My latest public article discusses the global energy market, including an overview of why it's rather difficult to replace fossil fuels in practice. lynalden.com/oil-and-gas/
When we think about new energy sources, we often envision pervious ones being replaced. Like this chart, that shows the percentage of total energy consumption that each energy type is responsible for:
However, in absolute terms, new energy sources tend to be additive to previous energy sources.
The world as a whole has never previously phased out primary energy sources in absolute terms, or downgraded the energy density of its primary energy sources. So, that's not trivial.
Timely update on deep geothermal, which was mentioned in the energy article: wsj.com/articles/drill…
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Notably, the long-term debt cycle coincides with the 4th turnings.
I mainly focus on what's happening quantitatively (debt). But keeping in mind the changing social/geopolitical dynamic is a nice accompaniment to that. Old institutions/norms facing entropy, death, rebirth.
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Here's a thread about social media decentralization.
A couple years ago, I tried to "like" one of Doomberg's posts about a platform, and I literally saw the heart fill up, and then drain out of it like blood. I'd never seen that before.
Twitter said me liking that was disabled:
Then, when I tried to search on Twitter for that certain platform that apparently can't be named, the search results would replace it with "newsletter" in my search of the network, which was kind of Orwellian:
Even now, I don't say the obvious visible name of that platform that starts with an S. Since an unconscious algo might derank it.
Maybe that's not an issue anymore. Probably.
The funny thing is that I didn't even post about that platform until I couldn't. Then I did a lot.