In South Africa, the poor will derive a small benefit from vaccines as immunity levels are already at 60%. The rich will derive a major benefit as immunity levels are low at 20%.
Lockdowns were maintained to maximise the number of people getting immunity via the vaccine as opposed to the virus.
The strategy was sold on the basis that it is the only way out i.e. removing the ethical concerns regarding the costs.
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The costs of lockdowns are disproportionally carried by the poor. For the poor, there are hardly any benefits.
Case isolation is difficult to impossible for shack dwellers. Contacts are traced for the rich, 60% of C-19 fatalities are missed amongst the poor.
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In SA the costs include, almost a year lost for 95% of learners. An increase in hunger with 14% of children i.e. 3 million going hungry. 28% South Africans suffering from depression with hunger and unemployment as the main cause (not Covid). cramsurvey.org
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School dropout increased from 231,000 to 753,000 , the highest in 20 years. C-19 teacher deaths followed the countrywide trajectory with no impact by school closures whatsoever.
source: CRAM
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Lockdowns until vaccine rollout was not the only way out. In townships it was over before vaccine rollouts.
A cost benefit analysis was imperative. Townships derived hardly any benefit, only costs.
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There are no signs of a 3rd wave on the horizon and hospital admissions are the lowest in 10 months and declining. Alcohol restrictions were justified ito hospital demand.
Open air church gatherings pose negligible risks. There should be no cap on indoor meetings. 10 people in a venue for 20 is no different to 1000 in a venue for 2000.
Black Friday was allowed when the 2nd wave was in full swing and casinos never closed.
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Warnings of an imminent 3rd wave when there is nothing on the horizon is irresponsible and results in people avoiding hospitals when they should not.
Now is the time to address the backlog in elective procedures and the neglect of all other health concerns.