“Our mission will be successful the minute Keir Starmer has a leadership challenge”

What I found in Batley & Spen was a crumbling Labour vote, broad support for George Galloway & the beginning of organised efforts to stand candidates against Labour. novaramedia.com/2021/06/25/its…
The Galloway campaign has 3 campaign centres, (I’m told) 10 organisers and is better resourced than either Labour or the Tories. His election agent told me last week he thinks there are “no circumstances” under which Labour can retain the constituency.

novaramedia.com/2021/06/25/its…
The idea Galloway has pulled the wool over the eyes of constituents really doesn’t get the anger people have in being taken for granted. What I found was voters, of all colours & creeds, under no illusions about *any* politicians. novaramedia.com/2021/06/25/its…
Rather than ‘values’ what is mobilising people is a highly transactional politics. This previously extended to Tory pork barrel funding but I also saw it with Galloway. His being an outsider isn’t a problem but rather an *advantage*. novaramedia.com/2021/06/25/its…
Palestine not only issue. Batley & Dewsbury Magistrates’ Court closed in 2012, Dewsbury & District A&E was downgraded in 2017 & police station shut in 2018.

Strongest attack lines against Kim Leadbetter generally involve pointing at Kirklees council .

novaramedia.com/2021/06/25/its…
One under-appreciated dynamic is formerly Labour-controlled Kirklees council includes Huddersfield, & perception is it is favoured. The dichotomy of town versus city, so troubling for Labour at a national level, can be found in microcosm here in Yorkshire. novaramedia.com/2021/06/25/its…
Finally those business people who invited Galloway to stand see it is as a prototype against Starmer’s Labour, “What we are doing, everyone wants to copy… they’ve asked us how can we get a good candidate to run.”
Dissatisfaction with Labour, particularly Starmer, is converging with ad hoc efforts to exert leverage over national politics. “It’s only the start...if he doesn’t win here there are 10 other places Galloway can stand. And if he doesn’t win it’ll still lose Labour the vote”.
These networks extend, I am told, to Lancashire, West Midlands & elsewhere in Yorkshire. If Galloway doesn’t win (probable) expect another campaign anywhere with a similar make up to Batley & Spen.

The anger towards Starmer from Muslims is extraordinary. novaramedia.com/2021/06/25/its…

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More from @AaronBastani

25 May
In the name of ‘anti racism’ Cambridge University Labour club have expelled a BAME student from their executive for disagreeing with the IHRA definition of antisemitism.

Kenneth Stern, the definition’s lead author, wrote ‘it was never intended to be a campus hate speech code’.
Stuff like this is why I, and others, tried to make arguments against it. The IHRA, used as it now is, curtails criticism of Israel and its government.

The fact someone is expelled from an executive for even questioning something?

Puritanism of the worst kind.
Read 4 tweets
25 May
Starmer is now *21pts* behind Boris Johnson in Best Prime Minister polling.

In December 2019, Jeremy Corbyn was 13pts behind Johnson.

A brilliant article from @LeftieStats - Labour’s biggest problem is its leader.

novaramedia.com/2021/05/25/kei…
Things started to go dramatically wrong for Starmer, and Labour, late last year. The party’s old policies aren’t the problem.
This feels right from @LeftieStats

As members leave you suspect another centrist would replace Starmer as leader anyway. He deserves the chance to lead Labour into the next GE. But going on last 6 months it won’t be pretty....💀
Read 4 tweets
25 May
Xi Jinping recently claimed China had ended extreme poverty. On a meaningful measure it hasn't, but since 1990 its taken around 900 million out of $5 a day or less - a huge achievement.

All while ignoring the Washington Consensus. Me for @novaramedia

novaramedia.com/2021/05/25/did…
If we adopt $5 a day as measure for extreme poverty that would require global GDP to increase *175 times* to end it. In other words, using this benchmark, it's impossible to eradicate extreme poverty with our present economic model.

That's the context for China's achievement.
Achieving the millennium development goal of halving global poverty from 1990-2015 (measured on $1.25 a day) came to depend *entirely* on China. Success there masked worsening situation elsewhere in global south.

The 'good news' story of international development isn't true.
Read 4 tweets
17 Apr
As the US announces withdrawal from Afghanistan you can't help but think about the lack of accountability for the Blair government in becoming embroiled in a hellish, historic defeat.

One figure, Labour's John Reid, exemplifies that. Thread (1/5)
In 2006 Reid oversaw the deployment of 3,300 soldiers to Helmand, a prospect about which he was optimistic saying, “we would be perfectly happy to leave in three years and without firing one shot” (2/5)

theguardian.com/world/julian-b…
Yet within twelve months British soldiers there had fired *four million bullets* in some of the most intense fighting seen by any unit since the second world war (3/5).

telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews…
Read 6 tweets
24 Mar
Can We Solve the Climate Crisis Without Ending Capitalism?

My review of @BillGates 'How to Avoid a Climate Crisis' for @novaramedia

Thread covering key points below. Read on!

novaramedia.com/2021/03/24/can…
1) Gates talks about warming of 4-8 degrees this century in the absence of meaningful action. That is way beyond most liberal thought leaders or politicians. A new level of candour on the topic for someone so wealthy.

novaramedia.com/2021/03/24/can…
2) Elsewhere he writes that over next "decade or two" economic damage caused by climate change will “likely be as bad as having a Covid-sized pandemic every ten years”. A powerful way to talk about catastrophe ahead & one we rarely hear. It surprised me.
novaramedia.com/2021/03/24/can…
Read 22 tweets
23 Mar
Labour’s @johnmcdonnellMP arguing for PR & a more democratic electoral system.

More than one person has told me the Labour leadership is looking to return to the electoral college for choosing a leader. Under Starmer the party walking away from democracy, not toward it.
Can a party whose leadership is opposed to internal democracy meaningful reform the state’s democracy? Very hard to see.

All of this was lost on anti-Corbyn liberals in recent years. They’ll find out hard way!
Response to this is often ‘but the left can shape this!’

Questionable. Many around Starmer want thousands of members to go. A party of 1-200,000 people isn’t seen as a problem if money comes from elsewhere. Meanwhile has support of GMB & Unison.

>
Read 4 tweets

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