Well, it looks like this is the end. We thought it was over when CTP stopped, but then @TheLawyerCraig and his merry band of data volunteers kept us going for 4 more months.
In commemoration, we will post our final chart set.
- Summer stimulus visible again like last year, though 2 weeks later
- Cases bottomed on 6/18 and have risen since but much less than 2020
- Hosp Census followed trend this past week by hitting its inflection point and turning up slightly
/2
Reported Cases vs. Test Positivity
As is typically the case, Pos% inflected first with Reported Cases following shortly after.
Though turning up like 2020, the Pos% rate increase is much shallower and much lower overall.
/3
Reported Deaths vs. CFR
Here, you see our Reported Deaths aren't much lower than last year at the same time when considering the amount of community immunity we have.
Some of this is reporting lag, but we had lag last year, too. I expect this gap to expand greatly in July.
/4
The 4 Classics
Here are the 4 charts I used to do every day. Might as well give them a send-off.
/5
Bonus Charts - Estimated Infections
These are crude and not rigorous evaluations, but they were interesting to try.
1) Estimated Infections (~90M) based on Pos% X 2.4M test/day
2) Estimated Infections based on 0.38% IFR, 0.5%, and 0.62%. All shown on the same Y-axis
/END
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Hello, @m_scribe and @guardian , this article has false claims about Flu, CoV2, and RAV, which should be corrected.
None of the 3 are rising, and the CoV2 weekly changes are out of date. You gave the weekly changes for week-ending 12/30, but CDC updates through week-ending 1/6.
All 3 can be seen declining no later than 12/30.
Will you fix the article based on the above, or is there a better method for requesting a formal correction?
Sure, I will respond genuinely on the basis you are asking earnestly.
First, I think EVERYTHING in the screenshot is bad:
1) “Ritual and solidarity” are brainwashing techniques. Fooling/coercing people into accepting and then propagating a measure is dastardly to begin with
2) Doing that with a measure that is ineffective is downright evil, because it brainwashes people unknowingly into a self-harming act both directly (unsanitary, dehumanizing, social detriment, etc) and indirectly (increased exposure due to false sense of security)
/2
3) Nothing wrong with people protecting themselves, but community masking with any material was not protective for the individual and especially not the community. It was always a lie even if Zeynep truly believed in masks personally
/3