Simon Wardley Profile picture
Jul 5, 2021 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Loved this. One slide which says it all. Before anyone goes "serverless is the future" ... no, "serverless is the norm" - it's just that so many are yet to realise this. Give it time, another five years or so ->
At which point, between 2024 to 2029, we will be reaching the "Oh f&*k" stage of enterprise adoption of serverless and you won't be able to hire serverless developers because every other company will be scrambling to do the same.
X : What's the future then?
Me : The future is always about practices, the technology is the underlying cause. The practices you should be concerned about today are highlighted in green (the grey is what you should have been concerned about in 2011).
X : I thought you said capital flow would be important?
Me : It will but you can't model capital flow until you model your supply chain. Right now, very few understand their supply chain, fewer their software supply chain and connecting it to value is as rare as hens' teeth.
Howver, that said, things like capital flow are part of the awareness bucket ... we will get there, eventually. Some sooner than others.
X : Do you have data for that graph?
Me : The graphic? It originally was a joke but alas it is one which is painfully close to something that seems to be happening.
It's the same with this old graphic ... a joke from an observation which seems to have become painfully close to reality.
X : How do I know when you're joking?
Me : I mark it on the graphic. But ... even when I'm joking, the best jokes have a grain of truth to them i.e. they are built from observation. Which is why they make you sometimes wince and go "that's us".

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More from @swardley

Dec 1, 2024
X : What is the deep state?
Me : Depends. You have various conspiracy theory forms and then there's the general term used to describe networks of power operating outside traditional democratic processes. This includes the influence of corporate interests, financial bodies, think tanks, wealthy individuals, lobbysts firms and institutions on government policy. Why?
X : Is Trump going to war on the deep state?
Me : I suspect you'll find that Trump brings his own corporate interests, financial bodies, think tanks, wealthy individuals, lobbysts firms and institutions that will have influence on government policy outside of the normal democratic process.
X : What does that mean?
Me : It means the deep state doesn't usually go away, it just changes i.e. a different group have influence. Unless Trump is planning on a radical program of transparency. Now, that would be interesting. Never seen Trump as a transparency champion.
Read 18 tweets
Nov 30, 2024
X : Did you research healthcare investment?
Me : Back in 2023. A group of clinicians mapped multiple perspective of healthcare - including AI, clinical decision making, healthcare value chain - then we used those to determine where to invest from a societal and market benefit. Image
Me : ... from the table, if your focus is on society then your priority for investment should be measurement of health outcomes (against Patient Reported Outcome Measures) and sharing of medical data. If you're after market growth then try personalised medicine and preventative healthcare.
X : How do you produce those tables?
Me : Pick a field ... like healthcare. Ideally get 40-60 people together with experience i.e. clinicians. Ask them to write down post-it notes of what matters ... Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 29, 2024
X : What is the most essential skill for AI in the future?
Me : Critical thinking in humans. Alas, we don't usually teach this at school because we're too focused on producing useful economic units.
X : Useful economic units?
Me : Turning humans into automatons for the workplace.
X : Do you have evidence for this.
Me : I took a group of educational consultants, academics and teachers in 2023 and mapped out education from multiple perspectives ... purpose, micro-credentials, asynchronous & synchronous learning, learning models, social learning ...
... we then used the maps to identify where to invest for both societal and market benefit. We then aggregated the results, into the table attached.

If your focus in on societal benefit, then invest in lifelong learning and critical thinking. If your focus is on making money then invest in educational AI and digital access.Image
Read 26 tweets
Nov 7, 2024
It amazes me that the most important metrics (lines of code, story points, cycle time, devex satisfaction) in development are the two that are never discussed, let alone measured ... mean time to answer (mttA) and mean time to question (mttQ).
Whenever we start with building a system or managing a legacy environment, we need to ask questions and get answers. Those are skills which can be hindered or supported by the toolset around you ...
... in the very worst cases, engineers are forced into reading code to try and understand a system. Upto 50% of development time can be spent on reading code ... a process we never question or optimise. That is madness.
Read 13 tweets
Sep 26, 2024
X : Thoughts on a return to office policy?
Me : It happens for two basic reasons:-
1) loss of status symbols (top floor office etc). Many execs need these to say "I'm the boss"
2) headcount reduction (i.e. people will leave) due to a weakness in the finances.

Why?
X : What about productivity and innovation?
Me : Those are "reasons" given but they're all bogus and don't stand up to scrutiny. However, there is a third.
X : Colloboration?
Me : Stranded assets - offices etc. No exec likes looking at an empty building they spent £300M on.
X : Basically - status symbols, weaknesses of finances and political capital?
Me : Sounds about right.
X : Did you see Amazon has a return to office policy -
Me : Oh. That's concerning.geekwire.com/2024/survey-by…
Read 11 tweets
Sep 9, 2024
X : Our strategy doesn't align with our business.
Me : How do you mean?
X : We create these strategy documents but they never really get implemented as the day to day business takes over.
Me : That's common. Can I ask a question?
X : Sure
Me : ...
Me : Do you map?
X : I've heard of your technique but we don't use it.
Me : Ok, so your business operations is not based upon a map of the landscape?
X : No
Me : And your strategy is not based upon a map of the landscape?
X : No
Me : What made you think they would align?
X : They are supposed to align and we wrote our strategy on our understanding of the business.
Me : Your wrote your strategy based upon stories. There's no means to create a consensus of your landscape, to challenge what your are doing. There is no mechanism for alignment.
Read 10 tweets

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