if that something is being cobbled together on the far side of the world, and every last person who used to produce it in the UK is out of a job.
There's literally no space in their worldview for the plight of actual humans in this country.

If manufacturing goes, or farming, or fishing, well that's the Darwinism of the market and just tough luck.

Surprise, surprise, they're not in favour of helping those affected either.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 7
It's disgraceful that Liz Truss has laid out her plans for the UK behind the Telegraph paywall.

Every single person in the UK will be affected by her decisions, yet only their subscribers can see what she wrote.

Where there's a will, there's a way...…
Make that TWO ways...
Read 4 tweets

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