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Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
@jukka235
Jun 28, 2021 • 7 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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Suomen epidemia 28.6.2021: tartuntojen kasvu kiihtyy edelleen, 11 päivää sen jälkeen kun noin 2100 rajanylittäjää päästettiin Venäjältä Suomeen ilman testausta. Kasvu on nyt 7.8 prosenttia päivässä (tällä vauhdilla 9.5x kuukaudessa).
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Nyt nämä luvut rupeavat taas päivittymään kesken päivän. Viimeksi näin kävi maaliskuussa.
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Kasvu nousi 7.9 prosenttiin päivässä, eli tällä vauhdilla tartuntojen määrä 9.5-kertaistuu kuukaudessa. Tuleva uusi Pietarin reissu tulee todennäköisesti ylläpitämään tartuntojen kasvua edelleen.
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Tänään THL ilmoitti 84 tartuntaa, ei poistanut yhtään, ja tunnettu raportoinnin viive kasvoi 78 tartunnan verran. Muuttumattomalla viiveellä laskettu uusien tartuntojen määrä on 84+0+78=162 (punainen viiva).
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Suomen epidemia on 43 päivää englannin epidemiaa jäljessä, ja koulut avataan 44 päivän päästä 11. elokuuta. Oxfordissa koronaa löytyi 34 prosentilla testatuista (21-.25.6.2021).
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Testauksen määrä on pudonnut samalle tasolle kuin joululomien aikana.
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Positiivisten osuus on noussut noin 70 prosenttia vajaassa viikossa.
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More from @jukka235

Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Feb 25
Cancer and neoplasm related deaths in Sweden (C00-D48).
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Among 30-34 year olds, cancer and neoplasm related causes of death have been growing at an average rate of 32.5% per year since 2021 (equivalent to a 10-fold increase in 8.2 years if current growth continues).
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Cancer related deaths accounted for 16.8% of all deaths among 30-34 year olds in 2024. If they continue to grow at the rate of 32.5%, they alone could be sufficient to double total mortality in this age group within 4 years, and increase it 10-fold within a further 8 years.
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Read 8 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Feb 22
Finland's epidemic 22 Feb 2026: the amount of virus detected in wastewater is now 60% higher than during the first Omicron wave in 2022. The post-Omicron baseline appears permanently higher compared with the pre-Omicron period; repeated waves show no sign of diminishing.
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Post-Omicron baseline is permanently higher than pre-Omicron:
- before late 2021, levels were mostly 10³–10⁴.
- from 2022 onward, even troughs sit around 10⁵, or 10-100x higher than before Omicron: a sign of constant background transmission
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The first Omicron wave in January 2022 was the first major structural break.
- this wave was an order of magnitude jump compared to the pre-Omicron period (2020-2021)
- the first Omicron wave fundamentally shifted the baseline 10 to 100 times upward
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Read 12 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Feb 20
Index / January 2026.
Part 1: fastest growing disease groups in Finland (7 Jan 2026)
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Renal failures in Finland (8 Jan 2026)
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Developmental delays and disorders (F80-F89) (9 Jan 2026)
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Read 4 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Feb 19
This is one beautiful chart.

Between 1997 and 2019, mortality across age groups declined by up to 48 percent. Large amounts of additional life were delivered. Courtesy of the Swedish health system.
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Between 2019 and 2024, the Swedish health system took a step back. It would appear that school aged children were sacrificed for the greater good.
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As a result, the post-2019 years have seen increasing levels for disease-related mortality for the younger age groups. For 5-9 and 10-14 year olds, mortality is now 66% and 38% higher than in 2019, respectively. 2024 was the worst for both of these age groups.
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Read 4 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Feb 18
Which diseases are people increasingly dying from in Sweden ?
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0-4 year olds:
1. P21 Birth asphyxia
2. P29 Cardiovascular disorders originating in the perinatal period
3. Q61 Cystic kidney disease
4. P78 Other perinatal digestive system disorders
5. Q87 Other specified congenital malformation syndromes affecting multiple systems
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5-9 year olds are increasingly dying from:
1. C41 Malignant neoplasm of bone and articular cartilage of other and unspecified sites
2. C74 Malignant neoplasm of adrenal gland
3. A49 Bacterial infection of unspecified site
4. E72 Other disorders of amino-acid metabolism
5. A41 Other sepsis
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Read 10 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Feb 15
Mortality in Sweden: how fast are all disease related causes of death growing within each age group?
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In this thread, I take all disease-related causes of death for each age group in Sweden and assign them to growth bands based on how much above or below the 1997-2019 baseline they are. Here are 25-29 year olds. 2/x Image
Let's start with the total picture. Total deaths of 25-29 year olds are declining, but deaths from diseases (dark blue + red) are up since 2019.
- the external category includes traffic accidents, falls, injuries, drowning, fires, drugs, poisonings, homicides, suicides etc.
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Read 18 tweets

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