Thread by @tomiahonen

Weisselberg Path Thread 1/

Trump Org CFO and Trump personal accountant Allen Weisselberg surrendered today to Manhattan DA for arrest on criminal charges of NY tax fraud. His trial will come soon. What happens AFTER this trial and conviction? This thread shows what comes NEXT

Weisselberg Path Thread 2/

Weisselberg surrendered today because of Tax Fraud by Donald Trump at Manhattan DA office on criminal charges. I explained what this MANHATTAN DA case is about, in this thread today:

https://twitter.com/tomiahonen/status/1410553625122910209

Weisselberg Path Thread 3/

My day JOB is an analyst (tech & media industry, 12 books etc). Also do political analysis. I am also professional forecaster, one of most accurate on Twitter

My followers are usually interested in my take of what comes NEXT not what is happening NOW

Weisselberg Path Thread 4/

We KNOW Weisselberg is now charged on an incredibly solid case, that he will lose (he will be convicted of criminal tax fraud). You can follow the play-by-play of that trial by real attorneys. I am not an attorney.

But I can tell you what comes next

Weisselberg Path 5/

As I've said, Allen is in 5 Trump CRIMINAL cases:

1 Tax fraud (Manhattan DA)
2 Money laundering (NY AG)
3 Sanctions busting (Federal SDNY)
4 2016 campaign finance (Federal, Mueller)
5 More recent fraud while POTUS (DC Hotel etc)

He has to confess to ALL

Weisselberg Path 6/

Manhattan DA (= NY Taxes) case is FASTEST way to get Trump to prison (Trump faces over 20 criminal and civil cases)

Because I have a separate Thread just about Manhattan DA, I will not discuss how screwed Allen is & why he loses THAT case. Let's look beyond

Weisselberg Path 7/

The SECOND Trump Criminal case, involving Weisselberg, is Money Laundering

It is ALSO a NY state criminal case, but is in a DIFFERENT court, not Manhattan. It is run by NY Attorney General.

Money Laundering = Mafia financial crimes (US & Russian mob)

Weisselberg Path 8/

Money laundering with Trump goes back to his bankrupted casinos in New Jersey. He was laundering money for Mafia. Weisselberg knows all these details

Wouldn't it be funny if Chris Christie had some crooked deal in prosecuting Trump back then? (or Giuliani)

Weisselberg Path 9/

The RECENT money laundering (this is still 2nd case, NY AG) is Russian money, Putin oligarchs. Here we may get some shady crooks caught (again) like General Flynn & Manafort

In case of money laundering, there HAS to be a counterpart whose money is laundered

Weisselberg Path 10/

THIRD criminal case is Sanctions Busting: federal crimes (SDNY)

This is life in prison, crimes against the USA

This is what Weisselberg feared, and begged Trump for a Presidential pardon. This pardon request was Trump's toughest decision to turn down.

Weisselberg Path 11/

So sanctions were about Putin invading & occupying Crimea. Trump as a civilian back then, went onto Fox (#FixFox) to argue that Russian sanctions should be ended !!! Anyway, Trump had helped Putin circumvent those sanctions

...This is Deutsche Bank records

Weisselberg Path 12/

You remember Deutsche Bank connection to SCOTUS? Yes, Justice Kennedy's sudden retirement. His son was corrupt banker at DB who handled Trump's loans

As part of SDNY case about sanctions busting MIGHT get to Kennedy mystery too (Did Trump sell SCOTUS seat?)

Weisselberg Path 13/

The FOURTH Trump criminal case involving Weisselberg is 2016 campaign finance crimes (= Mueller). Federal. Is now being investigated. Mueller promised us, he preserved all evidence. One part of this is 'Individual One' and Michael Cohen/Stormy Daniels case

Weisselberg Path 14/

FIFTH Trump crime is emoluments, financial crimes DURING Trump Presidency, starting with his hotel in DC. This brings Ivanka, Melania, and some Trump White House people etc involved. Most of these crimes are so recent, they are not even fully known yet.

Weisselberg Path 15/

When Weisselberg flips (he will flip), he hast to confess to ALL crimes (all 5 cases), and bargain to get his MULTIPLE LIFE SENTENCES prison term reduced. That is a COMPLEX plea bargain. We do not NEED Allen to flip to get Trump. But makes the case stronger

Weisselberg Path 16/

The serial murderer, smuggler, extortionist & crook, America's most notorious gangster, Al Capone was not convicted on murder, but on TAX crimes, & died n prison

It doesn't matter HOW we get Trump in prison. He has MULTIPLE separate criminal trials waiting

Weisselberg Path 17/

After Trump's first criminal conviction (NY Taxes/Manhattan DA) he pays dozens of millions if not hundreds of millions of back taxes (his buildings seized) AND goes to prison, for a decade or more.

He becomes CONVICTED FELON & fraud. THAT changes everything

Weisselberg Path 18/

That Thing on top of Trump's head will be shaved. Trump will be BUSSED from one criminal trial to the next, wearing an orange jumpsuit in his court appearances

It becomes FAR EASIER to convince a jury of his OTHER crimes, after he is convicted on the first

I have now added part 3 for today's Threads: It is the OTHER Trump major cases, not involving Weisselberg, so Giuliani, Matt Gaetz, Roger Stone... if you want my take and update on those too:

https://twitter.com/tomiahonen/status/1410598154186100736