1. While most MDC Alliance supporters were excited by the findings of @afrobarometer showing the marginal presence of MDC-T, they shouldn’t ignore the less palatable findings. For example, perceptions of how the government has handled the pandemic shouldn’t be underestimated.
2. Afrobarometer found that 81% agreed with the lockdown measures. This may confound some people but remember this survey considered lockdowns last year when most of the world was unsure and scared of the new virus. 81% felt the government had done well in the circumstances.
3. The findings also show that more people were tolerant of the restrictions of democratic rights and freedoms. Again this may be explained by the fear of what seemed to be an existential threat to the nation & humanity. But the regime has & may continue to exploit this tolerance
4. The problem for the opposition is that citizens may habituate to these restrictions of rights & freedoms. Governments are very happy to limit freedoms & if people adjust to the abnormal caused by the pandemic, the restrictions will become a permanent feature.
5. The government faces 2 problems: first, to convince people to get vaccinated. This is problematic because the survey showed that most people are skeptic all about the safety of vaccines. So far its voluntary but will the government use command & what will be the impact?
6. The 2nd is self-inflicted: corruption. The survey showed that more people think that resources meant to fight COVID-19 were looted by corrupt politicians. This falls into the wider vice that has afflicted this regime which has earned a reputation of corruption
7. Unfortunately the survey did not enquire into public attitudes about the opposition and its response to the pandemic. The pandemic has been hard for opposition parties. They could not be seen opposing lockdowns when there was an existential threat.
8. But some opposition parties have been creative and have found a rich seam where ruling parties have bungled their handling of the pandemic, the cronyism & corruption, & generally holding government to account. The Zimbabwean opposition could draw lessons from that.

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More from @Wamagaisa

5 Jul
How to loot in Zimbabwe

1. Looting methods in Zimbabwe are so simple it’s like a thief stealing from your home while you’re all watching. You think no, it can’t be, but it is! I have written this several times but let me use this thread to describe one of the simplest methods.
2. A Government department or parastatal wants to procure goods worth US$5 million. There are legitimate vendors who can supply the goods but they don’t get the contract. Instead, the contract goes to Peter who is a PEP (politically exposed person). That’s his only qualification.
3. Peter doesn’t have the money, but even if he has it, he won’t put his money at risk. So the government pays him the US$5 million as “advance payment”. Peter then goes to the vendor & orders the goods. The goods will actually be worth US$4 million so Peter will pocket a million
Read 13 tweets
15 Jun
1. The RBZ tells us it had a problem with 18 entities. To “solve” the problem the regime issued a decree (SI127) affecting 16 million people. In their wisdom, our elders would refer to this as the behaviour of a foolish man who burns the family home in order to kill a rat.
2. This purported clarification by the RBZ means the regime fired the gun into the crowd before asking questions. Why did it not carry out these so-called consultations before issuing the ridiculous decree? The damage has already been done. But that’s typical of this regime.
3. However, if people in the business community take the RBZ statement seriously, then they need their heads examined. A press statement does not amend a law. SI127 is a law of general application. It affects everyone, therefore, unless it’s amended it’s still applicable to all.
Read 4 tweets
14 Jun
1. Fidelity Printers & Refinery (FPR) is Zimbabwe’s gold refiner & for a long time the holder of a monopoly in the purchase & export of gold. It is also the printer of currency and security documents. This is a story of how at its peak, FPR was punching well above its weight.
2. I was fascinated to learn that at one point FPR had overspill contracts to print US$ notes for the Federal Reserve. It also used to print currency & other securities for several countries in Africa. For example, FPR printed cheques for the Central Bank of Angola among others.
3. FPR had contracts to produce passports for SADC officials & Certificates of Origin for the Comesa Region. FPR produced phone recharge cards for Egyptian, Tunisian & Moroccan telecoms companies. It also serviced the local telecoms companies Econet NetOne, Telecel, TelOne, etc
Read 10 tweets
13 Jun
1. Corporations are affected by bad governance but the corporate sector would rather comply than resist. We don’t do politics, they say. But if the ruling party makes demands, they silently comply. Yet they want someone to do something about bad governance bigsr.africa/good-governanc…
2. There are big companies that are known to donate to the ruling party’s political & election campaigns. By doing so, they are investing in repression; enabling bad governance. If you lie down with a dog, you cannot complain that fleas are bothering you.
3. But here’s the thing: despite knowing some of these businesses, we continue to patronise them. The profits they make are donated to the ruling party. When you consider the vicious cycle, we are also indirectly funding and enabling our own repression!
Read 4 tweets
9 Jun
1. I have been reading the judgment by Senior Magistrate R. Mukanga at Bulawayo in the matter involving New York Times journalist Jeffrey Moyo. I’m horrified by the mutilation of the Constitution. Let me explain the horror show step by step.
2. Moyo argued for release because he was detained for more than 48 hours before he was brought to court. Section 50(3) states that if this happens the person “must be released immediately” unless a competent court has earlier extended it. There was no such earlier extension.
3. The Magistrate accepted that Moyo was over-detained. The state did not dispute it. But, incredibly, the Magistrate had a strange interpretation of section 50(3). He said it does not entitle an over-detained person to immediate release, the opposite of what the provision says.
Read 7 tweets
8 Jun
1. This is Hon. Gwaunza’s response to the request by Beatrice Mtetwa for investigations into the conduct of the @JSCZim Secretary which led to a judge recusing himself from the contempt case against Hon. Malaba. How can he be involved in a matter in which he has so much interest?
2. Malaba should be nowhere near this case. He is the man at the centre of this crisis, but he has the audacity to “instruct” the JSC to carry out investigations! As a judge, he should know better than to be involved because it taints the entire process.
3. Also, as Mtetwa requested, this investigation must be INDEPENDENT. The JSC is not in a position to carry out an independent investigation in this matter. After all, the man under investigation is its top executive. The JSC should outsource this to an independent investigator.
Read 4 tweets

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